00z GEM

[SFloridaGirl]

The kiss of death was yesterday when Norcross mentioned the wave and said it was expected to head north out to sea. He said that about Andrew when he was a TD. I have it on tape....

Seriously, It's just too far away to worry about. I hope all of our panhandle friends are doing well!

oh boy... ..not again

[deltadog03]

hey all, just a question for EVERYONE...plz honest answer....With many forecast models showing a strong or even stronger than normal bermuda-azores high and pushed more to the west or SW...I would honestly tend to believe there is a great chance that a NO or a TX landfall good be a possibility...what do yall think?

[dhweather]

hey all, just a question for EVERYONE...plz honest answer....With many forecast models showing a strong or even stronger than normal bermuda-azores high and pushed more to the west or SW...I would honestly tend to believe there is a great chance that a NO or a TX landfall good be a possibility...what do yall think?

I've gone one record expectng hits in LA and TX this year due to the ridge.
While the tropics think its September, the rest of the US is generally in a
July pattern. As Don noted, in probably two weeks, we'll really be set up
for the Cape Verde season. Long trackers, and I suspect some in the
western GOM.

Arlene - FL Panhandle
Bret - Mexico
Cindy - SE LA
Dennis - FL Panhandle

I know this, if I have to shutter my house up again this season, I'm just leaving them up until wintertime.

[deltadog03]

hey all, just a question for EVERYONE...plz honest answer....With many forecast models showing a strong or even stronger than normal bermuda-azores high and pushed more to the west or SW...I would honestly tend to believe there is a great chance that a NO or a TX landfall good be a possibility...what do yall think?

I've gone one record expectng hits in LA and TX this year due to the ridge.
While the tropics think its September, the rest of the US is generally in a
July pattern. As Don noted, in probably two weeks, we'll really be set up
for the Cape Verde season. Long trackers, and I suspect some in the
western GOM.

Arlene - FL Panhandle
Bret - Mexico
Cindy - SE LA
Dennis - FL Panhandle

I know this, if I have to shutter my house up again this season, I'm just leaving them up until wintertime.

lol, my parents just moved here from fl...and they left them up inbtween canes last year...they lived in stuart....2 direct hits...anyway, i think your right, galveston and NO i believe will have there threats this year...synoptic scales are strongly hinting that

[cajungal]

We shall see.......

[texasheat]

its way to farout to know yall

[JPmia]

I find it interesting that many storms that form initially appear to be headed to South FL. However, we obviously find out later that they take another track. Why is that? Do the models have a built-in bias toward Miami? lol I can almost form a theory that when the models on a developing system take it into South FL then we know it won't come here!

[deltadog03]

its way to farout to know yall

hey man, i was just asking a question...not about the developing system...just a general one

[texasheat]

and yes id have to agree with you.

[cajungal]

The same for Louisiana. When early models have it coming right over us, it usually always veers to our east instead.

[texasheat]

The same for Louisiana. When early models have it coming right over us, it usually always veers to our east instead.

gets your heart pumping.. then you get a sigh of relief lol

[wxcrazytwo]

For those that say that the Bermuda High is west. I believe it is in the same place as it was the past several days ago. Hence, the reason Dennis hit near Pensacola.

[WeatherEmperor]

The kiss of death was yesterday when Norcross mentioned the wave and said it was expected to head north out to sea. He said that about Andrew when he was a TD. I have it on tape....

Seriously, It's just too far away to worry about. I hope all of our panhandle friends are doing well!

You have it on tape? Cool! I remember last year mentioning that Norcross said that but nobody believed me. Can you PM me a portion of that tape so I can check it out? BTW I hated Andrew. Blew my house away....

<RICKY>

[donsutherland1]

Dhweather,

If the ridging develops as is typical per the MJO Phases, there will be some opportunities for long-tracked systems. As noted in another thread, in 2 of the 3 previous seasons in which the U.S. saw a major hurricane make landfall in July (since 1851), an additional 1-2 major hurricanes made landfall later. This is something to consider, especially given SSTAs. Hopefully, there won't be any additional landfalls, but the near-historically warm SSTAs are of great concern.