Any opinions about apparent N or NW movement

Tommedic · #1 Postby **Tommedic** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:14 pm

Especially for Mike or other Mets... Any thoughts about Sat pics and apparent N movement. Also about weakness or at least possible weakness to north.

#2 Postby **Cookiely** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:16 pm

Just my two cents, but she seems like she's pulling north and west.

hurricanedude · #3 Postby **hurricanedude** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:18 pm

further north she goes...chances of it resuming a due west movement lessens.....thus Gulf Coast all of the sudden needs to watch this thing, wow what a difference an hour can make!

Derek Ortt · #4 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:31 pm

its moving just north of west still

dwg71 · #5 Postby **dwg71** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:33 pm

It is an illusion caused by interaction with land...

Mac · #6 Postby **Mac** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:35 pm

I agree with Derek. I think the apparent northward movement is actually an illusion--it's the circulation catching up to the center of the storm. The center has been north of the circulation for some time. Now that she's getting better organized, I think the circulation is wrapping around the center now. Of course, I'm just a rookie. But that's my thoughts on the matter.

dwg71 · #7 Postby **dwg71** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:37 pm

the center is on the sw side of blob.

texasheat · #8 Postby **texasheat** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:38 pm

inncorrect. the center is north. its wraping around the center which would move it more wnw. and when its strengthing they tend to move more wnw

#9 Postby **Air Force Met** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:39 pm

Latest fix b/w the recons shows the center has jogged to the NNE...but this is not an actual movement of the system. It's getting it's act together right now...and the center is trying to find its "happy place." Once it does...expect a track to the west or wnw to resume. But...this little reorganizing jogs north do have an impact on the end game.

dwg71 · #10 Postby **dwg71** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:40 pm

texasheat wrote:inncorrect. the center is north. its wraping around the center which would move it more wnw. and when its strengthing they tend to move more wnw

no correct. center is just over the isle of tob

Mac · #11 Postby **Mac** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:41 pm

Maybe we'll have an eye by morning and we'll no longer have to debate where the center is. :lol:

Tommedic · #12 Postby **Tommedic** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:42 pm

Thanks a bunch Air Force Met. AM I wrong or does the water vapor hint at a weakness to north. Or am I "-removed-". Not trained, I can only make an educated guess.

texasheat · #13 Postby **texasheat** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:42 pm

Air Force Met wrote:Latest fix b/w the recons shows the center has jogged to the NNE...but this is not an actual movement of the system. It's getting it's act together right now...and the center is trying to find its "happy place." Once it does...expect a track to the west or wnw to resume. But...this little reorganizing jogs north do have an impact on the end game.

.

how long could it do this for

#14 Postby **Air Force Met** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:47 pm

texasheat wrote:
Air Force Met wrote:Latest fix b/w the recons shows the center has jogged to the NNE...but this is not an actual movement of the system. It's getting it's act together right now...and the center is trying to find its "happy place." Once it does...expect a track to the west or wnw to resume. But...this little reorganizing jogs north do have an impact on the end game.
.

how long could it do this for

NOt long...it's just a jog. The center should be moving back west any time now since it is finally inside the CDO. It didn't job north because of any weakness...but because it is restructuring itself to make better use of the CDO. Once it's satisified...it will move back to the west.

texasheat · #15 Postby **texasheat** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:48 pm

the models are showing it should continue WNW do you agree with this or point her going W

#16 Postby **deltadog03** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:52 pm

pretty much WNW...listlen to dr. lyons....just remember any northerly jog...could be big down the road

texasheat · #17 Postby **texasheat** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:54 pm

good god bring her here. we need rain!!! everyones getting it just not around us. it must see my brothers ugly face and run =[. heck thats what all the girls do :lol:

rtd2 · #18 Postby **rtd2** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 10:01 pm

My opinion is ONCE again the NHC is on top of this...They forecasted the turn and I dont EVER remeber them forecating it to hit SA and so far even when looked CERTAIN it was going to go stright into SA it hasnt! Awesome forecasting...I read a thread today or yesturday wondering how the NHC was going to explain this? Well looks like there no explanation needed! Alot of negative post in recently or maybe not negative but doubting the NHC forecast,ect and to be honest I thought it wouldnt turn and at the last minute...it did! Kudos Now lets see what the next set of advisories bring!

djtil · #19 Postby **djtil** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 10:10 pm

what its doing now isnt going to change the fact that a big fat high is going to be parked over the GOM for the forseeable future.

nhc is even bending further west after a couple days of wnw.

texasheat · #20 Postby **texasheat** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 10:11 pm

the question is will the high weaken in 5 days. NO ONE KNOWS.. nobody. jsut gotta wait

Any opinions about apparent N or NW movement

Any opinions about apparent N or NW movement

Thanks

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