THE OFFICIAL DENNIS LANDFALL PREDICTION THREAD

Normandy · #81 Postby **Normandy** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 5:33 pm

After watching the Models and especially the latest runs of the "spaghetti Models" . I am ready to make my call. I think the peninsula will continue to look better and better in the coming hours if this trend continues. I also think if this trend continues the panhandle will be spared as well. I hope so for their sakes. My call for landfall is SW LA to SE Texas possibly as a Cat4 Hurricane.

That would do a lot of damage :cry:

Rainband · #82 Postby **Rainband** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 5:37 pm

I know

People need to take this storm seriously

Normandy · #83 Postby **Normandy** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 5:39 pm

Yea, I tend to think itll hit somewhere between New Iberia and Lake Charles.

Jagno · #84 Postby **Jagno** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 5:45 pm

Please don't say Lake Charles...............I'm here and not ready.........and I don't see when I can get ready right now...............funeral arrangements to make for grandmother.

Rainband · #85 Postby **Rainband** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 5:47 pm

Jagno wrote:Please don't say Lake Charles...............I'm here and not ready.........and I don't see when I can get ready right now...............funeral arrangements to make for grandmother.

IF it comes your way..you will have plenty of time. Just pay attention and follow instructions from your local officials, still way out in the Caribbean. Sorry about your Grandma

CajunMama · #86 Postby **CajunMama** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 5:49 pm

What?????!!!!!!! Lake Charles/New Iberia SW LA/SE TX?????Ya'll must have in for this threadmaker!!!!!!! :lol:

j/k

southerngale · #87 Postby **southerngale** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 5:54 pm

Run for the hills, Frick!

southerngale · #88 Postby **southerngale** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 5:56 pm

Rainband wrote:This is not an official forecast and represents the opinion of this poster and may or may not be backed by scientific data. For official Information, please refer to the National Hurricane Center or your Local Officials.

After watching the Models and especially the latest runs of the "spaghetti Models" . I am ready to make my call. I think the peninsula will continue to look better and better in the coming hours if this trend continues. I also think if this trend continues the panhandle will be spared as well. I hope so for their sakes. My call for landfall is SW LA to SE Texas possibly as a Cat4 Hurricane.

Ok, you asked me to read it. I did. Just one comment:

Rainband · #89 Postby **Rainband** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 5:57 pm

Ouch

cajungal · #90 Postby **cajungal** » Wed Jul 06, 2005 7:26 pm

Between Morgan City and Grand Isle, I am afraid, at this point. But, my gut feeling may change.

#91 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 8:28 am

Bump.

#92 Postby **LAwxrgal** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 8:53 am

If I had to make a call now, it's in Ivan territory unfortunately

AL-FL panhandle. I think there is a weakness left by Cindy that's currently nudging the storm northwest. But it is still early and things could change. Unfortunately it looks like someone is in for a world of hurt.

Website · #93 Postby **Brent** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 9:11 am

I gotta shift east... Pascagoula to Fort Walton Beach as a Cat 3 Sunday Evening.

BroncoChuck · #94 Postby **BroncoChuck** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 9:27 am

why cant these damn things hit during the day or at least at sun rise. Makes for clean up and damage assessment sooooooooo much eaiser.

Living in GB I will be going chain saw hunting this afternoon after work. No trees around my house this time (thanks Ivan) but will need it to get out of the neighborhood....

#95 Postby **JtSmarts** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 9:32 am

My Prediction

Between Mobile and Pensacola
110-120 MPH

aumoore · #96 Postby **aumoore** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 10:51 am

Pace, FL here(just NE of Pensacola)
I was hoping to not have to post here for at least 20 years after Ivan the Terrible created havoc in the Pensacola area. The Beach area is still in shambles, the I-10 bridge is now a temporary expanded metal thing that I cringe to cross and Blue is still the roof color of many homes and businesses. Now we have Dennis the Mennis to bring the nightmare back in less than 9 months.

At least the trees are thinned out for this one. On second thought that may be worse as they did scrub off some wind speed at ground level.

This one will probably be a direct hit on Pensacola Beach so from Pensacola to Destin will bet hammered with storm surge and major flooding.

Pray for us and the people in London.

BroncoChuck · #97 Postby **BroncoChuck** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 11:08 am

Still feeling pretty stongly that it is coming right this way. Ivan was the worse storm Ive ever slept though (sound sleeper sorry lol) But 2 weeks with no pwr sucks!

Well as long as Santa Rosa County doesnt drop the ball to bad again this time. HOPEFULLY they learned from Ivan. (I doubt it though its only been 9 months)

Being in GB my only way off sorta island or into GB after Ivan was hwy 87 and thats a long drive from milton....

wait and see wait and see. This is the part that sucks...... my job is still debating on whether or not to close Sat or not. Not that the people here really need permission not to go to work. But most have to drive across the 3 mile bridge from pcola or the garson point bridge from milton/pace area. Garson point was closed for what ? 2 weeks after Ivan and 3 mile was at least a week.

waiting sucks!

#98 Postby **dhweather** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 11:14 am

CUBA!!

#99 Postby **jasons2k** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 11:23 am

Unofficial - please see NHC for official forecasts:

I am shifting east from my prediction yesterday. My new window is from Grand Isle to Pascagoula. So far, I like what the UKMET is doing with this system.

Still too early to have much confidence in this system. Yes the models are clustered together but there are 2 distinct possibilities with the upper air pattern and I think what the models may be doing now is finding a middle ground.

Rainband · #100 Postby **Rainband** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 11:25 am

last time I make a forecast!! :oops:

THE OFFICIAL DENNIS LANDFALL PREDICTION THREAD

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