Emily Forecast 11; Cat 4 Yucatan, Cat 2/3 MX/TX

[ncweatherwizard]

Quote Storm2K:

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Quote Nencweather.com:
Although these forecasts appear statistically reliable (see below link), always first consult and consider official products released by the National Hurricane Center. This forecast is not associated with any other professional or non-professional source of information except nencweather.com.

Verifications may be found here:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... index.html

Forecast 11:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... emily.html

Compromise of guidance and previous forecasts here. Intensity is somewhat uncertain, so I bobble it around here and allow for a Cat 4 at the Yucatan landfall, and a Cat 2/3 at the second landfall, which is still close to the MX/TX border.