Current NNW movement

PTPatrick · #1 Postby **PTPatrick** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 6:46 am

Will this take it to P'cola and not mobile?

#2 Postby **drudd1** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 6:53 am

It is a tough call a this point. As Dennis gets closer to the coast, wobbles become significant because they can have major implications on where Dennis actually comes ashore. Now it becomes a watch and wait type scenario.

Nimbus · #3 Postby **Nimbus** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 6:54 am

Dennis eye is overdue for a wobble to the WNW.
Check the 11 AM track forecast the eye should be wobbling back towards Mobile bay by then.
Pensacola is going to get hurricane force winds regardless so make plans accrodingly.

#4 Postby **ericinmia** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 6:55 am

Nimbus wrote:Dennis eye is overdue for a wobble to the WNW.
Check the 11 AM track forecast the eye should be wobbling back towards Mobile bay by then.
Pensacola is going to get hurricane force winds regardless so make plans accrodingly.

At this point i don't believe the past 4 hours of NNW, especially when it is steadily getting more northerly is a wobble. Sure it may wobble for one frame wnw in the future but it will stay on this NNW track from the looks of it.

Guest · #5 Postby **Guest** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 6:57 am

A northern movement would be ideal since I believe that would place it in cool waters, to cold to support a category 4.

#6 Postby **jlauderdal** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 7:24 am

Nimbus wrote:Dennis eye is overdue for a wobble to the WNW.
Check the 11 AM track forecast the eye should be wobbling back towards Mobile bay by then.
Pensacola is going to get hurricane force winds regardless so make plans accrodingly.

hurricanes aren't due for anything...this hurricane is going to contin nw or probably nnw

DESTRUCTION5 · #7 Postby **DESTRUCTION5** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 7:28 am

Draw the line...He will not turn back WNW...He is too strong and he is on a 15MPH Destiny Poleward...Pencacola/Gulfport will get this storm the worst..There is no doubut now..Hunker down...Time has run out...

Wacahootaman · #8 Postby **Wacahootaman** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 7:36 am

Check out this loop and check the top right of the page to have the forcast points overlayed on the map.

It is starting to pull right of the path now it seems

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

cinlfla · #9 Postby **cinlfla** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 7:39 am

Check out this loop and check the top right of the page to have the forcast points overlayed on the map.

Thats what I thought I saw to, but I wasn't about to say anything.

LCfromFL · #10 Postby **LCfromFL** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 7:45 am

Wacahootaman wrote:Check out this loop and check the top right of the page to have the forcast points overlayed on the map.

It is starting to pull right of the path now it seems

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

The NHC has done a remarkable job with forecasting Dennis so far - this is the furthest wobble off of the line (which is pretty amazing, when you think about it) since it was south of Cuba and did that little north jog.

Can you imagine the pressure those folks are under at the NHC? :eek:

AL Chili Pepper · #11 Postby **AL Chili Pepper** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 7:51 am

I'm starting to breath somewhat easier for right this second.

I've been watching the short-range radar, and for the life of me it looks like it's going in just east of P'cola. This would be a godsend to P'cola and especially Mobile. Of course, somebody's still gonna suffer.

#12 Postby **mvtrucking** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 7:55 am

cinlfla wrote:
Check out this loop and check the top right of the page to have the forcast points overlayed on the map.

Thats what I thought I saw to, but I wasn't about to say anything.

Looks almost due N.?

Wacahootaman · #13 Postby **Wacahootaman** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 7:58 am

Here is another map. Donno how accurate it is. But it looks worse for Panama City than before.

Anyone know if that string of clouds(not shown in this map) off the coast of Carolina is a trough that might pull Dennis more North East?

If I was east of Pensacola, I would be very concerned about this info:

http://www.boatus.com/hurricanes/upload/4/windfield.gif

ChaserUK · #14 Postby **ChaserUK** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 8:17 am

NHC confirm a more N'ly movement during the last couple of hours....

ChaserUK · #15 Postby **ChaserUK** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 8:37 am

..although looking at Weathertap radar for the area I don't really see it too well.. :?:

#16 Postby **mvtrucking** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 8:42 am

Does it look like a more NW in the 1245?

HurryKane · #17 Postby **HurryKane** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 8:48 am

I love ol' Margaret Orr on WDSU 6 New Orleans, she just slapped a ruler up on a monitor with radar on it to show the storm's current motion and path if it stayed on that heading.

AL Chili Pepper · #18 Postby **AL Chili Pepper** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 8:56 am

mvtrucking wrote:Does it look like a more NW in the 1245?

I noticed that too. I'm still thinking the north motion this morning saved my immediate future.

Nimbus · #19 Postby **Nimbus** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 10:10 am

The NHC moved the track east at the 11AM looks better for Mobile.
Only a couple more hours till landfall so Pensacola should be losing power soon.
Dennis has picked up speed which is good news as far as prolonged wind exposure.
Unfortunately that may be bad news for Pensacola since he does not look like he is slowing down to jog east and put Pensacola on the weaker side of the storm.

Current NNW movement

Current NNW movement

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