Recon Reports

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Locked
Message
Author
User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:
Contact senorpepr

#241 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 10, 2005 12:51 am

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 15
Flight ID: AF308
Flt Data Number: 50
Ob #01 Location: 180 mi WSW of Tampa, Florida
Ob #01: Time: 05:40:30Z; Position: 27.1°N 86.7°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 12 ft; Wind: N (2°) @ 47 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #02: Time: 05:41:00Z; Position: 27.1°N 86.7°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 11 ft; Wind: N (356°) @ 45 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #03: Time: 05:41:30Z; Position: 27°N 86.7°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 11 ft; Wind: N (353°) @ 46 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #04: Time: 05:42:00Z; Position: 27°N 86.7°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 10 ft; Wind: N (356°) @ 50 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #05: Time: 05:42:30Z; Position: 27°N 86.7°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 10 ft; Wind: N (351°) @ 53 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #06: Time: 05:43:00Z; Position: 26.9°N 86.7°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 9 ft; Wind: NNW (348°) @ 54 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #07: Time: 05:43:30Z; Position: 26.9°N 86.7°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 10 ft; Wind: NNW (345°) @ 52 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #08: Time: 05:44:00Z; Position: 26.8°N 86.7°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 9 ft; Wind: NNW (343°) @ 52 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #09: Time: 05:44:30Z; Position: 26.8°N 86.7°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 10 ft; Wind: NNW (344°) @ 53 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #10: Time: 05:45:00Z; Position: 26.8°N 86.7°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 10 ft; Wind: NNW (342°) @ 53 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #11: Time: 05:45:30Z; Position: 26.7°N 86.7°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 11 ft; Wind: NNW (333°) @ 50 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #12: Time: 05:46:00Z; Position: 26.7°N 86.6°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 10 ft; Wind: NNW (333°) @ 48 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #13: Time: 05:46:30Z; Position: 26.7°N 86.6°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 12 ft; Wind: NNW (333°) @ 50 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #14: Time: 05:47:00Z; Position: 26.6°N 86.6°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 13 ft; Wind: NNW (331°) @ 48 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #15: Time: 05:47:30Z; Position: 26.6°N 86.6°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 15 ft; Wind: NNW (331°) @ 46 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #16: Time: 05:48:00Z; Position: 26.6°N 86.6°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 15 ft; Wind: NNW (330°) @ 48 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #17: Time: 05:48:30Z; Position: 26.5°N 86.6°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 21 ft; Wind: NW (326°) @ 47 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #18: Time: 05:49:00Z; Position: 26.5°N 86.6°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 18 ft; Wind: NW (321°) @ 45 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #19: Time: 05:49:30Z; Position: 26.6°N 86.5°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 12 ft; Wind: NW (319°) @ 43 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #20: Time: 05:50:00Z; Position: 26.6°N 86.5°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 10 ft; Wind: NW (316°) @ 41 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 39°F
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hurricane Cheese
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 365
Joined: Thu Aug 12, 2004 12:40 am
Location: Green Bay, WI (UWGB Earth Science Alum)

#242 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Sun Jul 10, 2005 12:52 am

I'm terrible at reading and finding out about the Recon Data...

Just curious when the next vortex will be?


Thanks for the great work senorpepr!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:
Contact senorpepr

#243 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 10, 2005 12:57 am

Another flight on the map.
Flight Level Data
Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 16
Flight ID: AF305
Flt Data Number: 01
Ob #01 Location: 16 mi N of Galveston, Texas
Ob #01: Time: 05:45:00Z; Position: 29.5°N 95.1°W; PA: 4393 ft; D-Value: 45 ft; Wind: ESE (107°) @ 18 mph; Temp: 64°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #02: Time: 05:45:30Z; Position: 29.5°N 95°W; PA: 5253 ft; D-Value: 61 ft; Wind: E (100°) @ 18 mph; Temp: 62°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #03: Time: 05:46:00Z; Position: 29.5°N 95°W; PA: 6056 ft; D-Value: 76 ft; Wind: E (98°) @ 17 mph; Temp: 59°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #04: Time: 05:46:30Z; Position: 29.5°N 95°W; PA: 6850 ft; D-Value: 91 ft; Wind: E (96°) @ 15 mph; Temp: 56°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #05: Time: 05:47:00Z; Position: 29.5°N 95°W; PA: 7575 ft; D-Value: 98 ft; Wind: E (85°) @ 12 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 34°F
Ob #06: Time: 05:47:30Z; Position: 29.5°N 94.9°W; PA: 8379 ft; D-Value: 115 ft; Wind: E (95°) @ 13 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 34°F
Ob #07: Time: 05:48:00Z; Position: 29.5°N 94.9°W; PA: 9134 ft; D-Value: 129 ft; Wind: E (99°) @ 14 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 34°F
Ob #08: Time: 05:48:30Z; Position: 29.4°N 94.9°W; PA: 9823 ft; D-Value: 142 ft; Wind: E (97°) @ 13 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 34°F
Ob #09: Time: 05:49:00Z; Position: 29.4°N 94.8°W; PA: 10482 ft; D-Value: 157 ft; Wind: E (97°) @ 12 mph; Temp: 43°F; Dewpt: 34°F
Ob #10: Time: 05:49:30Z; Position: 29.4°N 94.8°W; PA: 11142 ft; D-Value: 169 ft; Wind: ESE (113°) @ 12 mph; Temp: 40°F; Dewpt: 34°F
Ob #11: Time: 05:50:00Z; Position: 29.4°N 94.8°W; PA: 11772 ft; D-Value: 167 ft; Wind: SE (126°) @ 10 mph; Temp: 38°F; Dewpt: 34°F
Ob #12: Time: 05:50:30Z; Position: 29.4°N 94.7°W; PA: 12388 ft; D-Value: 184 ft; Wind: SE (144°) @ 13 mph; Temp: 36°F; Dewpt: 34°F
Ob #13: Time: 05:51:00Z; Position: 29.4°N 94.7°W; PA: 13045 ft; D-Value: 201 ft; Wind: SE (139°) @ 17 mph; Temp: 34°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #14: Time: 05:51:30Z; Position: 29.4°N 94.7°W; PA: 13678 ft; D-Value: 204 ft; Wind: ESE (121°) @ 21 mph; Temp: 33°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #15: Time: 05:52:00Z; Position: 29.3°N 94.6°W; PA: 14213 ft; D-Value: 191 ft; Wind: ESE (119°) @ 21 mph; Temp: 34°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #16: Time: 05:52:30Z; Position: 29.3°N 94.6°W; PA: 14728 ft; D-Value: 201 ft; Wind: ESE (120°) @ 21 mph; Temp: 36°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #17: Time: 05:53:00Z; Position: 29.3°N 94.6°W; PA: 15007 ft; D-Value: 205 ft; Wind: ESE (120°) @ 22 mph; Temp: 38°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #18: Time: 05:53:30Z; Position: 29.3°N 94.6°W; PA: 15062 ft; D-Value: 207 ft; Wind: ESE (119°) @ 22 mph; Temp: 38°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #19: Time: 05:54:00Z; Position: 29.3°N 94.5°W; PA: 15039 ft; D-Value: 207 ft; Wind: ESE (119°) @ 21 mph; Temp: 37°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #20: Time: 05:54:30Z; Position: 29.3°N 94.5°W; PA: 15039 ft; D-Value: 209 ft; Wind: SE (125°) @ 20 mph; Temp: 37°F; Dewpt: 35°F
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:
Contact senorpepr

#244 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:01 am

Hurricane Cheese wrote:I'm terrible at reading and finding out about the Recon Data...

Just curious when the next vortex will be?


Thanks for the great work senorpepr!


Well... AF308 may be going in for one last fix within the next hour. If not, it'll be a few more hours before AF305 gets in.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:
Contact senorpepr

#245 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:02 am

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 15
Flight ID: AF308
Flt Data Number: 51
Ob #01 Location: 206 mi WSW of Tampa, Florida
Ob #01: Time: 05:50:30Z; Position: 26.6°N 86.5°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 8 ft; Wind: NW (320°) @ 41 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #02: Time: 05:51:00Z; Position: 26.6°N 86.5°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 4 ft; Wind: NW (321°) @ 44 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #03: Time: 05:51:30Z; Position: 26.6°N 86.4°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 2 ft; Wind: NW (320°) @ 45 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #04: Time: 05:52:00Z; Position: 26.7°N 86.4°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -1 ft; Wind: NW (320°) @ 44 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #05: Time: 05:52:30Z; Position: 26.7°N 86.4°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -5 ft; Wind: NW (317°) @ 44 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #06: Time: 05:53:00Z; Position: 26.7°N 86.4°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -9 ft; Wind: NW (318°) @ 44 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #07: Time: 05:53:30Z; Position: 26.7°N 86.4°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -12 ft; Wind: NW (313°) @ 38 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #08: Time: 05:54:00Z; Position: 26.7°N 86.3°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -15 ft; Wind: NW (308°) @ 35 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #09: Time: 05:54:30Z; Position: 26.8°N 86.3°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -17 ft; Wind: NW (312°) @ 35 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #10: Time: 05:55:00Z; Position: 26.8°N 86.3°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -20 ft; Wind: NW (310°) @ 36 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #11: Time: 05:55:30Z; Position: 26.8°N 86.3°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -22 ft; Wind: NW (306°) @ 37 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #12: Time: 05:56:00Z; Position: 26.8°N 86.2°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -26 ft; Wind: NW (307°) @ 37 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #13: Time: 05:56:30Z; Position: 26.8°N 86.2°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -29 ft; Wind: NW (305°) @ 38 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #14: Time: 05:57:00Z; Position: 26.9°N 86.2°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -32 ft; Wind: NW (305°) @ 39 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #15: Time: 05:57:30Z; Position: 26.9°N 86.2°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -35 ft; Wind: NW (304°) @ 40 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #16: Time: 05:58:00Z; Position: 26.9°N 86.2°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -39 ft; Wind: NW (307°) @ 39 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #17: Time: 05:58:30Z; Position: 26.9°N 86.1°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -44 ft; Wind: NW (304°) @ 39 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #18: Time: 05:59:00Z; Position: 27°N 86.1°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: -50 ft; Wind: NW (307°) @ 43 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #19: Time: 05:59:30Z; Position: 27°N 86.1°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -57 ft; Wind: NW (307°) @ 45 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #20: Time: 06:00:00Z; Position: 27°N 86.1°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -63 ft; Wind: NW (307°) @ 47 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 40°F
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:
Contact senorpepr

#246 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:05 am

Dropsonde Observation
Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 15
Flight ID: AF308
Observation Number: 33
Time: 0500Z
Latitude: 28.2°N
Longitude: 81.8°W
Location: 47 mi ENE of Tampa, Florida
Surface: 1001 mb; Temp: 79°F; Dewpt: 72°F; NNE (20°) @ 48 mph
1000mb height: 16 ft; Temp: 79°F; Dewpt: 72°F; NNE (20°) @ 48 mph
925mb height: 2260 ft; Temp: 70°F; Dewpt: 45°F; NE (40°) @ 63 mph
850mb height: 4659 ft; Temp: 64°F; Dewpt: 39°F; ENE (60°) @ 74 mph
700mb height: 10069 ft; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 86°F; ENE (60°) @ 53 mph
SPL 2815N08703W 0524 MBL WND 03047 AEV 20507 DLM WND 05554
001752 WL150 03045 075
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:
Contact senorpepr

#247 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:05 am

RECCO Observation
Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 15
Flight ID: AF308
Observation Number: 34
Time: 0549Z
Latitude: 26.5°N
Longitude: 86.5°W
Location: 241 mi SSW of Apalachicola, Florida
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: Clear
Pressure Altitude: 10000 feet
Flight level wind: NW (320°) @ 43 mph
Temperature: 52°F
Dewpoint: 48°F
Weather: Unknown
700mb height: 9900 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: None
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:
Contact senorpepr

#248 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:06 am

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 16
Flight ID: AF305
Flt Data Number: 02
Ob #01 Location: 51 mi ESE of High Island, Texas
Ob #01: Time: 05:55:00Z; Position: 29.3°N 94.4°W; PA: 15036 ft; D-Value: 211 ft; Wind: SE (129°) @ 17 mph; Temp: 38°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #02: Time: 05:55:30Z; Position: 29.2°N 94.4°W; PA: 15089 ft; D-Value: 214 ft; Wind: SE (129°) @ 17 mph; Temp: 38°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #03: Time: 05:56:00Z; Position: 29.2°N 94.3°W; PA: 15499 ft; D-Value: 228 ft; Wind: ESE (123°) @ 17 mph; Temp: 38°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #04: Time: 05:56:30Z; Position: 29.2°N 94.3°W; PA: 16322 ft; D-Value: 247 ft; Wind: ESE (115°) @ 13 mph; Temp: 40°F; Dewpt: 34°F
Ob #05: Time: 05:57:00Z; Position: 29.2°N 94.3°W; PA: 17182 ft; D-Value: 265 ft; Wind: E (94°) @ 12 mph; Temp: 40°F; Dewpt: 34°F
Ob #06: Time: 05:57:30Z; Position: 29.2°N 94.2°W; PA: 17700 ft; D-Value: 272 ft; Wind: E (91°) @ 12 mph; Temp: 42°F; Dewpt: 34°F
Ob #07: Time: 05:58:00Z; Position: 29.2°N 94.2°W; PA: 18031 ft; D-Value: 279 ft; Wind: E (94°) @ 13 mph; Temp: 44°F; Dewpt: 34°F
Ob #08: Time: 05:58:30Z; Position: 29.1°N 94.2°W; PA: 18369 ft; D-Value: 286 ft; Wind: ESE (111°) @ 12 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 34°F
Ob #09: Time: 05:59:00Z; Position: 29.1°N 94.1°W; PA: 18635 ft; D-Value: 291 ft; Wind: ESE (122°) @ 9 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 34°F
Ob #10: Time: 05:59:30Z; Position: 29.1°N 94.1°W; PA: 18953 ft; D-Value: 297 ft; Wind: SE (133°) @ 9 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 33°F
Ob #11: Time: 06:00:00Z; Position: 29.1°N 94.1°W; PA: 19285 ft; D-Value: 305 ft; Wind: ESE (123°) @ 9 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 33°F
Ob #12: Time: 06:00:30Z; Position: 29.1°N 94°W; PA: 19590 ft; D-Value: 310 ft; Wind: SE (138°) @ 10 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 34°F
Ob #13: Time: 06:01:00Z; Position: 29.1°N 94°W; PA: 19977 ft; D-Value: 319 ft; Wind: SE (138°) @ 8 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 34°F
Ob #14: Time: 06:01:30Z; Position: 29°N 94°W; PA: 20282 ft; D-Value: 324 ft; Wind: SSE (153°) @ 3 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 33°F
Ob #15: Time: 06:02:00Z; Position: 29°N 93.9°W; PA: 20522 ft; D-Value: 322 ft; Wind: S (178°) @ 3 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 33°F
Ob #16: Time: 06:02:30Z; Position: 29°N 93.9°W; PA: 20804 ft; D-Value: 330 ft; Wind: S (172°) @ 3 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 33°F
Ob #17: Time: 06:03:00Z; Position: 29°N 93.9°W; PA: 20961 ft; D-Value: 334 ft; Wind: SSW (193°) @ 2 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 33°F
Ob #18: Time: 06:03:30Z; Position: 29°N 93.8°W; PA: 21024 ft; D-Value: 334 ft; Wind: SW (219°) @ 2 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 33°F
Ob #19: Time: 06:04:00Z; Position: 28.9°N 93.8°W; PA: 21007 ft; D-Value: 337 ft; Wind: SSW (212°) @ 5 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 33°F
Ob #20: Time: 06:04:30Z; Position: 28.9°N 93.8°W; PA: 21010 ft; D-Value: 338 ft; Wind: S (181°) @ 6 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 33°F
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Pebbles
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1994
Joined: Tue Jul 08, 2003 1:42 pm
Location: New Lenox, IL (SW of Chicago)

#249 Postby Pebbles » Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:11 am

You are a RECON MACHINE!!! LOL Any idea when we can expect a vortex?

whoops didn't see the post above.. sorry hun!
Last edited by Pebbles on Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:12 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:
Contact senorpepr

#250 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:12 am

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 15
Flight ID: AF308
Flt Data Number: 52
Ob #01 Location: 198 mi SSW of Apalachicola, Florida
Ob #01: Time: 06:00:30Z; Position: 27°N 86°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -71 ft; Wind: NW (309°) @ 47 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #02: Time: 06:01:00Z; Position: 27°N 86°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -82 ft; Wind: NW (311°) @ 51 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #03: Time: 06:01:30Z; Position: 27.1°N 86°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -94 ft; Wind: NW (312°) @ 55 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #04: Time: 06:02:00Z; Position: 27.1°N 86°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: -109 ft; Wind: NW (312°) @ 58 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #05: Time: 06:02:30Z; Position: 27.1°N 85.9°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -129 ft; Wind: NW (312°) @ 66 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #06: Time: 06:03:00Z; Position: 27.1°N 85.9°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: -156 ft; Wind: NW (312°) @ 75 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #07: Time: 06:03:30Z; Position: 27.1°N 85.9°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -193 ft; Wind: NW (312°) @ 86 mph; Temp: 56°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #08: Time: 06:04:00Z; Position: 27.2°N 85.9°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: -245 ft; Wind: NW (312°) @ 94 mph; Temp: 58°F; Dewpt: 48°F
Ob #09: Time: 06:04:30Z; Position: 27.2°N 85.9°W; PA: 10033 ft; D-Value: -320 ft; Wind: NW (311°) @ 111 mph; Temp: 63°F; Dewpt: 50°F
Ob #10: Time: 06:05:00Z; Position: 27.2°N 85.8°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: -406 ft; Wind: NW (313°) @ 85 mph; Temp: 55°F; Dewpt: 47°F
Ob #11: Time: 06:05:30Z; Position: 27.2°N 85.8°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: -457 ft; Wind: NW (308°) @ 35 mph; Temp: 61°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #12: Time: 06:06:00Z; Position: 27.2°N 85.8°W; PA: 9872 ft; D-Value: -475 ft; Wind: SSW (196°) @ 10 mph; Temp: 65°F; Dewpt: 34°F
Ob #13: Time: 06:06:30Z; Position: 27.3°N 85.8°W; PA: 9967 ft; D-Value: -476 ft; Wind: SE (143°) @ 22 mph; Temp: 67°F; Dewpt: 36°F
Ob #14: Time: 06:07:00Z; Position: 27.3°N 85.8°W; PA: 9984 ft; D-Value: -467 ft; Wind: SE (136°) @ 38 mph; Temp: 68°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #15: Time: 06:07:30Z; Position: 27.3°N 85.7°W; PA: 10036 ft; D-Value: -443 ft; Wind: SE (130°) @ 66 mph; Temp: 65°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #16: Time: 06:08:00Z; Position: 27.3°N 85.7°W; PA: 10023 ft; D-Value: -399 ft; Wind: SE (130°) @ 122 mph; Temp: 56°F; Dewpt: 55°F
Ob #17: Time: 06:08:30Z; Position: 27.3°N 85.7°W; PA: 10161 ft; D-Value: -318 ft; Wind: SE (129°) @ 158 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 57°F
Ob #18: Time: 06:09:00Z; Position: 27.4°N 85.7°W; PA: 10059 ft; D-Value: -267 ft; Wind: SE (129°) @ 152 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 56°F
Ob #19: Time: 06:09:30Z; Position: 27.4°N 85.7°W; PA: 10030 ft; D-Value: -226 ft; Wind: SE (131°) @ 143 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 55°F
Ob #20: Time: 06:10:00Z; Position: 27.4°N 85.7°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: -190 ft; Wind: SE (135°) @ 132 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 53°F
0 likes   
Top
PurdueWx80
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 2720
Joined: Fri Aug 13, 2004 8:33 pm
Location: Madison, WI
Contact:
Contact PurdueWx80

#251 Postby PurdueWx80 » Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:14 am

158 mph wind in the NE eyewall!!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Normandy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2293
Joined: Sun Oct 10, 2004 12:31 am
Location: Houston, TX

#252 Postby Normandy » Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:14 am

Yep, that supports 140.
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#253 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:14 am

158 mph in 152 mph. This storm is getting strogner!!!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:
Contact senorpepr

#254 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:16 am

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 16
Flight ID: AF305
Flt Data Number: 03
Ob #01 Location: 73 mi WSW of Morgan City, Louisiana
Ob #01: Time: 06:05:00Z; Position: 28.9°N 93.7°W; PA: 21007 ft; D-Value: 338 ft; Wind: SSW (199°) @ 6 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 33°F
Ob #02: Time: 06:05:30Z; Position: 28.9°N 93.7°W; PA: 21004 ft; D-Value: 339 ft; Wind: SSW (201°) @ 5 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 33°F
Ob #03: Time: 06:06:00Z; Position: 28.8°N 93.7°W; PA: 21001 ft; D-Value: 340 ft; Wind: SW (222°) @ 7 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 33°F
Ob #04: Time: 06:06:30Z; Position: 28.8°N 93.6°W; PA: 20994 ft; D-Value: 340 ft; Wind: SW (221°) @ 10 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 34°F
Ob #05: Time: 06:07:00Z; Position: 28.8°N 93.6°W; PA: 20997 ft; D-Value: 339 ft; Wind: SSW (209°) @ 12 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 34°F
Ob #06: Time: 06:07:30Z; Position: 28.7°N 93.5°W; PA: 21010 ft; D-Value: 341 ft; Wind: SSW (212°) @ 14 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 34°F
Ob #07: Time: 06:08:00Z; Position: 28.7°N 93.5°W; PA: 20991 ft; D-Value: 341 ft; Wind: SSW (198°) @ 14 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 34°F
Ob #08: Time: 06:08:30Z; Position: 28.7°N 93.5°W; PA: 21007 ft; D-Value: 341 ft; Wind: SSW (196°) @ 13 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 34°F
Ob #09: Time: 06:09:00Z; Position: 28.7°N 93.4°W; PA: 20991 ft; D-Value: 342 ft; Wind: SSW (199°) @ 15 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 34°F
Ob #10: Time: 06:09:30Z; Position: 28.7°N 93.4°W; PA: 21007 ft; D-Value: 343 ft; Wind: SSW (201°) @ 15 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 34°F
Ob #11: Time: 06:10:00Z; Position: 28.7°N 93.3°W; PA: 21007 ft; D-Value: 345 ft; Wind: SSW (200°) @ 15 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 34°F
Ob #12: Time: 06:10:30Z; Position: 28.6°N 93.3°W; PA: 20997 ft; D-Value: 345 ft; Wind: SSW (206°) @ 15 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #13: Time: 06:11:00Z; Position: 28.6°N 93.2°W; PA: 20991 ft; D-Value: 344 ft; Wind: SSW (207°) @ 20 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #14: Time: 06:11:30Z; Position: 28.6°N 93.2°W; PA: 21014 ft; D-Value: 341 ft; Wind: SSW (209°) @ 20 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #15: Time: 06:12:00Z; Position: 28.6°N 93.2°W; PA: 20981 ft; D-Value: 341 ft; Wind: SSW (208°) @ 21 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #16: Time: 06:12:30Z; Position: 28.6°N 93.1°W; PA: 21014 ft; D-Value: 342 ft; Wind: SSW (206°) @ 18 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #17: Time: 06:13:00Z; Position: 28.6°N 93.1°W; PA: 20984 ft; D-Value: 343 ft; Wind: SSW (195°) @ 17 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #18: Time: 06:13:30Z; Position: 28.5°N 93°W; PA: 21010 ft; D-Value: 341 ft; Wind: SSW (195°) @ 18 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #19: Time: 06:14:00Z; Position: 28.5°N 93°W; PA: 21004 ft; D-Value: 340 ft; Wind: SSW (205°) @ 20 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #20: Time: 06:14:30Z; Position: 28.5°N 92.9°W; PA: 20991 ft; D-Value: 341 ft; Wind: SSW (203°) @ 20 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 35°F
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Pebbles
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1994
Joined: Tue Jul 08, 2003 1:42 pm
Location: New Lenox, IL (SW of Chicago)

#255 Postby Pebbles » Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:19 am

Senorpepr.. not so good with these type of obs... that one with the 158.. what does that equate down to?
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#256 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:20 am

That equals down to a easy 140 mph hurricane.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hurricane Cheese
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 365
Joined: Thu Aug 12, 2004 12:40 am
Location: Green Bay, WI (UWGB Earth Science Alum)

#257 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:20 am

With this new RECON data with 158 mph flight level winds in the NE eyewall.....will the NHC bring the winds to 140 mph in the intermediate advisory?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Normandy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2293
Joined: Sun Oct 10, 2004 12:31 am
Location: Houston, TX

#258 Postby Normandy » Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:21 am

It may be approaching 145....i still think the winds have a tiny bit more catching up to do. I should top out at 150 like it did near Cuba with this same pressure.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:
Contact senorpepr

#259 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:21 am

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 15
Flight ID: AF308
Flt Data Number: 53
Ob #01 Location: 121 mi WSW of Tampa, Florida
Ob #01: Time: 06:10:30Z; Position: 27.4°N 85.6°W; PA: 10052 ft; D-Value: -158 ft; Wind: SE (137°) @ 121 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 51°F
Ob #02: Time: 06:11:00Z; Position: 27.4°N 85.6°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: -133 ft; Wind: SE (138°) @ 112 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 50°F
Ob #03: Time: 06:11:30Z; Position: 27.4°N 85.6°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: -113 ft; Wind: SE (141°) @ 105 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 49°F
Ob #04: Time: 06:12:00Z; Position: 27.5°N 85.6°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -98 ft; Wind: SE (141°) @ 99 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 48°F
Ob #05: Time: 06:12:30Z; Position: 27.5°N 85.5°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -85 ft; Wind: SE (143°) @ 93 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 47°F
Ob #06: Time: 06:13:00Z; Position: 27.5°N 85.5°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -73 ft; Wind: SE (141°) @ 90 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #07: Time: 06:13:30Z; Position: 27.5°N 85.5°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: -65 ft; Wind: SE (141°) @ 86 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #08: Time: 06:14:00Z; Position: 27.5°N 85.5°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -57 ft; Wind: SE (141°) @ 84 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #09: Time: 06:14:30Z; Position: 27.6°N 85.5°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -49 ft; Wind: SE (140°) @ 84 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #10: Time: 06:15:00Z; Position: 27.6°N 85.4°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -44 ft; Wind: SE (138°) @ 81 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #11: Time: 06:15:30Z; Position: 27.6°N 85.4°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -38 ft; Wind: SE (139°) @ 78 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #12: Time: 06:16:00Z; Position: 27.6°N 85.4°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -34 ft; Wind: SE (139°) @ 78 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #13: Time: 06:16:30Z; Position: 27.6°N 85.4°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -29 ft; Wind: SE (140°) @ 77 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #14: Time: 06:17:00Z; Position: 27.7°N 85.3°W; PA: 10020 ft; D-Value: -25 ft; Wind: SE (141°) @ 78 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #15: Time: 06:17:30Z; Position: 27.7°N 85.3°W; PA: 9980 ft; D-Value: -22 ft; Wind: SE (140°) @ 78 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #16: Time: 06:18:00Z; Position: 27.7°N 85.3°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -16 ft; Wind: SE (140°) @ 71 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #17: Time: 06:18:30Z; Position: 27.7°N 85.3°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -13 ft; Wind: SE (140°) @ 75 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #18: Time: 06:19:00Z; Position: 27.7°N 85.3°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -19 ft; Wind: SE (139°) @ 70 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #19: Time: 06:19:30Z; Position: 27.6°N 85.3°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: -25 ft; Wind: SE (145°) @ 73 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #20: Time: 06:20:00Z; Position: 27.6°N 85.3°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -28 ft; Wind: SE (143°) @ 71 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 43°F
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:
Contact senorpepr

#260 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:28 am

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 16
Flight ID: AF305
Flt Data Number: 04
Ob #01 Location: 69 mi S of Morgan City, Louisiana
Ob #01: Time: 06:15:00Z; Position: 28.5°N 92.9°W; PA: 21001 ft; D-Value: 343 ft; Wind: SSW (193°) @ 22 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #02: Time: 06:15:30Z; Position: 28.5°N 92.9°W; PA: 21001 ft; D-Value: 343 ft; Wind: S (191°) @ 22 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #03: Time: 06:16:00Z; Position: 28.5°N 92.8°W; PA: 21001 ft; D-Value: 344 ft; Wind: S (191°) @ 21 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #04: Time: 06:16:30Z; Position: 28.4°N 92.8°W; PA: 20997 ft; D-Value: 343 ft; Wind: S (190°) @ 22 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #05: Time: 06:17:00Z; Position: 28.4°N 92.7°W; PA: 21004 ft; D-Value: 343 ft; Wind: S (188°) @ 22 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #06: Time: 06:17:30Z; Position: 28.4°N 92.7°W; PA: 21004 ft; D-Value: 342 ft; Wind: S (190°) @ 22 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 36°F
Ob #07: Time: 06:18:00Z; Position: 28.4°N 92.6°W; PA: 20997 ft; D-Value: 342 ft; Wind: S (190°) @ 22 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #08: Time: 06:18:30Z; Position: 28.4°N 92.6°W; PA: 20997 ft; D-Value: 341 ft; Wind: SSW (192°) @ 22 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #09: Time: 06:19:00Z; Position: 28.4°N 92.6°W; PA: 21001 ft; D-Value: 343 ft; Wind: SSW (194°) @ 22 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #10: Time: 06:19:30Z; Position: 28.3°N 92.5°W; PA: 21001 ft; D-Value: 344 ft; Wind: SSW (198°) @ 21 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #11: Time: 06:20:00Z; Position: 28.3°N 92.5°W; PA: 21001 ft; D-Value: 345 ft; Wind: SSW (199°) @ 22 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #12: Time: 06:20:30Z; Position: 28.3°N 92.4°W; PA: 21004 ft; D-Value: 346 ft; Wind: SSW (198°) @ 21 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #13: Time: 06:21:00Z; Position: 28.3°N 92.4°W; PA: 20997 ft; D-Value: 346 ft; Wind: SSW (198°) @ 20 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #14: Time: 06:21:30Z; Position: 28.3°N 92.3°W; PA: 21004 ft; D-Value: 347 ft; Wind: SSW (196°) @ 20 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #15: Time: 06:22:00Z; Position: 28.3°N 92.3°W; PA: 21001 ft; D-Value: 347 ft; Wind: SSW (197°) @ 20 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #16: Time: 06:22:30Z; Position: 28.2°N 92.3°W; PA: 21001 ft; D-Value: 348 ft; Wind: SSW (198°) @ 20 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #17: Time: 06:23:00Z; Position: 28.2°N 92.2°W; PA: 20994 ft; D-Value: 349 ft; Wind: SSW (201°) @ 20 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #18: Time: 06:23:30Z; Position: 28.2°N 92.2°W; PA: 21007 ft; D-Value: 350 ft; Wind: SSW (206°) @ 20 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #19: Time: 06:24:00Z; Position: 28.2°N 92.1°W; PA: 20991 ft; D-Value: 350 ft; Wind: SSW (202°) @ 18 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #20: Time: 06:24:30Z; Position: 28.2°N 92.1°W; PA: 21007 ft; D-Value: 349 ft; Wind: SSW (208°) @ 18 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 35°F
0 likes   
Top
Locked

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: ncforecaster89 and 79 guests