Recon Reports

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cycloneye
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Recon Reports

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 10, 2005 6:18 am

Ok a final recon thread for Dennis.
Last edited by cycloneye on Sun Jul 10, 2005 3:18 pm, edited 6 times in total.
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#2 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 10, 2005 6:20 am

RECCO Observation
Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 16
Flight ID: AF305
Observation Number: 18
Time: 1110Z
Latitude: 29.7°N
Longitude: 84.9°W
Location: 8 mi ESE of Apalachicola, Florida
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: In & out of clouds
Pressure Altitude: 10000 feet
Flight level wind: SE (140°) @ 74 mph
Temperature: 46°F
Dewpoint: 46°F
Weather: Thunderstorm
700mb height: 10100 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: None
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#3 Postby Normandy » Sun Jul 10, 2005 6:21 am

.......wait a second.

EDIT: nvm
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#4 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 10, 2005 6:26 am

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 16
Flight ID: AF305
Flt Data Number: 34
Ob #01 Location: 18 mi SSE of Apalachicola, Florida
Ob #01: Time: 11:15:00Z; Position: 29.5°N 85.1°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: 59 ft; Wind: SE (137°) @ 82 mph; Temp: 44°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #02: Time: 11:15:30Z; Position: 29.5°N 85.1°W; PA: 9984 ft; D-Value: 59 ft; Wind: SE (140°) @ 90 mph; Temp: 44°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #03: Time: 11:16:00Z; Position: 29.5°N 85.2°W; PA: 10016 ft; D-Value: 59 ft; Wind: SE (138°) @ 85 mph; Temp: 44°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #04: Time: 11:16:30Z; Position: 29.4°N 85.2°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 59 ft; Wind: SE (137°) @ 82 mph; Temp: 44°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #05: Time: 11:17:00Z; Position: 29.4°N 85.2°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 59 ft; Wind: SE (140°) @ 79 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #06: Time: 11:17:30Z; Position: 29.4°N 85.2°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 56 ft; Wind: SE (141°) @ 78 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #07: Time: 11:18:00Z; Position: 29.4°N 85.2°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 54 ft; Wind: SE (139°) @ 76 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #08: Time: 11:18:30Z; Position: 29.4°N 85.3°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 53 ft; Wind: SE (139°) @ 75 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #09: Time: 11:19:00Z; Position: 29.3°N 85.3°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 51 ft; Wind: SE (137°) @ 73 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #10: Time: 11:19:30Z; Position: 29.3°N 85.3°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 50 ft; Wind: SE (135°) @ 74 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #11: Time: 11:20:00Z; Position: 29.3°N 85.3°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 48 ft; Wind: SE (135°) @ 76 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #12: Time: 11:20:30Z; Position: 29.3°N 85.4°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 44 ft; Wind: SE (135°) @ 76 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #13: Time: 11:21:00Z; Position: 29.3°N 85.4°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 41 ft; Wind: SE (140°) @ 78 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #14: Time: 11:21:30Z; Position: 29.2°N 85.4°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 37 ft; Wind: SE (141°) @ 76 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #15: Time: 11:22:00Z; Position: 29.2°N 85.4°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 36 ft; Wind: SE (142°) @ 75 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #16: Time: 11:22:30Z; Position: 29.2°N 85.4°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 34 ft; Wind: SE (141°) @ 73 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #17: Time: 11:23:00Z; Position: 29.2°N 85.5°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 32 ft; Wind: SE (141°) @ 76 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #18: Time: 11:23:30Z; Position: 29.2°N 85.5°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 29 ft; Wind: SE (137°) @ 79 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #19: Time: 11:24:00Z; Position: 29.1°N 85.5°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 27 ft; Wind: SE (141°) @ 76 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #20: Time: 11:24:30Z; Position: 29.1°N 85.5°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 24 ft; Wind: SE (140°) @ 78 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 44°F
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#5 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 10, 2005 6:36 am

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 16
Flight ID: AF305
Flt Data Number: 35
Ob #01 Location: 54 mi SE of Apalachicola, Florida
Ob #01: Time: 11:25:00Z; Position: 29.1°N 85.5°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 21 ft; Wind: SE (139°) @ 81 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #02: Time: 11:25:30Z; Position: 29.1°N 85.6°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 19 ft; Wind: SE (139°) @ 88 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #03: Time: 11:26:00Z; Position: 29.1°N 85.6°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 16 ft; Wind: SE (139°) @ 81 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #04: Time: 11:26:30Z; Position: 29°N 85.6°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 10 ft; Wind: SE (142°) @ 88 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #05: Time: 11:27:00Z; Position: 29°N 85.6°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 6 ft; Wind: SE (143°) @ 88 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #06: Time: 11:27:30Z; Position: 29°N 85.6°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 2 ft; Wind: SE (143°) @ 85 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #07: Time: 11:28:00Z; Position: 29°N 85.7°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -1 ft; Wind: SSE (147°) @ 82 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #08: Time: 11:28:30Z; Position: 29°N 85.7°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: -3 ft; Wind: SSE (147°) @ 79 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #09: Time: 11:29:00Z; Position: 28.9°N 85.7°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: -6 ft; Wind: SSE (148°) @ 78 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #10: Time: 11:29:30Z; Position: 28.9°N 85.7°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -9 ft; Wind: SSE (147°) @ 77 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #11: Time: 11:30:00Z; Position: 28.9°N 85.7°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -12 ft; Wind: SE (146°) @ 77 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #12: Time: 11:30:30Z; Position: 28.9°N 85.8°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: -16 ft; Wind: SE (144°) @ 75 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #13: Time: 11:31:00Z; Position: 28.9°N 85.8°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -19 ft; Wind: SE (140°) @ 74 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #14: Time: 11:31:30Z; Position: 28.8°N 85.8°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -23 ft; Wind: SE (137°) @ 74 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #15: Time: 11:32:00Z; Position: 28.8°N 85.8°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: -26 ft; Wind: SE (139°) @ 79 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #16: Time: 11:32:30Z; Position: 28.8°N 85.8°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: -30 ft; Wind: SE (144°) @ 76 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #17: Time: 11:33:00Z; Position: 28.8°N 85.9°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -35 ft; Wind: SE (139°) @ 71 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #18: Time: 11:33:30Z; Position: 28.8°N 85.9°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -38 ft; Wind: SE (140°) @ 68 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #19: Time: 11:34:00Z; Position: 28.7°N 85.9°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -43 ft; Wind: SE (139°) @ 69 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #20: Time: 11:34:30Z; Position: 28.7°N 85.9°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -48 ft; Wind: SE (141°) @ 71 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 43°F
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#6 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 10, 2005 6:56 am

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 16
Flight ID: AF305
Flt Data Number: 37
Ob #01 Location: 105 mi SSW of Apalachicola, Florida
Ob #01: Time: 11:45:00Z; Position: 28.3°N 86.4°W; PA: 10020 ft; D-Value: -253 ft; Wind: NW (307°) @ 111 mph; Temp: 62°F; Dewpt: 50°F
Ob #02: Time: 11:45:30Z; Position: 28.3°N 86.4°W; PA: 9987 ft; D-Value: -199 ft; Wind: NW (307°) @ 90 mph; Temp: 56°F; Dewpt: 47°F
Ob #03: Time: 11:46:00Z; Position: 28.3°N 86.4°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: -164 ft; Wind: WNW (300°) @ 78 mph; Temp: 55°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #04: Time: 11:46:30Z; Position: 28.3°N 86.5°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -140 ft; Wind: WNW (297°) @ 75 mph; Temp: 55°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #05: Time: 11:47:00Z; Position: 28.3°N 86.5°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: -122 ft; Wind: WNW (297°) @ 66 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #06: Time: 11:47:30Z; Position: 28.2°N 86.5°W; PA: 9987 ft; D-Value: -109 ft; Wind: WNW (296°) @ 61 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #07: Time: 11:48:00Z; Position: 28.2°N 86.5°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: -97 ft; Wind: WNW (298°) @ 56 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #08: Time: 11:48:30Z; Position: 28.2°N 86.5°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: -88 ft; Wind: WNW (300°) @ 56 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #09: Time: 11:49:00Z; Position: 28.2°N 86.6°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -81 ft; Wind: WNW (300°) @ 52 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #10: Time: 11:49:30Z; Position: 28.2°N 86.6°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -74 ft; Wind: WNW (298°) @ 48 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #11: Time: 11:50:00Z; Position: 28.1°N 86.6°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: -67 ft; Wind: WNW (295°) @ 45 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #12: Time: 11:50:30Z; Position: 28.1°N 86.6°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -63 ft; Wind: WNW (296°) @ 45 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #13: Time: 11:51:00Z; Position: 28.1°N 86.6°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -58 ft; Wind: WNW (298°) @ 43 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #14: Time: 11:51:30Z; Position: 28.1°N 86.7°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -54 ft; Wind: WNW (299°) @ 41 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #15: Time: 11:52:00Z; Position: 28.1°N 86.7°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -49 ft; Wind: WNW (296°) @ 41 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #16: Time: 11:52:30Z; Position: 28°N 86.7°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -45 ft; Wind: WNW (295°) @ 41 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #17: Time: 11:53:00Z; Position: 28°N 86.7°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -40 ft; Wind: WNW (296°) @ 41 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #18: Time: 11:53:30Z; Position: 28°N 86.8°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: -37 ft; Wind: WNW (292°) @ 39 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #19: Time: 11:54:00Z; Position: 28°N 86.8°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: -33 ft; Wind: WNW (291°) @ 44 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #20: Time: 11:54:30Z; Position: 28°N 86.8°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: -30 ft; Wind: WNW (291°) @ 45 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 39°F
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#7 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 10, 2005 7:06 am

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 16
Flight ID: AF305
Flt Data Number: 38
Ob #01 Location: 127 mi S of Apalachicola, Florida
Ob #01: Time: 11:55:00Z; Position: 27.9°N 86.8°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: -27 ft; Wind: WNW (296°) @ 47 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #02: Time: 11:55:30Z; Position: 27.9°N 86.8°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -24 ft; Wind: WNW (297°) @ 50 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #03: Time: 11:56:00Z; Position: 27.9°N 86.9°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -21 ft; Wind: WNW (296°) @ 50 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #04: Time: 11:56:30Z; Position: 27.9°N 86.9°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -18 ft; Wind: WNW (292°) @ 51 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #05: Time: 11:57:00Z; Position: 27.9°N 86.9°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -15 ft; Wind: WNW (293°) @ 52 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #06: Time: 11:57:30Z; Position: 27.8°N 86.9°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: -12 ft; Wind: WNW (294°) @ 52 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #07: Time: 11:58:00Z; Position: 27.8°N 87°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: -10 ft; Wind: WNW (295°) @ 53 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #08: Time: 11:58:30Z; Position: 27.8°N 87°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: -8 ft; Wind: WNW (298°) @ 53 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #09: Time: 11:59:00Z; Position: 27.8°N 87°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: -4 ft; Wind: WNW (301°) @ 60 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #10: Time: 11:59:30Z; Position: 27.8°N 87°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: -1 ft; Wind: WNW (301°) @ 61 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #11: Time: 12:00:00Z; Position: 27.7°N 87°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 2 ft; Wind: WNW (298°) @ 59 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #12: Time: 12:00:30Z; Position: 27.7°N 87.1°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 4 ft; Wind: WNW (300°) @ 60 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #13: Time: 12:01:00Z; Position: 27.7°N 87.1°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 8 ft; Wind: WNW (301°) @ 62 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #14: Time: 12:01:30Z; Position: 27.7°N 87.1°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 11 ft; Wind: WNW (303°) @ 66 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #15: Time: 12:02:00Z; Position: 27.7°N 87.1°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 13 ft; Wind: NW (304°) @ 65 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #16: Time: 12:02:30Z; Position: 27.6°N 87.1°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 15 ft; Wind: NW (305°) @ 65 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #17: Time: 12:03:00Z; Position: 27.6°N 87.2°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 19 ft; Wind: NW (304°) @ 63 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #18: Time: 12:03:30Z; Position: 27.6°N 87.2°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 21 ft; Wind: WNW (302°) @ 61 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #19: Time: 12:04:00Z; Position: 27.6°N 87.2°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 24 ft; Wind: WNW (303°) @ 60 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #20: Time: 12:04:30Z; Position: 27.6°N 87.2°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 25 ft; Wind: NW (304°) @ 59 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 41°F
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#8 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 10, 2005 7:09 am

VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 16
Flight ID: AF305
Observation Number: 19
Time: 11:43:00Z
Latitude: 28.4°N
Longitude: 86.3°W
Location: 121 mi SW of Apalachicola, Florida
Minimum height at 700 mb 2515 m
Est. Surface Winds Observed: NA
Distance and bearing from center to max surface wind: NA
Maximum flight level wind: SE (134°) @ 151 mph
Distance and bearing from center to max flight level wind: 10 mi NE (49°)
Sea level pressure: 930 mb
Max flight level temperature outside the eye: 48°F at 9993 feet
Max flight level temperature inside the eye: 70°F at 9869 feet
Dewpoint temperature inside the eye: 63°F
Eye character: CLOSED WALL
Eye shape: Circular
Eye diameter: 9 mi
Fix determined by: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure Temperature at 700 mb
Navigation / Met Accuracy: 0.02 / 1 nm
MAX FL WIND 131 KT NE QUAD 11:40:30 Z
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#9 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Jul 10, 2005 7:12 am

930 millibars 8-)

One more millibar...It is now at its most powerful an its life.
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#10 Postby Stratosphere747 » Sun Jul 10, 2005 7:12 am

Wow....930....
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#11 Postby Thunder44 » Sun Jul 10, 2005 7:13 am

Winds still seem to be having a hard time catching with the pressure though. Should have winds around 150mph to 155mph with that pressure.

Another thing is that pressure is extrapolated. So it may not be precise.
Last edited by Thunder44 on Sun Jul 10, 2005 7:15 am, edited 2 times in total.
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#12 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Jul 10, 2005 7:13 am

GET DOWN!!!!! GET DOWN!!!!
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#13 Postby Stratusxpeye » Sun Jul 10, 2005 7:14 am

930. We may break the sub 930 and enter the 20's
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#14 Postby canegrl04 » Sun Jul 10, 2005 7:16 am

Cat 5 before landfall folks :eek:
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#15 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 10, 2005 7:17 am

Okay... with the VDM, I must leave. I've been doing flight following for about 19 hours now. Bedtime. I'll be back around 3-4pm EDT until landfall for more flight following...
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#16 Postby Stratosphere747 » Sun Jul 10, 2005 7:18 am

For Mobile or Pensacola's sake, they better hope that this either goes thru a ERC or weakens in a hurry or this is gonna make Ivan look like a summer breeze...


The fact that the pressure is getting lower is hard to believe..Thought it would have leveled off by now.
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#17 Postby mf_dolphin » Sun Jul 10, 2005 7:18 am

Thanks Mike and get some rest
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#18 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 10, 2005 7:19 am

Mike you deserve a long rest.
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#19 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 10, 2005 7:21 am

Stratosphere747 wrote:For Mobile or Pensacola's sake, they better hope that this either goes thru a ERC or weakens in a hurry or this is gonna make Ivan look like a summer breeze...


The fact that the pressure is getting lower is hard to believe..Thought it would have leveled off by now.


An ERC right now is the worst thing this storm can do. There's enough time for it to restrengthen after the ERC to as strong, if not stronger than it currently is. I think the most realistic thing we can hope for is no more additional strengthening, because any weakening is fairly unlikely.
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#20 Postby Stratusxpeye » Sun Jul 10, 2005 7:34 am

Thank you for all your work! We depend on it here. Get some sleep.
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