Solid NW movement may come to an end soon

dwg71 · #61 Postby **dwg71** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 2:49 pm

At NW heading and forward speed it will ride the west edge of the soon to be retreating ridge and move more NNW then N. It doesnt have to bust through anything...

#62 Postby **skysummit** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 2:50 pm

Roxy wrote:I'm reading conflicting things.

Some say the ridge will hold, others say not.

What the hell is going on with the ridge?

If I had that answer I'd be pretty popular right now, yes?

Yes you would. Right now everyone seems to be seeing what they want to see.

#63 Postby **wx247** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 2:51 pm

Yes, only time will tell the real truth.

#64 Postby **deltadog03** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 2:52 pm

skysummit wrote:
Roxy wrote:I'm reading conflicting things.

Some say the ridge will hold, others say not.

What the hell is going on with the ridge?

If I had that answer I'd be pretty popular right now, yes?

Yes you would. Right now everyone seems to be seeing what they want to see.

to try and help...the ridge is holding just fine, and looks to be building westward over the gulf..

cajungal · #65 Postby **cajungal** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 2:53 pm

David Bernard was thinking the same thing. He said a bend back to the west toward our general direction is very possible.

#66 Postby **HollynLA** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 2:53 pm

Fairly simple actually.........
if you live in FL, the ridge is retreating

if you live anywhere else on the gulf coast, the ridge is holding.

clfenwi · #67 Postby **clfenwi** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 2:58 pm

Looking at this 24 hour loop
http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/loops/w ... an&type=wv

carefully, I would argue that the high pressure center has shifted northeast slightly in the past few hours with the periphery shifting accordingly...

dwg71 · #68 Postby **dwg71** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 2:58 pm

Also a WNW heading would take it through the Yucatan Channel, does anybody really see that as a possibility. I will stick with model consensous and NHC as to projected path. They had Dennis down pat since get go, and havent move line much.

margaritabeach · #69 Postby **margaritabeach** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 3:00 pm

Observation Number: 17
Time: 19:40:50Z
Latitude: 18.8°N
Longitude: 76.4°W

.4n/.4w since last fly through.

dwg71 · #70 Postby **dwg71** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 3:01 pm

margaritabeach wrote:Observation Number: 17
Time: 19:40:50Z
Latitude: 18.8°N
Longitude: 76.4°W

.4n/.4w since last fly through.

Please dont clutter the arguement with facts...

thanks for the info. :wink:

otowntiger · #71 Postby **otowntiger** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 3:02 pm

HollynLA wrote:Fairly simple actually.........
if you live in FL, the ridge is retreating

if you live anywhere else on the gulf coast, the ridge is holding.

You just hit the nail on the head! I might add that if you live elsewhere the ridge is building. This is pretty funny. It happens everytime. I think we used to call it something that began with a "w"-casting!

clfenwi · #72 Postby **clfenwi** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 3:02 pm

A note to those arguing 'well, a WNW movement now (vice NW) == no chance of southern/southwest Florida being hit', I would note that even the Canadian model took the storm off a pure northwest course for this afternoon evening...

see

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/cmc ... 712/5.html

#73 Postby **loon** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 3:03 pm

dwg71 wrote:
margaritabeach wrote:Observation Number: 17
Time: 19:40:50Z
Latitude: 18.8°N
Longitude: 76.4°W

.4n/.4w since last fly through.

Please dont clutter the arguement with facts...

thanks for the info.

indeed...

#74 Postby **Roxy** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 3:03 pm

HollynLA wrote:Fairly simple actually.........
if you live in FL, the ridge is retreating

if you live anywhere else on the gulf coast, the ridge is holding.

I've noticed that same thing!

#75 Postby **dhweather** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 3:09 pm

Roxy wrote:I'm reading conflicting things.

Some say the ridge will hold, others say not.

What the hell is going on with the ridge?

If I had that answer I'd be pretty popular right now, yes?

You would be the bomb if you knew that Roxy!

The ridge is pretty much holding its own in my opinion. I suspect
that Dennis will begin moving more west as he progresses further
north into the periphery of this ridge.

I'm not wishkasting - I want nothing to do with a major cane. I am in a bad
position regardless. Much of my wife's family lives in the panhandle
region so if we are spared, they are hit. It's a no-win situation
for everyone, unless something freaky happens and Dennis decides
to go out to sea (not happening)

Agua · #76 Postby **Agua** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 3:10 pm

clfenwi wrote:A note to those arguing 'well, a WNW movement now (vice NW) == no chance of southern/southwest Florida being hit', I would note that even the Canadian model took the storm off a pure northwest course for this afternoon evening...

see

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/cmc ... 712/5.html

Holy cow... riding the penninsua.

NorthGaWeather · #77 Postby **NorthGaWeather** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 3:13 pm

HollynLA wrote:Fairly simple actually.........
if you live in FL, the ridge is retreating

if you live anywhere else on the gulf coast, the ridge is holding.

LOL, that is funny. It seems like everyone that says its retreating has been a FL poster. But anyways, the ridge is holding and even building into the Eastern Gulf of Mexico ATTM. I agree with ALhurricane on this one.

#78 Postby **skysummit** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 3:13 pm

deltadog03 wrote:
skysummit wrote:
Roxy wrote:I'm reading conflicting things.

Some say the ridge will hold, others say not.

What the hell is going on with the ridge?

If I had that answer I'd be pretty popular right now, yes?

Yes you would. Right now everyone seems to be seeing what they want to see.

to try and help...the ridge is holding just fine, and looks to be building westward over the gulf..

This is an example. I know what I see, but I care not to share it at this moment. Some people see the ridge building west, some people see the ridge retreating east. I wonder how many people acutally know what a ridge looks like?

#79 Postby **loon** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 3:15 pm

skysummit wrote:
deltadog03 wrote:
skysummit wrote:
Roxy wrote:I'm reading conflicting things.

Some say the ridge will hold, others say not.

What the hell is going on with the ridge?

If I had that answer I'd be pretty popular right now, yes?

Yes you would. Right now everyone seems to be seeing what they want to see.

to try and help...the ridge is holding just fine, and looks to be building westward over the gulf..

This is an example. I know what I see, but I care not to share it at this moment. Some people see the ridge building west, some people see the ridge retreating east. I wonder how many people acutally know what a ridge looks like?

Welll, I know one thing, you didn't do very well at not "sharing" what you thought, hehehe

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #80 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Thu Jul 07, 2005 3:17 pm

It has shifted back to the west-northwest. Which could be a sign(Like Isabel,Ivan,Gilbert) That this is about ready to bomb again.

Solid NW movement may come to an end soon

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