Warm SST ahead

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baitism
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Warm SST ahead

#1 Postby baitism » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:31 pm

Dennis is about to enter an area of warmer waters:

http://www.maineharbors.com/weather/seatemp4.htm

It will be interesting to see what happens. If the tracks much farther west he will miss the only remaining "cold" pocket of water.
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drezee
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#2 Postby drezee » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:42 pm

oh crap!!
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Josephine96

#3 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:44 pm

I've got a bad feeling we've got a catastrophic situation setting up for anyone in North Florida or Alabama.. Especially if the warmer water allows him to get much stronger..
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#4 Postby Huckster » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:49 pm

That's one of those notorious eddies. I'm not saying it's going up to Cat. 8 strength, but many hurricanes have really ramped up while crossing one of those. Opal is a good example.
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#5 Postby wlfpack81 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:17 pm

Man looking at the nw track and those sst's looks like Dennis is going to stay roughly in that 28 degree C and higher ssts!!! Not good. Sat shows the storm is already beginning to tighten up. Another sign of strengthening.
Last edited by wlfpack81 on Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:24 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#6 Postby flightpath » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:21 pm

what can we expect in the way of widening wind field? or will storm tighten up a little
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#7 Postby canegrl04 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:43 pm

So much for Dr.Jeff Masters' prognosis for Dennis.He said cooler waters will weaken him before he can get any stronger than 145-150mph :(
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#8 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:50 pm

This is indeed the infamous eddy that caused Ivan to explode in the Gulf last year! :eek:

The only thing that could cause intensification to level off is ERCs with the concentric eye walls. Everything else looks quite favorable.

Time will tell....but this is just amazing!
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#9 Postby beenthru6 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 9:08 pm

Wow, talk about throwing fuel on a fire.
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#10 Postby canegrl04 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 9:13 pm

Isn't this nearly the same track Camille took? :?:
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#11 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 9:23 pm

wow I looked at the satellite before looking at the forums...
I saw the current satellite image and was amazed by how symmetrical Dennis was and also the convection associated with him...

I read this thread and said to myself "oh so Dennis hit this eddy and that's how he strengthened so much"

Then I compared the two images...

DENNIS HASNT EVEN HIT THE EDDY YET!
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LSU2001
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#12 Postby LSU2001 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 9:26 pm

canegrl04 wrote:Isn't this nearly the same track Camille took? :?:


Similar, Camile's track was a little further west through the central gulf.
Look at the link below and save it. you will need to rotate it to really see the track.

ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/pub/storm_archiv ... elim01.gif
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LSU2001
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#13 Postby LSU2001 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 9:27 pm

or for those whoo want to see it without rotation.
[img]ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/pub/storm_archives/atlantic/prelimat/atl1969/camille/prelim01.gif[/img]
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Derek Ortt

#14 Postby Derek Ortt » Sat Jul 09, 2005 9:31 pm

Looks like it will miss the very warmest waters. Only will cross where the temps are 31C not 34C
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#15 Postby flnative » Sat Jul 09, 2005 9:38 pm

I am guessing that the eye passing over the warmest water makes the biggest difference, but won't the fact that a significant portion of Dennis will pass over the warmest water make a difference as well?
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