GFS shows Mobile Bay/MS border

[Ixolib]

NOW!! here is the 00Z UKMET= New orleans. Sorry about the Above.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/ukmtc2.c ... =Animation

Dayam!! - if he bombs just before landfall (or even if not), I believe that track would be about the worst-case-scenario one could find!!

[mobilebay]

Also the 00Z GFDL has shifted a little East toward Destin. This was expected, because when the GFS shifts East usually the GFDL, and the NHC suite follows.

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... s/05070705

[jkt21787]

Also the 00Z GFDL has shifted a little East toward Destin. This was expected, because when the GFS shifts East usually the GFDL, and the NHC suite follows.

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... s/05070705

Yes, totally expected. And why the NHC almost always follows the GFDL to a tee still amazes me...

Don't be surprised at all to see a eastward shift in the NHC at 5, especially if its Avila...he's the true GFDL hugger.

And of course everybody's going to scream its coming to FL, I'm sure.

[mtm4319]

Does anyone know of a static map that shows computer models (like the one on Weather Underground here) but doesn't use the Mercator projection?

Anyone?

[mobilebay]

Also the 00Z GFDL has shifted a little East toward Destin. This was expected, because when the GFS shifts East usually the GFDL, and the NHC suite follows.

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... s/05070705

Yes, totally expected. And why the NHC almost always follows the GFDL to a tee still amazes me...

Don't be surprised at all to see a eastward shift in the NHC at 5, especially if its Avila...he's the true GFDL hugger.

And of course everybody's going to scream its coming to FL, I'm sure.

Just like I'm sure the 0600 NHC suite is going to shift East right over the Mobile/ Biloxi area. It was over New orleans last run. These models and the GFDL are run off of the GFS.

[skysummit]

Also the 00Z GFDL has shifted a little East toward Destin. This was expected, because when the GFS shifts East usually the GFDL, and the NHC suite follows.

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... s/05070705

Yes, totally expected. And why the NHC almost always follows the GFDL to a tee still amazes me...

Don't be surprised at all to see a eastward shift in the NHC at 5, especially if its Avila...he's the true GFDL hugger.

And of course everybody's going to scream its coming to FL, I'm sure.

LOL..so true

[jkt21787]

Avila did the 2 do he will do the 5 as well. Its so predictable what will happen...

[mobilebay]

Texans= Stronger High pressure. Floridians= Weaker High pressure. Stay tuned to see what happens as these two go at it.

[reeef]

WE GOT DIS YALL GOIN DOWN YA HEARD ?

[reeef]

also the ridge seems to be getting stronger.

[mobilebay]

Avila did the 2 do he will do the 5 as well. Its so predictable what will happen...

I think any landfall forecast between Destin and New orleans is justified. He may slide it a little East but it won't be much. IMHO

[jkt21787]

Avila did the 2 do he will do the 5 as well. Its so predictable what will happen...

I think any landfall forecast between Destin and New orleans is justified. He may slide it a little East but it won't be much. IMHO

Hopefully not.

However, as I said, just a slight east track will get all the FL people hyped up, just like they did for the awful NAM and CMC.

The thing is the ridge is already strenghtening so its continuing to diminish the chances of a FL anything, at least in the peninsula.

[mobilebay]

just as expected the NHC Model suite has shifted East because of the GFS. They are between Biloxi and Destin.

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... s/05070706