Possible Catastrophic Scenario for New Orleans and SE LA

[CYCLONE MIKE]

Disclaimer: This is purely hypothetical. Do not use as forecast. Do not tell everyone this is going to happen.

I thought about this last night. For arguments sake lets say Dennis' track shifts westward and heads him to SE LA. He ends up making landfall in lower Plaquemines Parish near Venice moving NW the entire way as a strong Cat3. Now lets fast foward about 6 weeks to the middle of August. Hurricane Harvey strikes S. Florida as Cat 3 storm just north of Miami moving W around strong Bermuda High. Takes a few jogs north once inland and exits east coast north of Ft. Myers, Fl. Once it gets in GOM contiunes back on WNW heading right towards SE LA again. Intensifies to 150 mph Cat4 upon making landfall to the ESE of New Orleans and continues moving WNW with the center even going over Baton Rouge. What would New Orleans and the rest of SE LA look like? Would it be in inhabitable? Just wondering. No one has ever talked about a situation like this that I am aware of. While the chances are very slim this could happen seems like if it could, it just might be this year. Any and all comments are welcome.

[Mattie]

Check out the history of hurricane Betsty. The eye came directly over Baton Rouge, so it is *possible* for a track to go in that direction. The aftermath of Betsy left trees down, power outages for several days and a massive clean up effort. Back then, we didn't have the great warning systems that we have now, and we had to strike out on day 2-3 to find ice and drove to Baton Rouge. The destruction was great, but in 40 years, the population has grown so much that I am sure that the damage level would be greater than what we saw then.

[Stormcenter]

Disclaimer: This is purely hypothetical. Do not use as forecast. Do not tell everyone this is going to happen.

I thought about this last night. For arguments sake lets say Dennis' track shifts westward and heads him to SE LA. He ends up making landfall in lower Plaquemines Parish near Venice moving NW the entire way as a strong Cat3. Now lets fast foward about 6 weeks to the middle of August. Hurricane Harvey strikes S. Florida as Cat 3 storm just north of Miami moving W around strong Bermuda High. Takes a few jogs north once inland and exits east coast north of Ft. Myers, Fl. Once it gets in GOM contiunes back on WNW heading right towards SE LA again. Intensifies to 150 mph Cat4 upon making landfall to the ESE of New Orleans and continues moving WNW with the center even going over Baton Rouge. What would New Orleans and the rest of SE LA look like? Would it be in inhabitable? Just wondering. No one has ever talked about a situation like this that I am aware of. While the chances are very slim this could happen seems like if it could, it just might be this year. Any and all comments are welcome.

Yes it's a horrible scenario but I think hitting the jackpot in Vegas is much possible.

[CYCLONE MIKE]

Yes , but you have to admit with it being so early in the season there is a chance another stronger storm will make its way towards SE LA before the end of September.

[Stormcenter]

Yes , but you have to admit with it being so early in the season there is a chance another stronger storm will make its way towards SE LA before the end of September.

Yes at least 3 more chances before the season is done and I'm not including Dennis. But IMO I think SE La. will luck out this time with Dennis making landfall east (MS/AL) of the area.

[CYCLONE MIKE]

Yeah, I agree with you on this also stormcenter. I just don't see anything that will push Dennis to the wnw anymore. I am starting to get more concerned about SW FL. I am leaving Friday for Sanibel Island and seeing the watches go up in the Keys has me concerned.