UNOFFICIAL...Emily #10; Cat 4 near Yucatan; Cat 3 TX/MX

[ncweatherwizard]

Quote Storm2K:

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Quote Nencweather.com:
Although these forecasts appear statistically reliable (see below link), always first consult and consider official products released by the National Hurricane Center. This forecast is not associated with any other professional or non-professional source of information except nencweather.com.

Verifications may be found here:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... index.html

Forecast 10:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... emily.html

Shifted over to the right with the guidance, and it'll be a close skid between the Yucatan peninsula and the channel. That could have a big effect on intensity when it makes landfall in mainland US/Mexico. Forecast brings a Cat 3 to Texas/Mexico border near Day 5 point.

Scott

[ncweatherwizard]

And BTW, I apologize about the haphazard schduling of these forecasts; I've got another baseball tourney starting today, and we had a tornado come through last night, so I've been busy the past 24 hours.
Luckily, no damage with the tornado; it was short-lived and stayed in the field, but neat to watch.