Entire Texas coast

[raynpa]

IMO everyone from brownsville to sabine pass should watch Emily. The ridge might not be strong enough to keep Emily that far south, once entering the gulf.

[deltadog03]

IMO everyone from brownsville to sabine pass should watch Emily. The ridge might not be strong enough to keep Emily that far south, once entering the gulf.

agreed...EVERYONE need to pay close attention to this...

[Normandy]

Ehh....i wouldnt think Houston or Galveston would take a hit from Em....but agreed we should at least watch. Corpus and points south need to be on full alert.

[stormie_skies]

Ehh....i wouldnt think Houston or Galveston would take a hit from Em....but agreed we should at least watch. Corpus and points south need to be on full alert.

Even if we didnt take a direct hit, because of the angle of the TX coast I am pretty sure we could have to deal with squalls and coastal flooding if Em takes a more northerly track.....

[raynpa]

Remember the ridge was suppose to send Cindy to Freeport.....look where she went.

[Normandy]

Remember the ridge was suppose to send Cindy to Freeport.....look where she went.

Well unless Emily collapses and reforms a center 100 miles north, THAT wont happen.

[canegrl04]

This goes to show that you should never take early strike predictions as gospel truth.Hurricanes and atmospheric conditions are so unpredictable

[Swimdude]

Remember the ridge was suppose to send Cindy to Freeport.....look where she went.

Well unless Emily collapses and reforms a center 100 miles north, THAT wont happen.

Not as likely in a cat. 4 hurricane.

[raynpa]

Ummmmm I think the distance between Freeport and where Cindy made landfall was a whole lot more than 100 miles...........

[southerngale]

Ummmmm I think the distance between Freeport and where Cindy made landfall was a whole lot more than 100 miles...........

It's about 150 miles just from Freeport to Beaumont!

[Normandy]

Ummmmm I think the distance between Freeport and where Cindy made landfall was a whole lot more than 100 miles...........

No you misunderstand me.

When landfalling on the Yucatan, Cindy's center collapsed and reformed 100 miles north.

That wont happen with Emily, as she is an intense hurricane and not a weak TS.

[Rainband]

Trust the forecasts

[Swimdude]

Trust the forecasts

I think we all do... It's just more fun to speculate.

[raynpa]

Ummmmm I think the distance between Freeport and where Cindy made landfall was a whole lot more than 100 miles...........

No you misunderstand me.

When landfalling on the Yucatan, Cindy's center collapsed and reformed 100 miles north.

That wont happen with Emily, as she is an intense hurricane and not a weak TS.

please explain how the 100 mile center relocation threw the eventual landfall off by about 400 miles

[corpusbreeze]

IMO everyone from brownsville to sabine pass should watch Emily. The ridge might not be strong enough to keep Emily that far south, once entering the gulf.

Well it was admitted at 5pm that it is not as strong, thus a more northerly forecasted track. Hey I think the NHC does a good job on forecasted tracks these days, but I'm starting to get a little leary right now here in Corpus. I believe the NHC has a hard time with west moving Hurricane that approach the west GOM. I cant remember a good call ever. I have a bad feeling Emily will be a major blown forecast and all heck could break loose in a couple days here in South Texas.

[Normandy]

Ummmmm I think the distance between Freeport and where Cindy made landfall was a whole lot more than 100 miles...........

No you misunderstand me.

When landfalling on the Yucatan, Cindy's center collapsed and reformed 100 miles north.

That wont happen with Emily, as she is an intense hurricane and not a weak TS.

please explain how the 100 mile center relocation threw the eventual landfall off by about 400 miles

Since the center was relocated north, it was easily pulled north it was forecasted to get pulled North into Tx/LA border originally...but the relocation forced the cone to be shifted right.

[EDR1222]

Until the system is onshore and weakening, all those in Texas should pay close attention IMHO, especially now that the NHC is saying there are some uncertainties in steering due to the mid latitude trough. As mentioned before in other threads, the atmosphere is constantly changing.

[Jagno]

Oddly enough I'm very near the TX/LA border and the refineries have all begun preparations and are on standby to shut down units. My son works for one of them and was called in for the past two days on his days off for the sole purpose of getting everything secured and wait. I even asked a day or so ago in chat if maybe they knew something that I didn't........kinda made me wonder if I'd missed something. If I were in Corpus I'd be VERY concerned but here along the NW Gulf Coast people are being very prudent to keep lawns picked up and mowed (in between all the rain) garbage to the road for pickup and basically keeping an eye on this wild woman called Emily. We don't rest until the last squall in onshore and a mild tropical storm instead of a hurricane.

[Sean in New Orleans]

Watch Emily, but, definitely don't sweat it...the likelihood of a Texas hit is as weak as it's ever been with this system. I don't think it's coming to Texas, at all, and for those in Texas, I couldn't be happier. Sorry it's going to Mexico, but, somebody has got to take the hit.

[Normandy]

Watch Emily, but, definitely don't sweat it...the likelihood of a Texas hit is as weak as it's ever been with this system. I don't think it's coming to Texas, at all, and for those in Texas, I couldn't be happier. Sorry it's going to Mexico, but, somebody has got to take the hit.

Thats a bold statement....well see.