Emily Recon

[clfenwi]

VORTEX MESSAGE

Storm EMILY: Observed By AF #302
Storm #05 in Atlantic Ocean1
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 79KT (90.8mph 146.3km/h) In N Quadrant At 01:08:00 Z
Estimated Max Surface Winds 71.1KT (81.8mph 131.7km/h) *
Misc Remarks: X FL TEMP 17 C, 244 / 11 NM
Date/Time of Recon Report: Invalid Date (Invalid Date)
Position of the center: 11° 50' N 061° 20' W (11.8°N 61.3°W)
Minimum Height Measured At Standard Level Of 850mb: 1365m (Normal: 1457)
Surface Winds Were: Not Estimated
Estimated Surface Winds Were Measured nm (0miles) From Center At Bearing °
Maximum Flight Level Winds Near Center Were 052KT (59.8mph 96.3km/h) From 064°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were Measured 051nm (58.6 miles) From Center At Bearing 300°
Minimum pressure: 992mb (29.29in)
Eye Wall Characterization Not Reported
Eye Did Not Have A Definable Form or was not reported
Center Fix Established Using: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure
Center Fix Established At Level(s): 850mb
Navigational Accuracy Measured At 0.02nm
Meteorological Accuracy Measured At 1nm
* = Estimated Surface Winds are assumed 90% of Max Flight Level Winds

[Hurricaneman]

No eyewall yet

[clfenwi]

Supporting dropsonde ob

Observation Number: 25
Time: 0511Z
Position: 11.8 N // 61.3 West
Sea Level Pressure: 992 millibars
Surface wind speed and direction: 6 knots // 065
925 millibar height: 615 meters
925 millibar winds: 13 knots // 035
850 millibar height: 1349 meters
850 millibar winds: 7 knots // 030

[hicksta]

when will we see an eyewall

[gkrangers]

when will we see an eyewall

When it forms.

[clfenwi]

Observation Number: 26
Time: 0508Z
Position 11.3 North 60.8 West
Flight Level winds: 040//210
850 millibar height: 1483 meters

[senorpepr]

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 02
Flight ID: AF302
Flt Data Number: 49
Ob #01 Location: 84 mi SSE of Bridgetown, Barbados
Ob #01: Time: 05:19:00Z; 11.9°N 60.8°W; PA: 6014 ft; D-Value: 33 ft; Wind: SSE (159°) @ 73 mph; Temp: 57°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #02: Time: 05:19:30Z; 12°N 60.8°W; PA: 6017 ft; D-Value: 34 ft; Wind: SSE (157°) @ 75 mph; Temp: 56°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #03: Time: 05:20:00Z; 12°N 60.8°W; PA: 6001 ft; D-Value: 36 ft; Wind: SE (144°) @ 82 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #04: Time: 05:20:30Z; 12°N 60.8°W; PA: 6014 ft; D-Value: 36 ft; Wind: SE (140°) @ 83 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #05: Time: 05:21:00Z; 12.1°N 60.8°W; PA: 6027 ft; D-Value: 38 ft; Wind: SE (140°) @ 83 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #06: Time: 05:21:30Z; 12.1°N 60.8°W; PA: 5994 ft; D-Value: 40 ft; Wind: SE (138°) @ 83 mph; Temp: 57°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #07: Time: 05:22:00Z; 12.2°N 60.8°W; PA: 6017 ft; D-Value: 42 ft; Wind: SE (131°) @ 84 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #08: Time: 05:22:30Z; 12.2°N 60.8°W; PA: 6017 ft; D-Value: 42 ft; Wind: SE (130°) @ 82 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #09: Time: 05:23:00Z; 12.2°N 60.8°W; PA: 6010 ft; D-Value: 43 ft; Wind: SE (131°) @ 79 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #10: Time: 05:23:30Z; 12.3°N 60.8°W; PA: 6004 ft; D-Value: 44 ft; Wind: SE (128°) @ 83 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #11: Time: 05:24:00Z; 12.3°N 60.8°W; PA: 6017 ft; D-Value: 46 ft; Wind: SE (127°) @ 85 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #12: Time: 05:24:30Z; 12.3°N 60.8°W; PA: 6020 ft; D-Value: 47 ft; Wind: SE (124°) @ 82 mph; Temp: 55°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #13: Time: 05:25:00Z; 12.3°N 60.8°W; PA: 6007 ft; D-Value: 48 ft; Wind: ESE (122°) @ 83 mph; Temp: 55°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #14: Time: 05:25:30Z; 12.4°N 60.8°W; PA: 6010 ft; D-Value: 50 ft; Wind: ESE (123°) @ 83 mph; Temp: 58°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #15: Time: 05:26:00Z; 12.4°N 60.8°W; PA: 6010 ft; D-Value: 50 ft; Wind: SE (125°) @ 83 mph; Temp: 57°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #16: Time: 05:26:30Z; 12.4°N 60.8°W; PA: 6017 ft; D-Value: 51 ft; Wind: SE (125°) @ 84 mph; Temp: 58°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #17: Time: 05:27:00Z; 12.5°N 60.8°W; PA: 6014 ft; D-Value: 51 ft; Wind: SE (125°) @ 82 mph; Temp: 57°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #18: Time: 05:27:30Z; 12.5°N 60.8°W; PA: 6014 ft; D-Value: 51 ft; Wind: SE (126°) @ 77 mph; Temp: 58°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #19: Time: 05:28:00Z; 12.5°N 60.8°W; PA: 6014 ft; D-Value: 52 ft; Wind: SE (127°) @ 85 mph; Temp: 58°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #20: Time: 05:28:30Z; 12.6°N 60.9°W; PA: 6010 ft; D-Value: 52 ft; Wind: SE (129°) @ 84 mph; Temp: 59°F; Dewpt: 46°F

[senorpepr]

RECCO Observation
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 02
Flight ID: AF302
Observation Number: 27
Time: 0529Z
Latitude: 12.6°N
Longitude: 60.9°W
Location: 43 mi SSE of Kingstown, Saint Vincent
Turbulence: Occasional Moderate
Flight condition: Unknown
Pressure Altitude: 6000 feet
Flight level wind: SE (130°) @ 73 mph
Temperature: 61°F
Dewpoint: 54°F
Weather: Thunderstorm
850mb height: 4900 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: None

[senorpepr]

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 02
Flight ID: AF302
Flt Data Number: 50
Ob #01 Location: 42 mi SE of Bridgetown, Barbados
Ob #01: Time: 05:29:00Z; 12.6°N 60.9°W; PA: 6007 ft; D-Value: 53 ft; Wind: SE (128°) @ 76 mph; Temp: 60°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #02: Time: 05:29:30Z; 12.6°N 60.9°W; PA: 6020 ft; D-Value: 52 ft; Wind: SE (128°) @ 73 mph; Temp: 60°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #03: Time: 05:30:00Z; 12.7°N 60.9°W; PA: 6033 ft; D-Value: 59 ft; Wind: ESE (123°) @ 73 mph; Temp: 61°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #04: Time: 05:30:30Z; 12.7°N 60.9°W; PA: 5997 ft; D-Value: 57 ft; Wind: ESE (123°) @ 70 mph; Temp: 61°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #05: Time: 05:31:00Z; 12.6°N 60.9°W; PA: 6010 ft; D-Value: 49 ft; Wind: ESE (121°) @ 67 mph; Temp: 62°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #06: Time: 05:31:30Z; 12.6°N 60.9°W; PA: 6014 ft; D-Value: 50 ft; Wind: ESE (120°) @ 69 mph; Temp: 61°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #07: Time: 05:32:00Z; 12.6°N 61°W; PA: 6001 ft; D-Value: 49 ft; Wind: ESE (120°) @ 75 mph; Temp: 60°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #08: Time: 05:32:30Z; 12.6°N 61°W; PA: 6017 ft; D-Value: 48 ft; Wind: ESE (121°) @ 78 mph; Temp: 60°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #09: Time: 05:33:00Z; 12.6°N 61°W; PA: 6014 ft; D-Value: 46 ft; Wind: ESE (121°) @ 76 mph; Temp: 62°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #10: Time: 05:33:30Z; 12.5°N 61°W; PA: 6014 ft; D-Value: 44 ft; Wind: ESE (118°) @ 74 mph; Temp: 63°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #11: Time: 05:34:00Z; 12.5°N 61°W; PA: 6004 ft; D-Value: 42 ft; Wind: ESE (117°) @ 78 mph; Temp: 63°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #12: Time: 05:34:30Z; 12.5°N 61.1°W; PA: 6020 ft; D-Value: 40 ft; Wind: ESE (117°) @ 77 mph; Temp: 62°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #13: Time: 05:35:00Z; 12.5°N 61.1°W; PA: 6010 ft; D-Value: 39 ft; Wind: ESE (115°) @ 78 mph; Temp: 61°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #14: Time: 05:35:30Z; 12.5°N 61.1°W; PA: 6017 ft; D-Value: 37 ft; Wind: ESE (114°) @ 84 mph; Temp: 60°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #15: Time: 05:36:00Z; 12.4°N 61.1°W; PA: 6004 ft; D-Value: 36 ft; Wind: ESE (114°) @ 84 mph; Temp: 60°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #16: Time: 05:36:30Z; 12.4°N 61.1°W; PA: 6017 ft; D-Value: 33 ft; Wind: ESE (113°) @ 85 mph; Temp: 59°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #17: Time: 05:37:00Z; 12.4°N 61.2°W; PA: 6014 ft; D-Value: 29 ft; Wind: ESE (111°) @ 88 mph; Temp: 58°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #18: Time: 05:37:30Z; 12.4°N 61.2°W; PA: 6010 ft; D-Value: 25 ft; Wind: ESE (109°) @ 88 mph; Temp: 58°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #19: Time: 05:38:00Z; 12.4°N 61.2°W; PA: 6027 ft; D-Value: 20 ft; Wind: ESE (110°) @ 78 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #20: Time: 05:38:30Z; 12.3°N 61.2°W; PA: 6001 ft; D-Value: 13 ft; Wind: ESE (107°) @ 83 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 45°F

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Heck Tropical storm Bret had a eye. You mean this is a boarder line cat2 hurricane with no eye at all?

[gkrangers]

Heck Tropical storm Bret had a eye. You mean this is a boarder line cat2 hurricane with no eye at all?

Takes time. By morning I would expect something in the way of an eye, maybe not a great one, but a discernable eye feature.

[senorpepr]

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 02
Flight ID: AF302
Flt Data Number: 51
Ob #01 Location: 68 mi SSE of Kingstown, Saint Vincent
Ob #01: Time: 05:39:00Z; 12.3°N 61.3°W; PA: 6020 ft; D-Value: 12 ft; Wind: ESE (113°) @ 84 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #02: Time: 05:39:30Z; 12.3°N 61.3°W; PA: 6014 ft; D-Value: 9 ft; Wind: ESE (114°) @ 86 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #03: Time: 05:40:00Z; 12.3°N 61.3°W; PA: 6014 ft; D-Value: 4 ft; Wind: ESE (118°) @ 75 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #04: Time: 05:40:30Z; 12.3°N 61.3°W; PA: 6014 ft; D-Value: 3 ft; Wind: SE (124°) @ 77 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #05: Time: 05:41:00Z; 12.2°N 61.3°W; PA: 6007 ft; D-Value: -1 ft; Wind: SE (124°) @ 68 mph; Temp: 57°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #06: Time: 05:41:30Z; 12.2°N 61.4°W; PA: 6007 ft; D-Value: -5 ft; Wind: ESE (122°) @ 66 mph; Temp: 56°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #07: Time: 05:42:00Z; 12.2°N 61.4°W; PA: 6020 ft; D-Value: -11 ft; Wind: ESE (116°) @ 67 mph; Temp: 58°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #08: Time: 05:42:30Z; 12.2°N 61.4°W; PA: 6017 ft; D-Value: -17 ft; Wind: ESE (112°) @ 71 mph; Temp: 56°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #09: Time: 05:43:00Z; 12.2°N 61.4°W; PA: 6010 ft; D-Value: -24 ft; Wind: ESE (117°) @ 70 mph; Temp: 56°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #10: Time: 05:43:30Z; 12.1°N 61.4°W; PA: 6010 ft; D-Value: -33 ft; Wind: ESE (115°) @ 76 mph; Temp: 58°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #11: Time: 05:44:00Z; 12.1°N 61.4°W; PA: 6017 ft; D-Value: -43 ft; Wind: ESE (108°) @ 76 mph; Temp: 59°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #12: Time: 05:44:30Z; 12.1°N 61.5°W; PA: 6010 ft; D-Value: -57 ft; Wind: ESE (103°) @ 71 mph; Temp: 62°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #13: Time: 05:45:00Z; 12.1°N 61.5°W; PA: 6020 ft; D-Value: -68 ft; Wind: E (93°) @ 58 mph; Temp: 61°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #14: Time: 05:45:30Z; 12°N 61.5°W; PA: 5997 ft; D-Value: -79 ft; Wind: ENE (78°) @ 48 mph; Temp: 63°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #15: Time: 05:46:00Z; 12°N 61.5°W; PA: 6017 ft; D-Value: -90 ft; Wind: ENE (73°) @ 36 mph; Temp: 64°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #16: Time: 05:46:30Z; 12°N 61.5°W; PA: 6007 ft; D-Value: -93 ft; Wind: E (89°) @ 16 mph; Temp: 63°F; Dewpt: 35°F
Ob #17: Time: 05:47:00Z; 12°N 61.5°W; PA: 6050 ft; D-Value: -90 ft; Wind: S (172°) @ 6 mph; Temp: 62°F; Dewpt: 33°F
Ob #18: Time: 05:47:30Z; 11.9°N 61.5°W; PA: 6086 ft; D-Value: -81 ft; Wind: SSW (205°) @ 9 mph; Temp: 63°F; Dewpt: 34°F
Ob #19: Time: 05:48:00Z; 11.9°N 61.5°W; PA: 6086 ft; D-Value: -75 ft; Wind: SW (232°) @ 9 mph; Temp: 64°F; Dewpt: 34°F
Ob #20: Time: 05:48:30Z; 11.9°N 61.5°W; PA: 6184 ft; D-Value: -79 ft; Wind: SSE (156°) @ 5 mph; Temp: 63°F; Dewpt: 33°F

[senorpepr]

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 02
Flight ID: AF302
Flt Data Number: 52
Ob #01 Location: 87 mi E of Saint George's, Grenada
Ob #01: Time: 05:49:00Z; 12°N 61.5°W; PA: 6293 ft; D-Value: -85 ft; Wind: E (92°) @ 7 mph; Temp: 61°F; Dewpt: 34°F
Ob #02: Time: 05:49:30Z; 12°N 61.5°W; PA: 6929 ft; D-Value: -71 ft; Wind: ENE (75°) @ 24 mph; Temp: 61°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #03: Time: 05:50:00Z; 12°N 61.5°W; PA: 7562 ft; D-Value: -67 ft; Wind: ENE (74°) @ 37 mph; Temp: 60°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #04: Time: 05:50:30Z; 12°N 61.5°W; PA: 8261 ft; D-Value: -49 ft; Wind: ENE (76°) @ 40 mph; Temp: 58°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #05: Time: 05:51:00Z; 12.1°N 61.5°W; PA: 9501 ft; D-Value: -11 ft; Wind: ENE (78°) @ 61 mph; Temp: 56°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #06: Time: 05:51:30Z; 12.1°N 61.5°W; PA: 10046 ft; D-Value: 7 ft; Wind: E (85°) @ 67 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #07: Time: 05:52:00Z; 12.1°N 61.5°W; PA: 10131 ft; D-Value: 21 ft; Wind: E (94°) @ 71 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #08: Time: 05:52:30Z; 12.2°N 61.5°W; PA: 10102 ft; D-Value: 32 ft; Wind: E (101°) @ 77 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #09: Time: 05:53:00Z; 12.2°N 61.5°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 40 ft; Wind: ESE (103°) @ 73 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #10: Time: 05:53:30Z; 12.2°N 61.5°W; PA: 10026 ft; D-Value: 49 ft; Wind: ESE (105°) @ 70 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #11: Time: 05:54:00Z; 12.2°N 61.5°W; PA: 10026 ft; D-Value: 56 ft; Wind: ESE (108°) @ 69 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #12: Time: 05:54:30Z; 12.3°N 61.5°W; PA: 10020 ft; D-Value: 61 ft; Wind: ESE (110°) @ 68 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #13: Time: 05:55:00Z; 12.3°N 61.5°W; PA: 10030 ft; D-Value: 67 ft; Wind: ESE (112°) @ 68 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #14: Time: 05:55:30Z; 12.3°N 61.5°W; PA: 10020 ft; D-Value: 74 ft; Wind: ESE (107°) @ 62 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #15: Time: 05:56:00Z; 12.4°N 61.5°W; PA: 10016 ft; D-Value: 75 ft; Wind: ESE (113°) @ 65 mph; Temp: 44°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #16: Time: 05:56:30Z; 12.4°N 61.5°W; PA: 10052 ft; D-Value: 80 ft; Wind: ESE (107°) @ 69 mph; Temp: 43°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #17: Time: 05:57:00Z; 12.4°N 61.5°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 87 ft; Wind: E (93°) @ 68 mph; Temp: 43°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #18: Time: 05:57:30Z; 12.5°N 61.5°W; PA: 10030 ft; D-Value: 90 ft; Wind: E (91°) @ 65 mph; Temp: 44°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #19: Time: 05:58:00Z; 12.5°N 61.5°W; PA: 10039 ft; D-Value: 93 ft; Wind: E (87°) @ 62 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #20: Time: 05:58:30Z; 12.5°N 61.5°W; PA: 10016 ft; D-Value: 93 ft; Wind: E (85°) @ 61 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 42°F

[senorpepr]

Dropsonde Observation
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 02
Flight ID: AF302
Observation Number: 30
Time: 0600Z
Latitude: 11.9°N
Longitude: 61.5°W
Location: 21 mi ESE of Saint George's, Grenada
Surface: 991 mb; Temp: 81°F; Dewpt: 55°F; SSE (150°) @ 17 mph
1000mb height: 1909 ft; Temp: N/A°F; Dewpt: N/A°F; N (N/A°) @ N/A mph
925mb height: 1988 ft; Temp: 74°F; Dewpt: 73°F; SSE (160°) @ 22 mph
850mb height: 4406 ft; Temp: 67°F; Dewpt: 66°F; SSE (160°) @ 14 mph
EYE SPL 1196N06147W 0549 MBL WND 16518 AEV 20507 DLM WND 16
518 991848 WL150 16017 076

[senorpepr]

VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 02
Flight ID: AF302
Observation Number: 28
Time: 05:46:50Z
Latitude: 12°N
Longitude: 61.5°W
Location: 22 mi E of Saint George's, Grenada
Minimum height at 850 mb 1345 m
Est. Surface Winds Observed: NA
Maximum flight level wind: ESE (109°) @ 88 mph
Distance and bearing from center to max flight level wind: 36 mi NE (34°)
Sea level pressure: 991 mb
Max flight level temperature outside the eye: 61°F at 6014 feet
Max flight level temperature inside the eye: 63°F at 6043 feet
Dewpoint temperature inside the eye: 63°F
Eye character: NA
Eye shape: NA
Eye diameter: NA
Fix determined by: Penetration Wind Pressure at 850 mb
Navigation / Met Accuracy: 0.02 / 1 nm
MAX FL WIND 76 KT N QUAD 05:37:10 Z
POOR RADAR PRESENTATION

[senorpepr]

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 02
Flight ID: AF302
Flt Data Number: 53
Ob #01 Location: 65 mi SE of Kingstown, Saint Vincent
Ob #01: Time: 05:59:00Z; 12.5°N 61.5°W; PA: 10023 ft; D-Value: 92 ft; Wind: E (85°) @ 60 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #02: Time: 05:59:30Z; 12.6°N 61.5°W; PA: 10026 ft; D-Value: 94 ft; Wind: E (91°) @ 61 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #03: Time: 06:00:00Z; 12.6°N 61.5°W; PA: 10020 ft; D-Value: 95 ft; Wind: E (91°) @ 61 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #04: Time: 06:00:30Z; 12.6°N 61.5°W; PA: 10030 ft; D-Value: 96 ft; Wind: E (92°) @ 62 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #05: Time: 06:01:00Z; 12.7°N 61.5°W; PA: 10020 ft; D-Value: 98 ft; Wind: E (93°) @ 65 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #06: Time: 06:01:30Z; 12.7°N 61.5°W; PA: 10026 ft; D-Value: 99 ft; Wind: E (94°) @ 66 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #07: Time: 06:02:00Z; 12.7°N 61.5°W; PA: 10020 ft; D-Value: 100 ft; Wind: E (93°) @ 66 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #08: Time: 06:02:30Z; 12.7°N 61.5°W; PA: 10030 ft; D-Value: 101 ft; Wind: E (93°) @ 65 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #09: Time: 06:03:00Z; 12.8°N 61.5°W; PA: 10023 ft; D-Value: 101 ft; Wind: E (94°) @ 66 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #10: Time: 06:03:30Z; 12.8°N 61.5°W; PA: 10026 ft; D-Value: 103 ft; Wind: E (97°) @ 67 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #11: Time: 06:04:00Z; 12.8°N 61.5°W; PA: 10026 ft; D-Value: 103 ft; Wind: E (99°) @ 69 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #12: Time: 06:04:30Z; 12.9°N 61.5°W; PA: 10387 ft; D-Value: 115 ft; Wind: E (98°) @ 75 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #13: Time: 06:05:00Z; 12.9°N 61.5°W; PA: 11407 ft; D-Value: 143 ft; Wind: E (93°) @ 76 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #14: Time: 06:05:30Z; 12.9°N 61.6°W; PA: 12379 ft; D-Value: 162 ft; Wind: E (94°) @ 76 mph; Temp: 43°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #15: Time: 06:06:00Z; 12.9°N 61.6°W; PA: 13261 ft; D-Value: 180 ft; Wind: E (97°) @ 69 mph; Temp: 41°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #16: Time: 06:06:30Z; 13°N 61.6°W; PA: 14341 ft; D-Value: 181 ft; Wind: E (89°) @ 65 mph; Temp: 38°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #17: Time: 06:07:00Z; 13°N 61.6°W; PA: 15243 ft; D-Value: 208 ft; Wind: E (86°) @ 61 mph; Temp: 35°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #18: Time: 06:07:30Z; 13°N 61.6°W; PA: 16152 ft; D-Value: 241 ft; Wind: ENE (77°) @ 53 mph; Temp: 33°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #19: Time: 06:08:00Z; 13.1°N 61.6°W; PA: 16975 ft; D-Value: 262 ft; Wind: ENE (70°) @ 51 mph; Temp: 35°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #20: Time: 06:08:30Z; 13.1°N 61.6°W; PA: 17625 ft; D-Value: 276 ft; Wind: ENE (74°) @ 52 mph; Temp: 39°F; Dewpt: 40°F

[gkrangers]

Looks like they are callin it a night.

[senorpepr]

This is my last decoding for this flight as they are back at cruising altitude and exiting the region.

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 02
Flight ID: AF302
Flt Data Number: 54
Ob #01 Location: 55 mi E of Kingstown, Saint Vincent
Ob #01: Time: 06:09:00Z; 13.1°N 61.6°W; PA: 18543 ft; D-Value: 296 ft; Wind: ENE (69°) @ 48 mph; Temp: 42°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #02: Time: 06:09:30Z; 13.2°N 61.7°W; PA: 19416 ft; D-Value: 314 ft; Wind: ENE (63°) @ 41 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #03: Time: 06:10:00Z; 13.2°N 61.7°W; PA: 20102 ft; D-Value: 329 ft; Wind: ENE (63°) @ 41 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #04: Time: 06:10:30Z; 13.2°N 61.7°W; PA: 20801 ft; D-Value: 334 ft; Wind: ENE (59°) @ 39 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #05: Time: 06:11:00Z; 13.2°N 61.7°W; PA: 21398 ft; D-Value: 342 ft; Wind: NE (56°) @ 37 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #06: Time: 06:11:30Z; 13.3°N 61.7°W; PA: 21932 ft; D-Value: 356 ft; Wind: NE (55°) @ 37 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #07: Time: 06:12:00Z; 13.3°N 61.7°W; PA: 22398 ft; D-Value: 367 ft; Wind: ENE (60°) @ 37 mph; Temp: 56°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #08: Time: 06:12:30Z; 13.3°N 61.7°W; PA: 22858 ft; D-Value: 378 ft; Wind: ENE (64°) @ 36 mph; Temp: 59°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #09: Time: 06:13:00Z; 13.4°N 61.7°W; PA: 23337 ft; D-Value: 390 ft; Wind: ENE (65°) @ 35 mph; Temp: 61°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #10: Time: 06:13:30Z; 13.4°N 61.8°W; PA: 23783 ft; D-Value: 400 ft; Wind: ENE (69°) @ 32 mph; Temp: 63°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #11: Time: 06:14:00Z; 13.4°N 61.8°W; PA: 24396 ft; D-Value: 413 ft; Wind: ENE (66°) @ 32 mph; Temp: 65°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #12: Time: 06:14:30Z; 13.5°N 61.8°W; PA: 24892 ft; D-Value: 424 ft; Wind: ENE (64°) @ 33 mph; Temp: 66°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #13: Time: 06:15:00Z; 13.5°N 61.8°W; PA: 25289 ft; D-Value: 439 ft; Wind: ENE (67°) @ 35 mph; Temp: 68°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #14: Time: 06:15:30Z; 13.5°N 61.8°W; PA: 25709 ft; D-Value: 464 ft; Wind: ENE (68°) @ 35 mph; Temp: 69°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #15: Time: 06:16:00Z; 13.6°N 61.8°W; PA: 25971 ft; D-Value: 471 ft; Wind: ENE (72°) @ 35 mph; Temp: 70°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #16: Time: 06:16:30Z; 13.6°N 61.8°W; PA: 26047 ft; D-Value: 475 ft; Wind: ENE (77°) @ 35 mph; Temp: 71°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #17: Time: 06:17:00Z; 13.6°N 61.9°W; PA: 26040 ft; D-Value: 474 ft; Wind: ENE (73°) @ 38 mph; Temp: 70°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #18: Time: 06:17:30Z; 13.7°N 61.9°W; PA: 26027 ft; D-Value: 476 ft; Wind: ENE (76°) @ 37 mph; Temp: 69°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #19: Time: 06:18:00Z; 13.7°N 61.9°W; PA: 26024 ft; D-Value: 476 ft; Wind: ENE (77°) @ 35 mph; Temp: 69°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #20: Time: 06:18:30Z; 13.7°N 61.9°W; PA: 26027 ft; D-Value: 477 ft; Wind: ENE (77°) @ 32 mph; Temp: 69°F; Dewpt: 37°F

[Derek Ortt]

while the storm is looking better, from that recon data, seems as if the winds have decreased ever so slightly. Not a weakening at all as the pressure is a bit lower, but maybe the earlier very strong wind was not entirely due to the circ, but due to the convective explosion

[clfenwi]

In the early part of the mission (after the initial vortex) we didn't seem to see the usual case of the wind observations trailing the pressure obs wrt to intensification....the max wind ob (the 925 mb wind recorded by the dropsonde) coinicided with the then pressure minimum... the theory you offer, Derek, may explain why that was the case...