Here is what the 00Z Globals are saying!

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
mobilebay
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1853
Age: 51
Joined: Wed Aug 18, 2004 1:22 am
Location: Mobile, Alabama

Here is what the 00Z Globals are saying!

#1 Postby mobilebay » Thu Jul 14, 2005 10:21 pm

The GFS = Southern Texas
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_126l.gif
Canadian= looses surface feature but takes her into the Central Texas coast at the 850 MB level.
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation
NOGAPS= Northern Mexico
https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/CGI/PUBLIC/w ... rp&tau=120
NAM/ETA= North of Yucatan in 84 hours.
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_084l.gif
UKMET= South Texas
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/ukmtc2.c ... =Animation

The models seem to find a weakness around 80 West and take Emily into the Southern GOM via the Yucatan Channel. However, once in the GOM the models want to build the high back over her creating a westward motion until landfall.
Last edited by mobilebay on Fri Jul 15, 2005 12:09 am, edited 6 times in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
mobilebay
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1853
Age: 51
Joined: Wed Aug 18, 2004 1:22 am
Location: Mobile, Alabama

#2 Postby mobilebay » Thu Jul 14, 2005 10:34 pm

Well the NAM/ETA is in an it is further north!
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_084l.gif
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
hicksta
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1108
Age: 35
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:16 am
Location: Kemah Texas/ Baton Rogue LA

#3 Postby hicksta » Thu Jul 14, 2005 10:36 pm

its not aminated is it
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
mobilebay
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1853
Age: 51
Joined: Wed Aug 18, 2004 1:22 am
Location: Mobile, Alabama

#4 Postby mobilebay » Thu Jul 14, 2005 10:38 pm

hicksta wrote:its not aminated is it

Yes! here you go!
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
mobilebay
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1853
Age: 51
Joined: Wed Aug 18, 2004 1:22 am
Location: Mobile, Alabama

#5 Postby mobilebay » Thu Jul 14, 2005 10:41 pm

GFS is already through 18 hours.
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_018l.gif
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
hicksta
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1108
Age: 35
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:16 am
Location: Kemah Texas/ Baton Rogue LA

#6 Postby hicksta » Thu Jul 14, 2005 10:42 pm

wouldnt the first one put her round freeport
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
hicksta
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1108
Age: 35
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:16 am
Location: Kemah Texas/ Baton Rogue LA

#7 Postby hicksta » Thu Jul 14, 2005 10:43 pm

in the second one is that her near houston or jamica
0 likes   
Top
jkt21787
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2061
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:27 pm
Location: Memphis, TN

#8 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 10:44 pm

hicksta wrote:in the second one is that her near houston or jamica

Jamaica low is Emily.
0 likes   
Top
Stratosphere747
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3772
Joined: Thu Sep 11, 2003 8:34 pm
Location: Surfside Beach/Freeport Tx
Contact:
Contact Stratosphere747

#9 Postby Stratosphere747 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 10:44 pm

hicksta wrote:wouldnt the first one put her round freeport


hicksta...Where are you at??
0 likes   
Top
gkrangers

#10 Postby gkrangers » Thu Jul 14, 2005 10:45 pm

Answer questions? Or create more!

Most likely the latter!!
0 likes   
Top
stormcloud
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 130
Joined: Fri May 07, 2004 2:44 pm
Location: Houston

#11 Postby stormcloud » Thu Jul 14, 2005 10:45 pm

The NAM was also very insistent on Dennis going to the central Louisiana coastline.
0 likes   
Top
jkt21787
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2061
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:27 pm
Location: Memphis, TN

#12 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 10:45 pm

hicksta wrote:wouldnt the first one put her round freeport

Since the model end at 84 hours, it would be hard to guess where it goes after that. It certainly is pointing toward somewhere in TX, but shouldn't be more detailed than that at this point.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
hicksta
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1108
Age: 35
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:16 am
Location: Kemah Texas/ Baton Rogue LA

#13 Postby hicksta » Thu Jul 14, 2005 10:45 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:
hicksta wrote:wouldnt the first one put her round freeport


hicksta...Where are you at??


LOL sorry bout it bro just trying to figure out where it would put her.. im on galveston bay.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
jasons2k
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 8250
Age: 52
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:32 pm
Location: The Woodlands, TX

#14 Postby jasons2k » Thu Jul 14, 2005 10:46 pm

listen to the nhcwx music while we wait...suspenseful
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
mobilebay
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1853
Age: 51
Joined: Wed Aug 18, 2004 1:22 am
Location: Mobile, Alabama

#15 Postby mobilebay » Thu Jul 14, 2005 10:48 pm

Through 42 hours (GFS)
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_042l.gif
0 likes   
Top
Derek Ortt

#16 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Jul 14, 2005 10:48 pm

careful about interpreting early model results as a run

I just had an MM5 seem like it went in one direction, only to hook in another at the very end
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
hicksta
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1108
Age: 35
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:16 am
Location: Kemah Texas/ Baton Rogue LA

#17 Postby hicksta » Thu Jul 14, 2005 10:48 pm

jschlitz wrote:listen to the nhcwx music while we wait...suspenseful




site???
0 likes   
Top
gkrangers

#18 Postby gkrangers » Thu Jul 14, 2005 10:49 pm

stormcloud wrote:The NAM was also very insistent on Dennis going to the central Louisiana coastline.
It also liked the east coast of Florida...
0 likes   
Top
Stratosphere747
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3772
Joined: Thu Sep 11, 2003 8:34 pm
Location: Surfside Beach/Freeport Tx
Contact:
Contact Stratosphere747

#19 Postby Stratosphere747 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 10:49 pm

hicksta wrote:
Stratosphere747 wrote:
hicksta wrote:wouldnt the first one put her round freeport


hicksta...Where are you at??


LOL sorry bout it bro just trying to figure out where it would put her.. im on galveston bay.


Hicksta....NP...It's obvious that you would be excited for Emily to come in our direction..

I'm guessing that you are a surfer..;)
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
hicksta
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1108
Age: 35
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:16 am
Location: Kemah Texas/ Baton Rogue LA

#20 Postby hicksta » Thu Jul 14, 2005 10:50 pm

yea =]..
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: riapal and 200 guests