Emily Advisorys

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Brent
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Re: cone

#141 Postby Brent » Mon Jul 11, 2005 10:08 pm

Patrick99 wrote:If the Keys, Miami and Ft. Lauderdale are in the 5 day cone come morning, that's a pretty good indication of where Emily WON'T be going. We've seen this so many times, it's like a bad joke at this point. I'm not even going to watch the 11PM panic-fest that will be our newscast.


I would usually agree... but the NHC has been nailing the 5 day tracks lately. Got Frances, Ivan, Jeanne, Arlene, Dennis all within their 4 or 5 day time period. I agree, it's not something to freak out over if your in it, but if your in it 36 hours later, then I'd start worrying, because the stores will be overrun with everyone once the media gets ahold of it.
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#142 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 11, 2005 10:09 pm

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#143 Postby Brent » Mon Jul 11, 2005 10:10 pm

Yep... Florida will have a nice wakeup call in the morning.
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#144 Postby johngaltfla » Mon Jul 11, 2005 10:11 pm

Can't we just put up a thread with the weekly cone of death for Florida and just put a blank stating "Enter storm's name here"...

I do not like ths track one bit. There are too many storms in history which have crossed Florida and zapped the West Coast or curved around highs through the Keys and gotten to us.

And this is the year many are saying we are "due".

:eek: :eek: :eek:
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#145 Postby CentralFlGal » Mon Jul 11, 2005 10:12 pm

Everybody chant with me:

Fish! Fish! Fish!

::fingers crossed::
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#146 Postby Brent » Mon Jul 11, 2005 10:13 pm

CentralFlGal wrote:Everybody chant with me:

Fish! Fish! Fish!

::fingers crossed::


I think it's pretty obvious that's not going to happen... it's way too far south.
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lol..

#147 Postby LilNoles2005 » Mon Jul 11, 2005 10:15 pm

I NEVER thought I'd see the day where I would be more excited to NOT have any tropical activity... this season is becoming a nightmare and it's only JULY 11th.
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Scorpion

#148 Postby Scorpion » Mon Jul 11, 2005 10:15 pm

Id be more concerned just about the cone. It covers alot of FL. Of course this will likely shift south like always.
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#149 Postby corpusbreeze » Mon Jul 11, 2005 10:39 pm

The ridge acording to the models will strengthen and I think everything will start to trend more west.
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#150 Postby timeflow » Mon Jul 11, 2005 10:42 pm

Tom Terry just reported it's 2,500 miles from Orlando... but of course it made the headline of the 11pm news anyways. I suppose it's a good 8-10 days out, if it survives the trip across the Caribbean. It's all in the cone...
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#151 Postby bayoubebe » Mon Jul 11, 2005 10:45 pm

If it goes in the Gulf, I think Bob Breck will need to get on anti-anxiety medications, if he hasn't already. :lol:
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texasheat

#152 Postby texasheat » Mon Jul 11, 2005 10:48 pm

i think it will go in the gulf
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jhamps10

#153 Postby jhamps10 » Mon Jul 11, 2005 10:57 pm

Well Folks. Here we go again, Another tropical storm. And probly will make a landfall, and destroy even more property. Just looking at CNN, Fox News and the pictures of the damage, makes me think of torandoes hitting my town in 1999. Let's hope it either fishes, or isn't a strong storm, but looking at NHC it's gonna be one. I'm afraid that in less than 24 hours we will have TD#6. Are you sure that the earth hasn't fallen off it's axis and it's actually Late August-Early September? :x
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#154 Postby vbhoutex » Mon Jul 11, 2005 11:01 pm

jhamps10 wrote:Well Folks. Here we go again, Another tropical storm. And probly will make a landfall, and destroy even more property. Just looking at CNN, Fox News and the pictures of the damage, makes me think of torandoes hitting my town in 1999. Let's hope it either fishes, or isn't a strong storm, but looking at NHC it's gonna be one. I'm afraid that in less than 24 hours we will have TD#6. Are you sure that the earth hasn't fallen off it's axis and it's actually Late August-Early September? :x


I'm starting to wonder myself!!!!! It sure is acting like it is late August or Early September!!
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#155 Postby gatorcane » Mon Jul 11, 2005 11:19 pm

Id be more concerned just about the cone. It covers alot of FL. Of course this will likely shift south like always.


I don't think so this time. Remember, Dennis was already very far south and still managed to go NW and eventually NNW and hit FL.

This storm is farther north and already moving WNW.

It does not look good for S. Florida :eek:
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gkrangers

#156 Postby gkrangers » Mon Jul 11, 2005 11:25 pm

I'd watch closely in south FL. These models seem to want to take it WNW towards the SFL, Bahamas, Cuba area.

The land interaction with Cuba and Hispaniola are going to be absolutely crucial for intensity, and we won't be able to determine that for days.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#157 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Jul 11, 2005 11:30 pm

If that system the nhc is tracking down near 8 north southeast of Emily develops. Then the system south of the Cape verde develops...All I can say is get away from the coast. Because its going to be very bad later this season.
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Scorpion

#158 Postby Scorpion » Mon Jul 11, 2005 11:38 pm

It would make 2004 seem like a blessing.
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Derek Ortt

#159 Postby Derek Ortt » Tue Jul 12, 2005 12:02 am

I'd just like to say that if Stewart's track verifies, there is <b>ZERO</b> chance of this being 85KT at 120 hours.

Its tracking the length of a major mountain range, the same one that ripped up Debby. Maybe 65KT at the most
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Scorpion

#160 Postby Scorpion » Tue Jul 12, 2005 12:05 am

I agree. The mountains will tear it apart.
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