Here is what the 00Z Globals are saying!

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
Stratosphere747
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3772
Joined: Thu Sep 11, 2003 8:34 pm
Location: Surfside Beach/Freeport Tx
Contact:
Contact Stratosphere747

#41 Postby Stratosphere747 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:11 pm

gkrangers wrote:Uh oh....this run is gonna result in a TX landfall for sure...


sarcasm.....
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
hicksta
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1108
Age: 35
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:16 am
Location: Kemah Texas/ Baton Rogue LA

#42 Postby hicksta » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:11 pm

where at is the question.. do you have the whole clip or jsut that
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
hicksta
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1108
Age: 35
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:16 am
Location: Kemah Texas/ Baton Rogue LA

#43 Postby hicksta » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:12 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:
gkrangers wrote:Uh oh....this run is gonna result in a TX landfall for sure...


sarcasm.....


dont think so
0 likes   
Top
jkt21787
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2061
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:27 pm
Location: Memphis, TN

#44 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:12 pm

hicksta wrote:where at is the question.. do you have the whole clip or jsut that

there's a specific animation site, but I don't have it. I'm a one frame at a time person.
0 likes   
Top
jkt21787
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2061
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:27 pm
Location: Memphis, TN

#45 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:13 pm

108 hours...looks stronger...still aiming for South or Central TX...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
hicksta
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1108
Age: 35
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:16 am
Location: Kemah Texas/ Baton Rogue LA

#46 Postby hicksta » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:13 pm

do you have the landfall fram
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#47 Postby clfenwi » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:14 pm

You have to reach back to the 071200 run to find a NOGAPS as far north as this one... across Jamaica between 36 and 48 hours...
0 likes   
Top
jkt21787
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2061
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:27 pm
Location: Memphis, TN

#48 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:14 pm

hicksta wrote:do you have the landfall fram

It hasn't run up to landfall point yet. It will still be another 10 minutes or so probably until it runs up to that time frame.
0 likes   
Top
Stratosphere747
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3772
Joined: Thu Sep 11, 2003 8:34 pm
Location: Surfside Beach/Freeport Tx
Contact:
Contact Stratosphere747

#49 Postby Stratosphere747 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:16 pm

hicksta wrote:
Stratosphere747 wrote:
gkrangers wrote:Uh oh....this run is gonna result in a TX landfall for sure...


sarcasm.....


dont think so


Hicksta...You are becoming quite annoying as far as I'm concerned..

This is not a game, and if a impending cat3/4 cane is what you want...You are quite the foolish one..
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
mobilebay
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1853
Age: 51
Joined: Wed Aug 18, 2004 1:22 am
Location: Mobile, Alabama

#50 Postby mobilebay » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:17 pm

Look at the NOGApS through 72 hours. :eek:


https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/CGI/PUBLIC/w ... rp&tau=072
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
hicksta
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1108
Age: 35
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:16 am
Location: Kemah Texas/ Baton Rogue LA

#51 Postby hicksta » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:17 pm

and how is that.. im just pointing out the facts my friend.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Aquawind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6714
Age: 62
Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 10:41 pm
Location: Salisbury, NC
Contact:
Contact Aquawind

#52 Postby Aquawind » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:17 pm

Yep Channel action ... yeowser..

Paul
0 likes   
Top
jkt21787
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2061
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:27 pm
Location: Memphis, TN

#53 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:17 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:
hicksta wrote:
Stratosphere747 wrote:
gkrangers wrote:Uh oh....this run is gonna result in a TX landfall for sure...


sarcasm.....


dont think so


Hicksta...You are becoming quite annoying as far as I'm concerned..

This is not a game, and if a impending cat3/4 cane is what you want...You are quite the foolish one..

I sure wouldn't want that, he is definitely rooting for one.
0 likes   
Top
Stratosphere747
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3772
Joined: Thu Sep 11, 2003 8:34 pm
Location: Surfside Beach/Freeport Tx
Contact:
Contact Stratosphere747

#54 Postby Stratosphere747 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:19 pm

hicksta wrote:and how is that.. im just pointing out the facts my friend.


Give me a fact and base it on truly sound reasoning...;)
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
hicksta
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1108
Age: 35
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:16 am
Location: Kemah Texas/ Baton Rogue LA

#55 Postby hicksta » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:20 pm

um.. its in the gulf on that model. moving wnw or nw hmm... from that model it would hit tx.
0 likes   
Top
jkt21787
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2061
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:27 pm
Location: Memphis, TN

#56 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:22 pm

hicksta wrote:um.. its in the gulf on that model. moving wnw or nw hmm... from that model it would hit tx.

Dude, you have to learn that models aren't the gospel. Models have been 1000% wrong before and GFS especially is known for flip-flopping. If you base a forecast on a model, especially one model, then you are due for a major bust.

Models are NOT fact, and are subject to change. Models are not a sound reasoning either.
Last edited by jkt21787 on Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
hicksta
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1108
Age: 35
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:16 am
Location: Kemah Texas/ Baton Rogue LA

#57 Postby hicksta » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:23 pm

your correct.. but the nogaps is near it also..
0 likes   
Top
jkt21787
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2061
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:27 pm
Location: Memphis, TN

#58 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:25 pm

hicksta wrote:your correct.. but the nogaps is near it also..

Still, all of the models were clustered in central Mexico a couple of days ago. Now they're clustered in TX, it could very easily change again.

Whats the thing though about these people is they only make a big deal when the situation is more favorable to them, like we saw with FL folks with Dennis.
0 likes   
Top
jkt21787
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2061
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:27 pm
Location: Memphis, TN

#59 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:27 pm

Landfall appears to occur in Southern or South Central Texas at 138 hours

Landfall point is further south than indicated in 18z.

Image
Last edited by jkt21787 on Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:29 pm, edited 3 times in total.
0 likes   
Top
gkrangers

#60 Postby gkrangers » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:28 pm

Landfall near Corpus Christi at 138 hours?
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Hurricane2000 and 62 guests