TD 5 becoming better organized

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Sanibel
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#41 Postby Sanibel » Mon Jul 11, 2005 2:55 pm

More important is the trough-like feature Dennis is forcing down towards TD5 that could really pull it north if it keeps plunging - if it isn't already...
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WNW?

#42 Postby Fego » Mon Jul 11, 2005 3:12 pm

Is normal that WNW movement?
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#43 Postby cinlfla » Mon Jul 11, 2005 3:15 pm

More important is the trough-like feature Dennis is forcing down towards TD5 that could really pull it north if it keeps plunging - if it isn't already...



If something like this were to happan would that curve it out to sea?
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#44 Postby wxwatcher91 » Mon Jul 11, 2005 3:23 pm

cinlfla wrote:
More important is the trough-like feature Dennis is forcing down towards TD5 that could really pull it north if it keeps plunging - if it isn't already...



If something like this were to happan would that curve it out to sea?


naw... definitely up the east coast to NEW ENGLAND :D :D :D
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#45 Postby GalvestonDuck » Mon Jul 11, 2005 3:24 pm

cinlfla wrote:
More important is the trough-like feature Dennis is forcing down towards TD5 that could really pull it north if it keeps plunging - if it isn't already...



If something like this were to happan would that curve it out to sea?


*begins chanting "Fish! Fish! Fish! Fish!"* :)

We could only hope. I'd rather watch them in the water than see them hit land. Of course, it would also have to miss Bermuda and all the other islands too.
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#46 Postby wx247 » Mon Jul 11, 2005 3:25 pm

Do you have your Nemo suit on Shawn? Otherwise, it won't work.
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#47 Postby GalvestonDuck » Mon Jul 11, 2005 3:27 pm

wx247 wrote:Do you have your Nemo suit on Shawn? Otherwise, it won't work.


Lemme run home and get it! :lol:
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#48 Postby vbhoutex » Mon Jul 11, 2005 3:28 pm

dwg71 wrote:
Nimbus wrote:Still looks like a tumbleweed to me.
The center axis looks to be down near 10N below the current blob of convection.
Does anyone see a ridge just to the west of TD5's current position?
I was looking at the water vapor loop and it looks like TD5 will be moving into a more favorable environment as it gets under the eastern edge of that ridge.


10N??? Not as I see it, LLC is north of 11N. Its been heading NNW to NW for 12 hours now.


Don't you mean WNW to NW? I don't beleive this system has moved NNW at anytime over the last 12 hours.
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#49 Postby dwg71 » Mon Jul 11, 2005 3:31 pm

Yes, typo, WNW to NW....
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#50 Postby StormWarning1 » Mon Jul 11, 2005 3:34 pm

LLC has been moving west all day, and is to the east of the convection. Here is a link to what looks like a convective burst over the LLC.

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/GOES2 ... onhlYX.jpg
Last edited by StormWarning1 on Mon Jul 11, 2005 3:57 pm, edited 4 times in total.
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Fego
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What about this burst?

#51 Postby Fego » Mon Jul 11, 2005 3:37 pm

Business as usual or something diferent?

http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... al/216.jpg
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#52 Postby Sanibel » Mon Jul 11, 2005 3:37 pm

After further review of the Floater loops I determined this is more west than I realized.

I estimate the center is moving about 280-85*.


In my opinion this is already a tropical storm...


Fego:

I LOVE THAT AVATAR! :D
Last edited by Sanibel on Mon Jul 11, 2005 3:38 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#53 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Jul 11, 2005 3:38 pm

Sanibal I agree....
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#54 Postby GalvestonDuck » Mon Jul 11, 2005 3:52 pm

GalvestonDuck wrote:
wx247 wrote:Do you have your Nemo suit on Shawn? Otherwise, it won't work.


Lemme run home and get it! :lol:


Imposters!

Image
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#55 Postby dhweather » Mon Jul 11, 2005 3:53 pm

GalvestonDuck wrote:
GalvestonDuck wrote:
wx247 wrote:Do you have your Nemo suit on Shawn? Otherwise, it won't work.


Lemme run home and get it! :lol:


Imposters!

Image


Awwwwww, that's CUTE!
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Sanibel
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#56 Postby Sanibel » Mon Jul 11, 2005 4:11 pm

If this storm is being sheared from the east, that burst of convection on the CDO's east side on the last frame is the sign of an erupting core.

This is most definitely a Tropical Storm right now and if NHC wants to find the center I suggest they look under that burst...
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AL Chili Pepper
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#57 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Mon Jul 11, 2005 4:36 pm

I have no doubt whatsoever that recon will find the center. When are they scheduled?

edit...nevermind, I see they're scheduled for tomorrow.
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#58 Postby Steve H. » Mon Jul 11, 2005 4:44 pm

This one may also end up in the GOM. Definitetly a low latitude storm. That trough will pull out then ridge will build back in strong. Maybe Tx/La bound. The wave behind TD5 is another story, but from the latitude its coming off Africa, seems this will go north of the Islands. Early in the game. But what a start to the season :eek:
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#59 Postby gunner1551 » Mon Jul 11, 2005 4:58 pm

I am new to tracking hurricanes, I became interested after the last year because we had travel plans in florida and I had a question. What is the patche in the NE quad that seem to explode in the last 3 or 4 frames?? Thanks for the the help. In the last few frames it seem to be better organized and the banding is starting to come together.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-vis-loop.html
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gkrangers

#60 Postby gkrangers » Mon Jul 11, 2005 5:02 pm

Just a burst of deep convection, a strong thunderstorm.
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