12z Models on Emily: 45kts and 1003mb

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P.K.
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#21 Postby P.K. » Wed Jul 13, 2005 3:15 pm

x-y-no wrote:Wow ... and just the other day I was complementing the UKMET on its consistency. :roll:


It is fine Jan..... *Says he who was just coming on here to post about the rather big change in the Met Office model runs* :lol:

Well it works over here anyway.......
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#22 Postby Wpwxguy » Wed Jul 13, 2005 3:25 pm

Is the UKMET underestimating the strength of the high or could all the others be overestimating. Remember with these model runs that the data we put in gives us the end result. If that data is not 100 % then surely the models will change in a couple more runs. Their only as good as we make them. I do expect that Emily will be able to gain quite a bit of latitude, providing she makes it past South America and into the Carribean Sea. How far north, I think its way too early to speculate.

Bill
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#23 Postby HurryKane » Wed Jul 13, 2005 4:16 pm

Andrew92 wrote:
margaritabeach wrote:
Andrew92 wrote:You know, I still think Emily has a shot at becoming a hurricane. However, I'm really beginning to think that she's bipolar....can't make up her mind how strong she wants to be. At night we see her flare up (manic), then during the day, she dies off (depressive). If she keeps that up, I can't believe she'll reach hurricane intensity.

And I mean no offense to those who are bipolar by that post.

-Andrew92


not sure about bipolar but Emily is female....


Oh, duh, of course! :lol:

*taking off as fast as I can to avoid any women!*

-Andrew92




*smack*

I think UKMET is mad at NOLA because it picked up a gal on Bourbon Street, took her home and found out she was a MAN, baby!
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#24 Postby stormie_skies » Wed Jul 13, 2005 4:19 pm

HurryKane wrote:

*smack*

I think UKMET is mad at NOLA because it picked up a gal on Bourbon Street, took her home and found out she was a MAN, baby!


:roflmao:
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gkrangers

#25 Postby gkrangers » Wed Jul 13, 2005 4:24 pm

The GFS, UKMET, and NOGAPS look like they display a weaker ridge by the time Emily would reach the Yucatan/NW Carribbean area than in earlier runs.
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