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senorpepr
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#141 Postby senorpepr » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:15 pm

VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 15
Flight ID: AF308
Observation Number: 09
Time: 23:55:00Z
Latitude: 26.1°N
Longitude: 85°W
Location: 200 mi SW of Tampa, Florida
Minimum height at NA mb 2606 m
Est. Surface Winds Observed: 115 mph
Distance and bearing from center to max surface wind: 3 mi SW (236°)
Maximum flight level wind: NNW (327°) @ 115 mph
Distance and bearing from center to max flight level wind: 6 mi WSW (238°)
Sea level pressure: 942 mb
Max flight level temperature outside the eye: 54°F at 9993 feet
Max flight level temperature inside the eye: 66°F at 9777 feet
Dewpoint temperature inside the eye: 54°F
Eye character: CLOSED WALL
Eye shape: Circular
Eye diameter: 12 mi
Fix determined by: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure Temperature at Surface
Navigation / Met Accuracy: 0.02 / 2 nm
MAX FL WIND 100 KT SW QUAD 23:53:40 Z
SFC CENTER ABOUT 3NM ESE FROM FLT LVL CENTER
FIX TIME 09/2355Z
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#142 Postby chris_fit » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:16 pm

oopsie i was wrong :grrr:
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#143 Postby senorpepr » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:17 pm

Dropsonde Observation
Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 15
Flight ID: AF308
Observation Number: 10
Time: 0000Z
Latitude: 26.1°N
Longitude: 81.6°W
Location: 32 mi SSE of Fort Myers, Florida
Surface: 942 mb; Temp: 79°F; Dewpt: 37°F; WSW (240°) @ 1 mph
925mb height: 531 ft; Temp: 77°F; Dewpt: 37°F; W (280°) @ 2 mph
850mb height: 2969 ft; Temp: 71°F; Dewpt: 43°F; NNW (330°) @ 2 mph
EYE SPL 2609N08498W 2358 MBL WND 28502 AEV 20507 DLM WND 16
501 942721 WL150 28502 075


Let me know if you notice any decoding errors on this dropsonde... still working out the bugs in the decoder.
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#144 Postby Normandy » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:18 pm

My goodness, what was his pressure when he had the 150 mph winds?
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#145 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:19 pm

Normandy wrote:My goodness, what was his pressure when he had the 150 mph winds?


937.
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#146 Postby senorpepr » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:20 pm

Dropsonde Observation
Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 15
Flight ID: AF308
Observation Number: 11
Time: 0000Z
Latitude: 26.2°N
Longitude: 81.6°W
Location: 25 mi SSE of Fort Myers, Florida
Surface: 959 mb; Temp: 78°F; Dewpt: 34°F; N (N/A°) @ N/A mph
1000mb height: 2871 ft; Temp: N/A°F; Dewpt: N/A°F; N (N/A°) @ N/A mph
925mb height: 1033 ft; Temp: 74°F; Dewpt: 34°F; E (80°) @ 137 mph
850mb height: 3465 ft; Temp: 70°F; Dewpt: 36°F; E (100°) @ 131 mph
700mb height: 8947 ft; Temp: 58°F; Dewpt: 32°F; SE (140°) @ 123 mph
EYEWALL 045 SPL 2622N08501W 0001 LST WND 052 MBL WND 07623
AEV 20507 DLM WND 10612 953708 WL150 06625 126

Once again, if you catch any errors on the dropsonde, let me know.
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#147 Postby lapeym » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:20 pm

942 mb and STILL only 115 mph winds?
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#148 Postby senorpepr » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:20 pm

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 15
Flight ID: AF308
Flt Data Number: 19
Ob #01 Location: 110 mi SW of Tampa, Florida
Ob #01: Time: 00:08:30Z; Lat: 26.7°N Long: 84.4°W; PA: 3047 ft; D-Value: 8 ft; Wind: SE (146°) @ 75 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #02: Time: 00:09:00Z; Lat: 26.7°N Long: 84.3°W; PA: 3049 ft; D-Value: 9 ft; Wind: SSE (148°) @ 76 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #03: Time: 00:09:30Z; Lat: 26.7°N Long: 84.3°W; PA: 3048 ft; D-Value: 13 ft; Wind: SSE (150°) @ 78 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #04: Time: 00:10:00Z; Lat: 26.7°N Long: 84.3°W; PA: 3049 ft; D-Value: 15 ft; Wind: SSE (150°) @ 78 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #05: Time: 00:10:30Z; Lat: 26.7°N Long: 84.3°W; PA: 3046 ft; D-Value: 17 ft; Wind: SSE (151°) @ 74 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #06: Time: 00:11:00Z; Lat: 26.8°N Long: 84.2°W; PA: 3050 ft; D-Value: 21 ft; Wind: SSE (152°) @ 74 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #07: Time: 00:11:30Z; Lat: 26.8°N Long: 84.2°W; PA: 3048 ft; D-Value: 24 ft; Wind: SSE (151°) @ 71 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #08: Time: 00:12:00Z; Lat: 26.8°N Long: 84.2°W; PA: 3047 ft; D-Value: 27 ft; Wind: SSE (149°) @ 69 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #09: Time: 00:12:30Z; Lat: 26.8°N Long: 84.2°W; PA: 3050 ft; D-Value: 32 ft; Wind: SSE (148°) @ 68 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #10: Time: 00:13:00Z; Lat: 26.8°N Long: 84.1°W; PA: 3047 ft; D-Value: 34 ft; Wind: SSE (148°) @ 70 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #11: Time: 00:13:30Z; Lat: 26.9°N Long: 84.1°W; PA: 3048 ft; D-Value: 37 ft; Wind: SSE (151°) @ 66 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #12: Time: 00:14:00Z; Lat: 26.9°N Long: 84.1°W; PA: 3048 ft; D-Value: 39 ft; Wind: SSE (151°) @ 68 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #13: Time: 00:14:30Z; Lat: 26.9°N Long: 84.1°W; PA: 3049 ft; D-Value: 42 ft; Wind: SE (145°) @ 69 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #14: Time: 00:15:00Z; Lat: 26.9°N Long: 84°W; PA: 3048 ft; D-Value: 45 ft; Wind: SE (145°) @ 70 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #15: Time: 00:15:30Z; Lat: 27°N Long: 84°W; PA: 3048 ft; D-Value: 46 ft; Wind: SE (145°) @ 71 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #16: Time: 00:16:00Z; Lat: 27°N Long: 84°W; PA: 3056 ft; D-Value: 48 ft; Wind: SE (146°) @ 67 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #17: Time: 00:16:30Z; Lat: 27°N Long: 84°W; PA: 3053 ft; D-Value: 51 ft; Wind: SSE (148°) @ 70 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #18: Time: 00:17:00Z; Lat: 27°N Long: 83.9°W; PA: 3046 ft; D-Value: 53 ft; Wind: SSE (149°) @ 77 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #19: Time: 00:17:30Z; Lat: 27.1°N Long: 83.9°W; PA: 3047 ft; D-Value: 55 ft; Wind: SSE (148°) @ 81 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #20: Time: 00:18:00Z; Lat: 27.1°N Long: 83.9°W; PA: 3048 ft; D-Value: 58 ft; Wind: SSE (147°) @ 82 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 45°F
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#149 Postby Normandy » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:21 pm

What are with his winds, they should be in the 140's.
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#150 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:21 pm

lapeym wrote:942 mb and STILL only 115 mph winds?


The winds wil be bumped up at 9 PM advisory.
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#151 Postby drezee » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:22 pm

Yeah, 125!

623
WHXX01 KWBC 100012
CHGHUR

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

HURRICANE DENNIS (AL042005) ON 20050710 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050710 0000 050710 1200 050711 0000 050711 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 26.1N 85.0W 28.3N 86.9W 30.7N 88.6W 33.0N 89.6W
BAMM 26.1N 85.0W 28.0N 86.8W 30.1N 88.3W 32.0N 89.3W
A98E 26.1N 85.0W 28.0N 86.5W 29.8N 87.4W 32.2N 87.8W
LBAR 26.1N 85.0W 28.1N 86.6W 30.0N 88.5W 31.7N 90.2W
SHIP 110KTS 116KTS 113KTS 101KTS
DSHP 110KTS 116KTS 95KTS 50KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050712 0000 050713 0000 050714 0000 050715 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 35.4N 89.9W 38.3N 87.2W 38.5N 83.4W 39.4N 80.1W
BAMM 34.0N 89.6W 36.5N 87.3W 37.4N 83.2W 38.9N 80.0W
A98E 34.2N 88.0W 37.3N 87.2W 37.9N 83.5W 40.1N 77.0W
LBAR 33.6N 91.5W 36.7N 91.4W 37.5N 87.1W 37.5N 80.2W
SHIP 88KTS 55KTS 33KTS 19KTS
DSHP 34KTS 28KTS 28KTS 29KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 26.1N LONCUR = 85.0W DIRCUR = 320DEG SPDCUR = 12KT
LATM12 = 24.3N LONM12 = 83.4W DIRM12 = 321DEG SPDM12 = 12KT
LATM24 = 22.7N LONM24 = 81.6W
WNDCUR = 110KT RMAXWD = 5NM WNDM12 = 80KT
CENPRS = 942MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 250NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 150NM RD34SE = 150NM RD34SW = 80NM RD34NW = 150NM
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#152 Postby gkrangers » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:22 pm

cycloneye wrote:
lapeym wrote:942 mb and STILL only 115 mph winds?


The winds wil be bumped up at 9 PM advisory.
I agree.

110-115KTS unless recond finds stronger.
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#153 Postby canegrl04 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:22 pm

I will be shocked if Dennis is not churning out there at least 135 mph by 11pm
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#154 Postby gkrangers » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:31 pm

09/2345 UTC 26.1N 84.9W T6.0/6.0 DENNIS -- Atlantic Ocean
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#155 Postby clfenwi » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:38 pm

Decodes look good to me senorepr... outstanding work!
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#156 Postby senorpepr » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:44 pm

RECCO Observation
Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 15
Flight ID: AF308
Observation Number: 12
Time: 0023Z
Latitude: 27.3°N
Longitude: 83.6°W
Location: 80 mi SW of Tampa, Florida
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: Clear
Pressure Altitude: 10000 feet
Flight level wind: SSE (150°) @ 69 mph
Temperature: 50°F
Dewpoint: 50°F
Weather: Overcast Skies
700mb height: 10200 feet
Surface Wind: SE (120°) @ 75 mph
Remarks: None
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#157 Postby vbhoutex » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:45 pm

I don't have the report, but Derek just posted they found 122kts in NE quad at FL which equates to 110 kts at surface I believe.

If this has already been posted I apologize.
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#158 Postby senorpepr » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:46 pm

clfenwi wrote:Decodes look good to me senorepr... outstanding work!


Thanks. I realized what had happened -- a slight programming error. I had it looking at the wrong line. I think I've ironed most, if not all, of the kinks.
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#159 Postby gkrangers » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:46 pm

vbhoutex wrote:I don't have the report, but Derek just posted they found 122kts in NE quad at FL which equates to 110 kts at surface I believe.

If this has already been posted I apologize.
Yeah, one of the decodes had 137MPH in the NE quad, which is 122KTS.
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#160 Postby senorpepr » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:02 pm

Supplementary Vortex Data Message
Inbound Ob #1: 24.9°N 086.4°W; 700mb height: 10100 feet; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Flt level wind: NW (310°) @ 40 mph
Inbound Ob #2: 25.1°N 086.2°W; 700mb height: 10100 feet; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 48°F; Flt level wind: WNW (300°) @ 39 mph
Inbound Ob #3: 25.2°N 086.0°W; 700mb height: 10000 feet; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 48°F; Flt level wind: NW (310°) @ 39 mph
Inbound Ob #4: 25.4°N 085.8°W; 700mb height: 10000 feet; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Flt level wind: NW (320°) @ 44 mph
Inbound Ob #5: 25.6°N 085.6°W; 700mb height: 9900 feet; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 48°F; Flt level wind: NW (320°) @ 55 mph
Inbound Ob #6: 25.8°N 085.4°W; 700mb height: 13100 feet; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 52°F; Flt level wind: NW (310°) @ 52 mph
Inbound Ob #7: 25.9°N 085.2°W; 700mb height: 12900 feet; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 48°F; Flt level wind: NW (320°) @ 59 mph
Max flight level wind (Inbound): 115 mph at 26.0°N 085.1°W
First inbound ob surface wind: NW (330°) @ 40 mph

Outbound Ob #1: 26.3°N 084.8°W; 700mb height: 12800 feet; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 52°F; Flt level wind: SE (140°) @ 101 mph
Outbound Ob #2: 26.4°N 084.6°W; 700mb height: 13100 feet; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 50°F; Flt level wind: SE (140°) @ 79 mph
Outbound Ob #3: 26.6°N 084.4°W; 700mb height: 9900 feet; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 48°F; Flt level wind: SSE (150°) @ 76 mph
Outbound Ob #4: 26.8°N 084.2°W; 700mb height: 10000 feet; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Flt level wind: SSE (150°) @ 69 mph
Outbound Ob #5: 27.0°N 084.0°W; 700mb height: 10000 feet; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 50°F; Flt level wind: SSE (150°) @ 66 mph
Outbound Ob #6: 27.1°N 083.8°W; 700mb height: 10100 feet; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 50°F; Flt level wind: SSE (150°) @ 70 mph
Outbound Ob #7: 27.3°N 083.6°W; 700mb height: 10100 feet; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 50°F; Flt level wind: SSE (150°) @ 75 mph
Max flight level wind (Outbound): 141 mph at 26.2°N 084.9°W
Last outbound ob surface wind: SE (120°) @ 75 mph
Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 15
Flight ID: AF308
Observation Number: 13
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