18:00 z Model Guidance on 99L, Back On NRL Main Page!!!

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Wnghs2007
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18:00 z Model Guidance on 99L, Back On NRL Main Page!!!

#1 Postby Wnghs2007 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 2:00 pm

000
WHXX01 KWBC 141850
CHGHUR

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

.....THE FOLLOWING IS A TEST MESSAGE.....

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (AL992005) ON 20050714 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050714 1800 050715 0600 050715 1800 050716 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 15.5N 41.9W 16.3N 44.0W 17.4N 46.1W 18.5N 48.1W
BAMM 15.5N 41.9W 16.4N 44.2W 17.5N 46.6W 18.6N 48.7W
A98E 15.5N 41.9W 15.8N 44.7W 16.4N 47.3W 17.5N 49.5W
LBAR 15.5N 41.9W 16.2N 44.4W 17.5N 46.8W 19.1N 49.4W
SHIP 25KTS 28KTS 33KTS 38KTS
DSHP 25KTS 28KTS 33KTS 38KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050716 1800 050717 1800 050718 1800 050719 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 19.9N 50.3W 22.9N 55.2W 25.9N 59.4W 27.9N 61.2W
BAMM 19.9N 51.0W 22.3N 55.7W 24.8N 60.7W 26.8N 63.8W
A98E 19.1N 51.6W 22.5N 56.1W 26.2N 60.1W 28.9N 61.1W
LBAR 20.7N 51.9W 25.3N 56.1W 30.2N 57.5W 31.3N 52.3W
SHIP 45KTS 55KTS 59KTS 60KTS
DSHP 45KTS 55KTS 59KTS 60KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 15.5N LONCUR = 41.9W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 14KT
LATM12 = 15.1N LONM12 = 39.3W DIRM12 = 276DEG SPDM12 = 15KT
LATM24 = 14.9N LONM24 = 35.9W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1011MB OUTPRS = 1014MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

.....THE ABOVE HAS BEEN A TEST MESSAGE.....


Image
Last edited by Wnghs2007 on Thu Jul 14, 2005 2:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#2 Postby P.K. » Thu Jul 14, 2005 2:09 pm

Hmmm. I noticed this afernoon that 99L had been dropped by the NRL which is strange given those models. (It is still on the FNMOC page though)
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#3 Postby Scorpion » Thu Jul 14, 2005 2:10 pm

Could it loop like Jeanne?
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#4 Postby jax » Thu Jul 14, 2005 2:10 pm

Scorpion wrote:Could it loop like Jeanne?


:lol: :lol:
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#5 Postby CaptinCrunch » Thu Jul 14, 2005 2:12 pm

Scorpion wrote:Could it loop like Jeanne?


At preasent state it wont survive the cooler waters as it get sweep off to the N and then NE
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#6 Postby Wnghs2007 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 2:14 pm

Well, Model map just updated and some of the models are not recurving it anymore but pushing it NW or NNW.
Last edited by Wnghs2007 on Thu Jul 14, 2005 2:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#7 Postby CFL » Thu Jul 14, 2005 2:16 pm

Love those fish! :D
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#8 Postby dgparent » Thu Jul 14, 2005 2:17 pm

Wnghs2007 wrote:Well Model map just updated and some of the models are not recurving it anymore but pushing it NW or NNW.


What is the "Well Model Map" ??
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#9 Postby BonesXL » Thu Jul 14, 2005 2:18 pm

It's a little interesting on how its not looping north. All the models had it pretty much looping north. I wondered what changed?
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#10 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Jul 14, 2005 2:24 pm

Can you say FISH?
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#11 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jul 14, 2005 2:38 pm

Image

Convection surely has increased over the past hours.
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#12 Postby Wnghs2007 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 2:39 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Image

Convection surely has increased over the past hours.


There is a monster on the right side of the screen about to come off Africa.
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#13 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Jul 14, 2005 2:51 pm

Wnghs2007 wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:Image

Convection surely has increased over the past hours.


There is a monster on the right side of the screen about to come off Africa.


Once August/September roll around those are really gonna be big monsters.

<RICKY>
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#14 Postby Wnghs2007 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 2:52 pm

BUMP!

Invest 99 L is back up on the NRL's main page

CLICK HERE FOR 99 L on NRL main
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#15 Postby Wnghs2007 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 2:56 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:
Once August/September roll around those are really gonna be big monsters.

<RICKY>



Yes they are, heck even now its producing some like Emily, Dennis, etc...
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#16 Postby Brent » Thu Jul 14, 2005 2:57 pm

NRL still says Emily is at 50 kt and 1003 mb, LOL, I think they had a glitch. :lol:
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#17 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jul 14, 2005 3:19 pm

99L is becoming better oreganized...With signs of a LLC starting to form on Visible this afternoon. Convection forming to the northeast quad...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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