Note the last sentence.......

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

Note the last sentence.......

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:04 pm

from an excerpt from the 8 p.m. NHC discussion:

"GULF OF MEXICO...
DENNIS HAS STARTED TO EFFECT THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH CONVECTION
OVER CUBA AND FLORIDA. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS OVER FLORIDA FROM 24N-30N BETWEEN 81W-84W. MOSTLY
FAIR WEATHER DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. IN
THE UPPER LEVELS...AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR
24N80W WITH SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE E OF 86W. A CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR 21N93W WITH STRONG
SUBSIDENCE W OF 86W. EXPECT DENNIS TO CONTINUE N TO THE NE
GULF."

Formosa
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38266
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

#2 Postby Brent » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:05 pm

Actually... right now it's headed WNW west of the NHC track.
0 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
deltadog03
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3580
Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:16 pm
Location: Macon, GA

#3 Postby deltadog03 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:05 pm

man...they might have to eat that statement....Its heading almost due west for a couple of hours now...even Dr. Lyons is saying the same thing...
0 likes   

jkt21787
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2061
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:27 pm
Location: Memphis, TN

#4 Postby jkt21787 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:06 pm

Thats funny...Dennis can't continue N if its not going in that direction at all right now, its moving WNW-NW. Thats screwed up. Don't take it with any seriousness.
0 likes   

User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#5 Postby dixiebreeze » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:06 pm

Brent wrote:Actually... right now it's headed WNW west of the NHC track.


I really think that will change when Dennis hit open water again.
0 likes   

User avatar
Canelaw99
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2128
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 8:27 am
Location: Homestead, FL

#6 Postby Canelaw99 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:07 pm

Norcross (CBS local met) was talking about this same thing - it's what the models are prokecting to happen, and it's what they all think will be occurring as well. Time will ultimately tell, but they've been doing pretty darn good with this thing so far....
0 likes   

User avatar
cajungal
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2336
Age: 49
Joined: Sun Mar 14, 2004 9:34 pm
Location: Schriever, Louisiana (60 miles southwest of New Orleans)

#7 Postby cajungal » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:07 pm

Here we go again. :eek: They been right on target so far. And they still confident it will go into Gulf Shores/Pensacola general area. In the end, they usually always end up being right anyway. Just read the Channel 4 New Orleans forums and everybody is already freaking out again with the very word "west". I think it just a temporary movement.
Last edited by cajungal on Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:09 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

wxwonder12
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 199
Joined: Thu May 12, 2005 11:29 am

#8 Postby wxwonder12 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:09 pm

Norcross is usually right on. He is indicating for nobody to let there guard down.
0 likes   

tracyswfla
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 792
Joined: Tue May 18, 2004 1:19 pm
Location: Rochester, NY

Re: Note the last sentence.......

#9 Postby tracyswfla » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:14 pm

[quote="dixiebreeze"]from an excerpt from the 8 p.m. NHC discussion:

"GULF OF MEXICO...
DENNIS HAS STARTED TO EFFECT THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH CONVECTION
OVER CUBA AND FLORIDA. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS OVER FLORIDA FROM 24N-30N BETWEEN 81W-84W. MOSTLY
FAIR WEATHER DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. IN
THE UPPER LEVELS...AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR
24N80W WITH SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE E OF 86W. A CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR 21N93W WITH STRONG
SUBSIDENCE W OF 86W. EXPECT DENNIS TO CONTINUE N TO THE NE
GULF."

Formosa

where did you get that? I can't find it
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38266
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

#10 Postby Brent » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:14 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:
Brent wrote:Actually... right now it's headed WNW west of the NHC track.


I really think that will change when Dennis hit open water again.


:roll:

I see no evidence of due north after it re-emerges. NW, maybe some NNW and WNW wobbles.
0 likes   
#neversummer

jamima
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 40
Joined: Thu May 19, 2005 3:40 pm

#11 Postby jamima » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:24 pm

North or Northeast What???
0 likes   

User avatar
HollynLA
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 836
Joined: Sat Aug 28, 2004 10:36 pm
Location: South Louisiana

#12 Postby HollynLA » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:29 pm

Isn't it funny how those from Florida still insist on the NHC track and want to deny the westward movement, :lol: :lol: :lol:

Anyway, just wanted to point that out, I have no idea where the damn thing is going.
0 likes   

Rainband

#13 Postby Rainband » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:32 pm

HollynLA wrote:Isn't it funny how those from Florida still insist on the NHC track and want to deny the westward movement, :lol: :lol: :lol:

Anyway, just wanted to point that out, I have no idea where the damn thing is going.
Those from florida and anybody else believes the officials and the OFFICIAL info. I find it funny how people try and second guess the NHC. :lol: :lol: :lol: :roll:
0 likes   

wxwonder12
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 199
Joined: Thu May 12, 2005 11:29 am

#14 Postby wxwonder12 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:34 pm

It's funny how HollynLa doubts the NHC track too!!!!
0 likes   

User avatar
HollynLA
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 836
Joined: Sat Aug 28, 2004 10:36 pm
Location: South Louisiana

#15 Postby HollynLA » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:36 pm

Well, which track would that be? The one to Panama City yesterday, or the one to Mobile this morning, Pensacola now?

How about their Cindy track earlier this week sending it to Texas? Yeah, that worked out great! Do you really believe that the track is not going to change?

If I bet on a game and changed my bets as the game took place, don't you think I'd do pretty well?
0 likes   

LilNoles2005
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 143
Joined: Tue Apr 19, 2005 11:32 am

and..

#16 Postby LilNoles2005 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:38 pm

HollynLA wrote:Isn't it funny how those from Florida still insist on the NHC track and want to deny the westward movement, :lol: :lol: :lol:

Anyway, just wanted to point that out, I have no idea where the damn thing is going.


and earlier, when Dennis was moving between NNW and NW, you were probably insisting on the NHC's track. Look, it goes both ways, it gets us no where with people pointing this out. No reason to "join sides" on this; this isn't a game or a competition. It's ridiculous the way some of you have acted this week.

My rant is done.
0 likes   

wxwonder12
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 199
Joined: Thu May 12, 2005 11:29 am

#17 Postby wxwonder12 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:38 pm

Sounds like you are getting a little frantic and need to calm down until the track stops "jumping" back and forth. It will be ok 8-)
0 likes   

User avatar
cinlfla
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 687
Joined: Mon Aug 16, 2004 7:16 pm
Location: Titusville, Florida on the Spacecoast

#18 Postby cinlfla » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:40 pm

and earlier, when Dennis was moving between NNW and NW, you were probably insisting on the NHC's track. Look, it goes both ways, it gets us no where with people pointing this out. No reason to "join sides" on this; this isn't a game or a competition. It's ridiculous the way some of you have acted this week.




I agree, It reminds me of when my kids argue....grrrrrrr
0 likes   

Rainband

Re: and..

#19 Postby Rainband » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:40 pm

LilNoles2005 wrote:
HollynLA wrote:Isn't it funny how those from Florida still insist on the NHC track and want to deny the westward movement, :lol: :lol: :lol:

Anyway, just wanted to point that out, I have no idea where the damn thing is going.


and earlier, when Dennis was moving between NNW and NW, you were probably insisting on the NHC's track. Look, it goes both ways, it gets us no where with people pointing this out. No reason to "join sides" on this; this isn't a game or a competition. It's ridiculous the way some of you have acted this week.

My rant is done.
I agree.
0 likes   

User avatar
Eyes2theSkies
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 264
Joined: Thu Aug 12, 2004 4:20 am
Location: Was Florida now Charlotte, NC
Contact:

#20 Postby Eyes2theSkies » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:42 pm

all bets are off untill it gets in the gulf it could move south for 2 hours and it still wouldnt mean anything untill it gets back over the water. all this over analization is a moot point. just my opinion
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Team Ghost, Teban54 and 70 guests