NNW track has started.

mtm4319 · #81 Postby **mtm4319** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:13 pm

We're 215 feet above sea level... not even a cat. 5 could get us with storm surge.

There aren't very many large trees around us, so that's good.

BReb · #82 Postby **BReb** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:28 pm

Looking at the Key West radar, the most recent loops look almost due north.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... kbyx.shtml

mikey mike · #83 Postby **mikey mike** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:41 pm

Looks north to me!!

jkt21787 · #84 Postby **jkt21787** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:43 pm

Earlier, CNN met Jacqui Jeras used paper on the map to show that it WAS turning more north and could mean a major shift in the track. However, Max Mayfield is on there now and just slammed her. He said this is totally expected and only a wobble, it should go back on track, and pointed out that it was west earlier, meaning it balances out.

He also told CNN that their whole forecast track was wrong and corrected it for them. Thought that was neat...

#85 Postby **feederband** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:45 pm

mikey mike wrote:Looks north to me!!

Me too..... :eek:

vespersparrow · #86 Postby **vespersparrow** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:47 pm

I can't imagine how these forecasters would feel if they got it all wrong and the ones that shoulda evacked didn't....I can see why alot of these folks are adamant on some of the forecasts they put out. Its truly a matter of life and death.

NorthGaWeather · #87 Postby **NorthGaWeather** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:48 pm

jkt21787 wrote:Earlier, CNN met Jacqui Jeras used paper on the map to show that it WAS turning more north and could mean a major shift in the track. However, Max Mayfield is on there now and just slammed her. He said this is totally expected and only a wobble, it should go back on track, and pointed out that it was west earlier, meaning it balances out.

He also told CNN that their whole forecast track was wrong and corrected it for them. Thought that was neat...

Dang I wish I could have watched that. :lol:

LilNoles2005 · #88 Postby **LilNoles2005** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:48 pm

I know I don't have to point this out, but I think it should be noted that we are at a time, in my opinion, where each and every "wobble" is crucial to the eventual landfall.

jkt21787 · #89 Postby **jkt21787** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:49 pm

feederband wrote:
mikey mike wrote:Looks north to me!!

Me too.....

Hey, no doubt its going more north (dare I say due north), but this is not unexpected. FL panhandle is still in trouble from this storm whether its a direct hit or not. People should already have left or else their lives are in danger.

#90 Postby **feederband** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:49 pm

LilNoles2005 wrote:I know I don't have to point this out, but I think it should be noted that we are at a time, in my opinion, where each and every "wobble" is crucial to the eventual landfall.

Yup....

#91 Postby **TampaFl** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:58 pm

Tampa Radar: Looks NNW to N to me too :eek:

Robert

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/tbw_N0Z_lp.html

swimaster20 · #92 Postby **swimaster20** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:01 pm

Well between the 6 PM advisory and the 8 PM advisory it moved 2 clicks North and 2 clicks West (true NW motion).

tampastorm · #93 Postby **tampastorm** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:03 pm

Last few frames NNE? If so could this be a trend? Things could get very muchmore intersting. Never let your guard down to it makes landfall. As Yogi Berra said "its not over till its over".

#94 Postby **gatorcane** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:03 pm

Looks like NHC will have to adjust the track. It's going to be a Panhandle hit all the way. Too much N movement right now :eek:

jkt21787 · #95 Postby **jkt21787** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:04 pm

boca_chris wrote:Looks like NHC will have to adjust the track. It's going to be a Panhandle hit all the way. Too much N movement right now

Max Mayfield was on CNN and acknowledged the track and said there is no reason to adjust it at this time. He slammed the CNN met for saying that it would be necessary.

Doesn't get more official than that...

Normandy · #96 Postby **Normandy** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:07 pm

NNE movement??!??!? Im sorry but thats mad.

Look, its NNW.

#97 Postby **gatorcane** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:07 pm

Max Mayfield was on CNN and acknowledged the track and said there is no reason to adjust it at this time. He slammed the CNN met for saying that it would be necessary.

Doesn't get more official than that...

Well Max was sure wrong last year with Charley wasn't he?

Normandy · #98 Postby **Normandy** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:08 pm

Well Max was sure wrong last year with Charley wasn't he?

Had Charley hit a perpendicular coastline, the track error really isnt that great. The angle at which Charley came in made the error seems larger than it really was.

#99 Postby **HollynLA** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:08 pm

Last few frames NNE? If so could this be a trend?

Not sure what you're looking at but definitely not NNE.

Wobble wobble wobble, just as it's been doing for days. Earlier today, it had a big west wobble. If it continues for more than 4 hours, it's a trend.

jkt21787 · #100 Postby **jkt21787** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:09 pm

boca_chris wrote:
Max Mayfield was on CNN and acknowledged the track and said there is no reason to adjust it at this time. He slammed the CNN met for saying that it would be necessary.

Doesn't get more official than that...

Well Max was sure wrong last year with Charley wasn't he?

Charley was a different situation entirely. No need for a comparison. Come on, its strange these same people weren't making a huge fuss for a west shift when there was the WNW jog.

NNW track has started.

I know..

Re: I know..

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