I wonder if NHC is going to post the track sometime soon.

[Brent]

That looks like the same map from the previous advisory. Hey! Something smells fishy.

Nope... it's slightly farther north and the 120-hour position is NW of the previous one.

[jkt21787]

That looks like the same map from the previous advisory. Hey! Something smells fishy.

lol, NHC said its much the same as before, just slight northward movement for the new fix. It may not stay that way, but NHC isn't going to go crazy on one set of models.

[jkt21787]

the underground map is the southest model that i have noticed. rest show her going north of yucatan or just tiping it.

NHC does not believe in the north trend yet, check this map...
THIS IS THE OFFICIAL FORECAST:


It doesn't turn more west at the end. Sorry for that. Don't know why I said it.

Actually, yes it does. *Holds up a ruler to the screen*

Yeah, I think you are right. I know what I'm talking about!

[Mac]

That looks like the same map from the previous advisory. Hey! Something smells fishy.

Nope... it's slightly farther north and the 120-hour position is NW of the previous one.

I'll take your word for it. But the NHC track is wrong anyway, so there's no point splitting hairs.

[rtd2]

no. notice the rest of the models trending to the north.

CORRECT...Local met said the Models ARE trending north and In the SHORT TERM will continue...

[gkrangers]

That looks like the same map from the previous advisory. Hey! Something smells fishy.

Nope... it's slightly farther north and the 120-hour position is NW of the previous one.

I'll take your word for it. But the NHC track is wrong anyway, so there's no point splitting hairs.

"southest" - I quote your buddy texasheat. They are putting out some real wizzes over there.

[Brent]

That looks like the same map from the previous advisory. Hey! Something smells fishy.

Nope... it's slightly farther north and the 120-hour position is NW of the previous one.

I'll take your word for it. But the NHC track is wrong anyway, so there's no point splitting hairs.

Who cares??? Average 5-day track error: THREE HUNDRED miles.

[texasheat]

That looks like the same map from the previous advisory. Hey! Something smells fishy.

Nope... it's slightly farther north and the 120-hour position is NW of the previous one.

I'll take your word for it. But the NHC track is wrong anyway, so there's no point splitting hairs.

"southest" - I quote your buddy texasheat. They are putting out some real wizzes over there.

what do you mean?

[stormie_skies]

Who cares??? Average 5-day track error: THREE HUNDRED miles.

THANK YOU!

I was waiting for somebody to remind everyone of that....

[gkrangers]

The models are obviously having a tough time forecasting the strenght of the ridge in the long term. In the last 48 hours theyve gone from a very strong westward ridge, to one thats more conservative. Which has caused the models to shift towards the north.

Once Emily gets out in the central/western Carribbean. Its likely there will be upper atmosphere flights to analyze the upper air pattern, and specifically the strenght of the ridge.

[Mac]

That looks like the same map from the previous advisory. Hey! Something smells fishy.

Nope... it's slightly farther north and the 120-hour position is NW of the previous one.

I'll take your word for it. But the NHC track is wrong anyway, so there's no point splitting hairs.

Who cares??? Average 5-day track error: THREE HUNDRED miles.

LOL That was exactly my point, Brent. At 96 hours out, the track is bound to be wrong to some degree. I wasn't claiming to be right...just that the NHC track is bound to be wrong at this point. Just a little levity.

[Brent]

That looks like the same map from the previous advisory. Hey! Something smells fishy.

Nope... it's slightly farther north and the 120-hour position is NW of the previous one.

I'll take your word for it. But the NHC track is wrong anyway, so there's no point splitting hairs.

Who cares??? Average 5-day track error: THREE HUNDRED miles.

LOL That was exactly my point, Brent. At 96 hours out, the track is bound to be wrong to some degree. I wasn't claiming to be right...just that the NHC track is bound to be wrong at this point. Just a little levity.

Do you happen to live in Texas???

[Mac]

That looks like the same map from the previous advisory. Hey! Something smells fishy.

Nope... it's slightly farther north and the 120-hour position is NW of the previous one.

I'll take your word for it. But the NHC track is wrong anyway, so there's no point splitting hairs.

Who cares??? Average 5-day track error: THREE HUNDRED miles.

LOL That was exactly my point, Brent. At 96 hours out, the track is bound to be wrong to some degree. I wasn't claiming to be right...just that the NHC track is bound to be wrong at this point. Just a little levity.

Do you happen to live in Texas???

No, I live in Nashville. So Emma is going to have to build up one helluva head of steam if I'm going to wishcast her upon myself.

[jkt21787]

That looks like the same map from the previous advisory. Hey! Something smells fishy.

Nope... it's slightly farther north and the 120-hour position is NW of the previous one.

I'll take your word for it. But the NHC track is wrong anyway, so there's no point splitting hairs.

Who cares??? Average 5-day track error: THREE HUNDRED miles.

LOL That was exactly my point, Brent. At 96 hours out, the track is bound to be wrong to some degree. I wasn't claiming to be right...just that the NHC track is bound to be wrong at this point. Just a little levity.

Do you happen to live in Texas???

I was going to ask that.

We know where texasheat wants it to come to!

[jkt21787]

No, I live in Nashville. So Emma is going to have to build up one helluva head of steam if I'm going to wishcast her upon myself.

Thanks for the info.

[texasheat]

ha ha ha so what if i do

[jkt21787]

ha ha ha so what if i do

In case you don't know its called wish-casting and its greatly looked down upon. People will start ignoring you or bashing you, seriously.

[rtd2]

That looks like the same map from the previous advisory. Hey! Something smells fishy.

Nope... it's slightly farther north and the 120-hour position is NW of the previous one.

I'll take your word for it. But the NHC track is wrong anyway, so there's no point splitting hairs.

Who cares??? Average 5-day track error: THREE HUNDRED miles.

Except for Dennis!

[Houstonia]

Sorry about that. Just seems to me theres alot of Texans who want this coming to them .

*Sigh* There is. And I'd hate to make it worse, but that would make everybody satisfied. Win-Win.

Geez - I'm sure sick of everyone accusing other people of "wanting a storm" or "-removed-". I think I said this in a previous year - so what?!? Do you think that if ALL the people in Texas wished a storm onto their state, it would happen just because of our wishing power?

I have a friend here in Houston, who every YEAR wishes for the storm of all storm to hit here. You know what I do? I laugh.

At least, in MY mind, God makes the final decision - not our wishes. duh. So please please, I beg of you - please stop with the accusations and let us wish for a storm or wish not for a storm... in peace.

[texasheat]

they nailed dennis.