THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK LIKELY MORE OF THE SAME. HOWEVER...FUTURE
TRACK OF EMILY MAY IMPACT THE FORECAST COME TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY.
Tidbit from Houston NWS
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jasons2k
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Tidbit from Houston NWS
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HouTXmetro
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From the Corpush Christi AFD:
OF COURSE THE MAIN CONCERN FOR THE LATE MON-WED TIMEFRAME WL BE THE
EVENTUAL TRACK OF EMILY. THE TREND OVER THE PAST SVRL DAYS HAS
BEEN TO KEEP EMILY ON A MORE WLY TRACK AND THUS AT A MUCH MORE
SOUTHERLY LATITUDE. THE LATEST GFS AND NOGAPS SOLNS ALONG WITH THE
NHC TRACK FCST TAKE EMILY INTO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA JUST TO THE
NORTH OF BELIZE EARLY MONDAY. EXTRAPOLATION FROM THIS LOCATION
WOULD LKLY MEAN LANDFALL NEAR TAMPICO MEXICO BY WED. OF COURSE IF
THE RDG IS NOT AS STRONG ACROSS THE NW GULF RGN WHICH IS VERY MUCH
POSSIBLE...THEN A MORE NWLY TRACK MAY UNFOLD. FOR NOW...WL ONLY SHOW
MODEST SWELL INCREASE BY TUE NIGHT AND WED GIVEN THE EXPECTED TRACK
WELL TO OUR SOUTH.
OF COURSE THE MAIN CONCERN FOR THE LATE MON-WED TIMEFRAME WL BE THE
EVENTUAL TRACK OF EMILY. THE TREND OVER THE PAST SVRL DAYS HAS
BEEN TO KEEP EMILY ON A MORE WLY TRACK AND THUS AT A MUCH MORE
SOUTHERLY LATITUDE. THE LATEST GFS AND NOGAPS SOLNS ALONG WITH THE
NHC TRACK FCST TAKE EMILY INTO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA JUST TO THE
NORTH OF BELIZE EARLY MONDAY. EXTRAPOLATION FROM THIS LOCATION
WOULD LKLY MEAN LANDFALL NEAR TAMPICO MEXICO BY WED. OF COURSE IF
THE RDG IS NOT AS STRONG ACROSS THE NW GULF RGN WHICH IS VERY MUCH
POSSIBLE...THEN A MORE NWLY TRACK MAY UNFOLD. FOR NOW...WL ONLY SHOW
MODEST SWELL INCREASE BY TUE NIGHT AND WED GIVEN THE EXPECTED TRACK
WELL TO OUR SOUTH.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
HouTXmetro wrote:It doesn't seem as they are too concerned than more than a little rain.
I don't get that from the two sentences above. It obviously doesn't go into much detail, but they certainly are watching it for any possible changes in track, that could lead to much more than just rain.
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jasons2k
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jkt21787 wrote:HouTXmetro wrote:It doesn't seem as they are too concerned than more than a little rain.
I don't get that from the two sentences above. It obviously doesn't go into much detail, but they certainly are watching it for any possible changes in track, that could lead to much more than just rain.
JKT that's what I got out of it too.
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