Category 5?

Normandy · #41 Postby **Normandy** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 2:28 am

Its awfully hard for me to believe it can get any stronger....but I never thought its would get this strong to begin with.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #42 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 2:29 am

The outflow is expending outwards/Cdo which means this is still gettting stronger. If the deep reds reform around this eye then boom!!!

Normandy · #43 Postby **Normandy** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 2:29 am

his CDO is lopsided though. Its not circular anymore, which is why im so shocked hes still deepening.

Stratusxpeye · #44 Postby **Stratusxpeye** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 2:30 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:The outflow is expending outwards/Cdo which means this is still gettting stronger. If the deep reds reform around this eye then boom!!!

You really cant be serius. This is insane. It does look a little rigid right now though. Is this going to have an effect on the strength of the hurricane?

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #45 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 2:34 am

We will have to watch an see.

The outflow is becoming better defined over the northwest quad. With the cdo becoming larger. Look at how the the system is moving more northwestward over the last few frames. Once it locks in watch for a possible reformation of the red around the eye.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Also to note it will be moving over a eddie with an the next few hours...

knotimpaired · #46 Postby **knotimpaired** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 2:42 am

Sanibel wrote:They are saying that should be the peak on CNN

I disagree...

So what do you think?

Sanibel · #47 Postby **Sanibel** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 3:03 am

The eye has been drilling down and compacting. I say he's going for it...

Stratusxpeye · #48 Postby **Stratusxpeye** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 3:09 am

Thats what im hearing on the radio discussions as well. Looks like hes tightening up. I think hes pushing for that Cat 5 status for history purposes.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #49 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 3:10 am

I think he came very close south of Cuba. But he can always go for it again.

soonertwister · #50 Postby **soonertwister** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 3:11 am

Dennis has completely fooled me twice, but I have company. From everything I'm seeing from this storm there isn't any reason why Dennis can't get to category 5.

As of the 2 am advisory they were talking about a storm surge of 14-17 feet near and to the right of landfall, but if I interpret this storm correctly, 20-28 feet could be more like it, and in isolated situations, up to about 34 feet or more.

This is a deadly hurricane with a pedigree already. I sure hope no one took this one lightly, but I'm not stupid enough to actually believe that all those persons living in the path of Dennis are not stupid or fools or both.

People are going to die. It's pretty much too late to get out of the way of Dennis, but nobody should be anywhere near the coast in the strike area. If they stay there, they are probably going to die.

There's no longer any doubt in my mind that Dennis could become a category 5 hurricane. Dennis was on the way to 5 when he made the second landfall in Cuba. It's like certain hurricanes have this in their "genes".

Galveston, Florida Keys, Camille, Gilbert, Hugo, Andrew, Mitch, Dennis?

Normandy · #51 Postby **Normandy** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 3:14 am

THere is a 19 degree temp difference in the eye....that is damn impressive.

Sanibel · #52 Postby **Sanibel** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 3:15 am

I been talking about the "soul" of a storm or storm "destiny" for years. Glad to see someone else who understands it. Some storms have it, others don't. You can take two storms and put them in identical conditions and some will fade and others will roar...

Thunder44 · #53 Postby **Thunder44** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 3:15 am

Not impossible, I kinda I doubt it. Very hard to reach cat. I think he will max out between 150mph to 155mph this morning, then he will start an ERC, weaken a bit, and maybe comeback some just before landfall but remain Cat 4.

arcticfire · #54 Postby **arcticfire** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 3:19 am

I'm thinking it has serious potential to make cat 5. I personally think it will tighten back up now and in a few hours....

cccmachine · #55 Postby **cccmachine** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 3:22 am

Sorry but on 28.8 phone line here.Looks to me like CDO is starting to build back and eye is starting to shrink.Or am I blind in one and cant see out?

soonertwister · #56 Postby **soonertwister** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 3:24 am

Just looking at the IR loop, and the fact the Dennis' eye hasn't been clear in hours, leads me to believe that he's annular. Normally hurricanes this strong have clear eyes with nothing but black in the middle. Annularity seems to be one of the trademarks of extreme hurricanes, although 3 years ago I'd never even heard of that term.

I think that annularity must be a signature of some sort of extremely powerful dynamics in these storms.

Scorpion · #57 Postby **Scorpion** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 3:24 am

932 now. Seems possible.

Stratusxpeye · #58 Postby **Stratusxpeye** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 3:25 am

Hes tightening up def now 932. This could be very very possible now. Hours away

#59 Postby **MBismyPlayground** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 3:29 am

Everything is possible, til it ain't........And so far the word "ain't" isn't playing into this.......Just a question for those of you who would know.....if this does end up going into CAT 5 Status, how far inland will the MAJOR damage be??? Even at a CAT 4???(mile wise)

Normandy · #60 Postby **Normandy** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 3:31 am

I still cant fathom it making it to cat 5.....its july for goodness sakes! But then again if any storm could do it this is it.

Category 5?

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