how much more time

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Janie34
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#21 Postby Janie34 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:19 pm

This is what worries me, SouthernWx...the potential for explosive cyclogenesis (meaning the rapid drops in central pressure) such as we saw very recently with this hurricane. It could easily happen again.
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#22 Postby Brent » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:20 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Remember Isidor 2002...It got its core distroyed never redeveloped it....I would be very suprized if this thing got its act together like it did this morning.


Was also over land for more than 24 hours... bad example.

This has only been inland for about 7 hours.
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#23 Postby Sanibel » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:23 pm

It isn't that simple. The storm will shift levels slightly while the cyclonic engine weakens. In effect the core's energy spreads out in relation to a totally overwater storm with the outer overwater warm bands sustaining the general structure. That is why the deep moisture is currently in that trailing band out over the Caribbean while the core warms.

I'll show you when it re-emerges how this redistributed energy resussitates the true cyclonic core...
Last edited by Sanibel on Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:27 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#24 Postby djtil » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:24 pm

the latest SHIPS model sees something that bothers it when it comes to restrengthening.

0: 114
12: 109
24: 111
36: 111
48: 103
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#25 Postby SouthernWx » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:27 pm

Check out the max hurricane potential as of today:

http://wxmaps.org/pix/atlpot.png

Look at the second chart (below) of max sustained winds.....check out the blue shading offshore the northern Gulf coast....exactly where Dennis is heading.

I'm very concerned this monster will be intensifying as it slams ashore between Biloxi and Panama City Beach....if shear is low, there is that possibility :eek:

PW
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#26 Postby feederband » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:35 pm

He's choking like a fish out of water..... 8-)
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#27 Postby Brent » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:44 pm

SouthernWx wrote:Check out the max hurricane potential as of today:

http://wxmaps.org/pix/atlpot.png

Look at the second chart (below) of max sustained winds.....check out the blue shading offshore the northern Gulf coast....exactly where Dennis is heading.

I'm very concerned this monster will be intensifying as it slams ashore between Biloxi and Panama City Beach....if shear is low, there is that possibility :eek:

PW


:eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:

Thanks for the graphic Perry.
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