Recon Reports Dennis

#341 Postby **LAwxrgal** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 1:32 pm

OMIGOD... I thank God this thing isn't going to hit Jamaica head on...but I feel for whoever is in its path...this is a dangerous major cane.

LilNoles2005 · #342 Postby **LilNoles2005** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 1:32 pm

DENNIS, I SAID STOP IT!

NOW!

#343 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 1:32 pm

GET DOWN, GET DOWN!!!!

DENNIS' SONG!

canegrl04 · #344 Postby **canegrl04** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 1:33 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #345 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 1:33 pm

In do you think Dennis cares about what you think? :roll:

#346 Postby **jasons2k** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 1:37 pm

Looking at the temps this is about as "warm core" as it gets too. Definately ramping up now.

soonertwister · #347 Postby **soonertwister** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 1:39 pm

A 6 mb drop in an hour is possibly an indication that the hurricane may be getting ready to get really nasty, but Dennis is starting to see some significant disruption from land, so the intensification might not last that long.

956 mb is normally category 3, but the background pressure was lower than normal, so I think to 110 mph winds from the latest advisory are reasonable.

SSD dvorak estimates of 5.5/5.5 are indicative of a major hurricane, so the winds may be trailing the intensity here.

At least that's just my best guess.

LilNoles2005 · #348 Postby **LilNoles2005** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 1:44 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:In do you think Dennis cares about what you think?

I sure do! :roll:

Website · #349 Postby **Brent** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 1:45 pm

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #350 Postby **senorpepr** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 1:53 pm

Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 04
Flight ID: AF304
Observation Number: 14
Time: 1841Z
Latitude: 19.6°N
Longitude: 75.1°W
Location: 22 mi SSE of Guantanamo, Cuba
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: In & out of clouds
Pressure Altitude: 10000 feet
Flight level wind: SSE (150°) @ 69 mph
Temperature: 46°F
Dewpoint: 46°F
Weather: Thunderstorm
700mb height: 10300 feet
Surface Wind: E (110°) @ 63 mph
Remarks: None

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #351 Postby **senorpepr** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 1:54 pm

Inbound Ob #1: 18.7°N 077.2°W; 700mb height: 10200 feet; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 48°F; Flt level wind: NNE (30°) @ 28 mph
Inbound Ob #2: 18.7°N 077.0°W; 700mb height: 10200 feet; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 48°F; Flt level wind: NNE (20°) @ 40 mph
Inbound Ob #3: 18.6°N 076.7°W; 700mb height: 10100 feet; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 48°F; Flt level wind: NNE (20°) @ 53 mph
Inbound Ob #4: 18.6°N 076.4°W; 700mb height: 13000 feet; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 50°F; Flt level wind: N (10°) @ 77 mph
Max flight level wind (Inbound): 86 mph at 18.6°N 076.4°W
First inbound ob surface wind: NA

Outbound Ob #1: 18.8°N 076.0°W; 700mb height: 13000 feet; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Flt level wind: SSE (150°) @ 109 mph
Outbound Ob #2: 18.9°N 075.8°W; 700mb height: 10000 feet; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Flt level wind: SSE (150°) @ 107 mph
Outbound Ob #3: 19.1°N 075.6°W; 700mb height: 10200 feet; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Flt level wind: SE (140°) @ 75 mph
Outbound Ob #4: 19.3°N 075.4°W; 700mb height: 10200 feet; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Flt level wind: SSE (150°) @ 67 mph
Outbound Ob #5: 19.5°N 075.2°W; 700mb height: 10300 feet; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Flt level wind: SSE (150°) @ 75 mph
Max flight level wind (Outbound): 118 mph at 18.8°N 076.0°W
Last outbound ob surface wind: E (110°) @ 63 mph
Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 04
Flight ID: AF304
Observation Number: 15

#352 Postby **ALhurricane** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 1:56 pm

It's obiviously taken a little while for the winds to respond to the rapid pressure drops.

clfenwi · #353 Postby **clfenwi** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 1:59 pm

Observation Number: 12
Time: 1828Z
Location: 18.6 North 76.2 West
Sea Level Pressure: 956 mb
Surface winds: 30 knots // 220
925 millibar height: 1296 meters
925 millibar winds: 25 knots // 225
850 millibar height: 1036 meters
850 millibar winds: 18 knots // 245
700 millibar height: 2717 meters
700 millibar winds: 22 knots // 355

Scorpion · #354 Postby **Scorpion** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 2:07 pm

I think pressure will be 950 or less by 5 PM.

#355 Postby **sweetpea** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 2:13 pm

LAwxrgal wrote:OMIGOD... I thank God this thing isn't going to hit Jamaica head on...but I feel for whoever is in its path...this is a dangerous major cane.

My God. I hope eveyone is paying attention to this. :eek:

clfenwi · #356 Postby **clfenwi** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 2:13 pm

000

UZNT13 KNHC 071833

XXAA 57187 99187 70761 04486 99967 25418 ///// 00799 ///// /////

92388 23017 13113 85125 20019 14601 70788 14630 10012 88999 77999

31313 09608 81817

61616 AF304 0404A DENNIS OB 13

Observation Number: 13
Location: 18.7 North 76.1 West
Sea Level Pressure: 967 millibars
Surface Winds: n/a
925 millibar height: 388 meters
925 millibar winds: 113 knots // 130
850 millibar height: 1125 meters:
850 millibar winds: 101 knots // 145
700 millibar height: 2788 meters

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #357 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 2:19 pm

113 knots at 925 millibars...This will be a cat3 at 5pm people.

Thunder44 · #358 Postby **Thunder44** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 2:25 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:113 knots at 925 millibars...This will be a cat3 at 5pm people.

How much does that translate at the surface?

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #359 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 2:26 pm

About 100 knots.

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #360 Postby **senorpepr** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 2:31 pm

Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 04
Flight ID: AF304
Observation Number: 16
Time: 1912Z
Latitude: 19.6°N
Longitude: 77.3°W
Location: 120 mi NNW of Kingston, Jamaica
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: In & out of clouds
Pressure Altitude: 10000 feet
Flight level wind: ENE (70°) @ 40 mph
Temperature: 48°F
Dewpoint: 48°F
Weather: Thunderstorm
700mb height: 10200 feet
Surface Wind: E (80°) @ 52 mph
Remarks: None

Recon Reports Dennis

denny..

Temps

eh, matt....

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