Bermuda high is protecting pensinsula FL
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WeatherEmperor
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Im not sure it really protected FL all that much. Frances and Jeanne rode that ridge right into the FL east coast but it did help Ivan stay on a more southern path, unfortunately for FL panhandle ofcourse. Lets not count our blessings just yet cause if that high is still there in Aug/Sept and a hurricane just so happens to go north of the Islands for a change, then we could be in big trouble.
<RICKY>
<RICKY>
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Matt-hurricanewatcher
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jabber
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Re: Bermuda high is protecting pensinsula FL
boca wrote:Why couldn't this happen last year.
The high last year is what caused the storms to be directed to Florida. Remember its only mid July. Like the other poster stated, if this high is still around and strong later in the season S. E Florida will not be so lucky.
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The strenght doesn't really affect where they go as much as the axis, and placement of the high pressure ridge. For example if it retrograded east and pulled north slightly, NC would be getting all these storms. It really depends on its placement, and that is something that will change throughout the season. And even dynamically week to week.
-Eric
-Eric
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Hyperstorm
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The thing is that the majority of people don't know that even though the Bermuda High was strong and persistent last year, it WASN'T there ALL the time. The troughs that moved across the Atlantic weakened it from time to time (at the same time a hurricane was approaching) and re-established itself once the system was due east of the Peninsula...
This early in the season, the setup has been kind of different in that the troughs are not showing up in the W. Atlantic when there have been any tropical cyclones nearby. *Suppose* 99L develops and a trough pulls it NW for a while. *Suppose* the trough lifts out, the high will re-establish itself, but the latitude of the system is already north of the islands. That will make for a threat.
The patterns change all the time which means that there is no guarantee as to when we will see a threat for the East Coast...
This early in the season, the setup has been kind of different in that the troughs are not showing up in the W. Atlantic when there have been any tropical cyclones nearby. *Suppose* 99L develops and a trough pulls it NW for a while. *Suppose* the trough lifts out, the high will re-establish itself, but the latitude of the system is already north of the islands. That will make for a threat.
The patterns change all the time which means that there is no guarantee as to when we will see a threat for the East Coast...
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