H Emily Recon Reports

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#81 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 17, 2005 6:45 pm

RECCO Observation
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 14
Flight ID: AF302
Observation Number: 13
Time: 2323Z
Latitude: 20.3°N
Longitude: 86.6°W
Location: 54 mi SSE of Cancun, Mexico
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: Clear
Pressure Altitude: 10000 feet
Flight level wind: ENE (60°) @ 61 mph
Temperature: 48°F
Dewpoint: 48°F
Weather: Thunderstorm
700mb height: 10200 feet
Surface Wind: NE (50°) @ 63 mph
Remarks: None
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#82 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 17, 2005 6:46 pm

Supplementary Vortex Data Message
Inbound Ob #1: 18.3°N 084.5°W; 700mb height: 10200 feet; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Flt level wind: S (190°) @ 43 mph
Inbound Ob #2: 18.5°N 084.6°W; 700mb height: 10200 feet; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Flt level wind: S (190°) @ 48 mph
Inbound Ob #3: 18.7°N 084.8°W; 700mb height: 10200 feet; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Flt level wind: SSW (200°) @ 54 mph
Inbound Ob #4: 18.9°N 085.0°W; 700mb height: 10100 feet; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 43°F; Flt level wind: S (190°) @ 67 mph
Inbound Ob #5: 19.1°N 085.1°W; 700mb height: 9900 feet; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Flt level wind: SSW (200°) @ 83 mph
Inbound Ob #6: 19.3°N 085.3°W; 700mb height: 12800 feet; Temp: 57°F; Dewpt: 55°F; Flt level wind: S (180°) @ 118 mph
Max flight level wind (Inbound): 126 mph at 19.4°N 085.4°W
First inbound ob surface wind: S (190°) @ 35 mph

Outbound Ob #1: 19.6°N 085.8°W; 700mb height: 12700 feet; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 50°F; Flt level wind: NE (50°) @ 108 mph
Outbound Ob #2: 19.7°N 086.0°W; 700mb height: 9900 feet; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 48°F; Flt level wind: ENE (60°) @ 101 mph
Outbound Ob #3: 19.9°N 086.2°W; 700mb height: 10100 feet; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Flt level wind: ENE (70°) @ 84 mph
Outbound Ob #4: 20.1°N 086.3°W; 700mb height: 10100 feet; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 48°F; Flt level wind: ENE (70°) @ 65 mph
Outbound Ob #5: 20.3°N 086.5°W; 700mb height: 10200 feet; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Flt level wind: ENE (70°) @ 60 mph
Max flight level wind (Outbound): 127 mph at 19.6°N 085.8°W
Last outbound ob surface wind: NE (50°) @ 63 mph
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 14
Flight ID: AF302
Observation Number: 14


Image
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#83 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 17, 2005 6:49 pm

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 14
Flight ID: AF302
Flt Data Number: 31
Latest Ob Location: 113 mi NE of Belize City, Belize

Ob #01: 23:39:00Z; 19.2°N 86.9°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 92 ft; Wind: N (2°) @ 39 mph; Max Wind: 40 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #02: 23:39:30Z; 19.2°N 86.9°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 93 ft; Wind: N (357°) @ 39 mph; Max Wind: 39 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #03: 23:40:00Z; 19.1°N 86.9°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 94 ft; Wind: N (356°) @ 37 mph; Max Wind: 38 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #04: 23:40:30Z; 19.1°N 86.9°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 95 ft; Wind: N (356°) @ 37 mph; Max Wind: 37 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #05: 23:41:00Z; 19.1°N 86.9°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 94 ft; Wind: N (356°) @ 35 mph; Max Wind: 36 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #06: 23:41:30Z; 19.1°N 86.9°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 93 ft; Wind: N (356°) @ 36 mph; Max Wind: 36 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #07: 23:42:00Z; 19°N 87°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 95 ft; Wind: N (357°) @ 35 mph; Max Wind: 35 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #08: 23:42:30Z; 19°N 87°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 96 ft; Wind: N (352°) @ 32 mph; Max Wind: 32 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #09: 23:43:00Z; 19°N 87°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 97 ft; Wind: NNW (345°) @ 36 mph; Max Wind: 37 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #10: 23:43:30Z; 18.9°N 87°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 98 ft; Wind: NNW (343°) @ 38 mph; Max Wind: 38 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #11: 23:44:00Z; 18.9°N 87°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 100 ft; Wind: NNW (339°) @ 38 mph; Max Wind: 38 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #12: 23:44:30Z; 18.9°N 87°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 103 ft; Wind: NNW (340°) @ 39 mph; Max Wind: 39 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #13: 23:45:00Z; 18.8°N 87°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 104 ft; Wind: NNW (341°) @ 39 mph; Max Wind: 39 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #14: 23:45:30Z; 18.8°N 87°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 105 ft; Wind: NNW (343°) @ 38 mph; Max Wind: 39 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #15: 23:46:00Z; 18.8°N 87°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 108 ft; Wind: NNW (342°) @ 38 mph; Max Wind: 40 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #16: 23:46:30Z; 18.7°N 87°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 109 ft; Wind: NNW (341°) @ 37 mph; Max Wind: 37 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #17: 23:47:00Z; 18.7°N 87°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 109 ft; Wind: NNW (341°) @ 33 mph; Max Wind: 35 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #18: 23:47:30Z; 18.7°N 87°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 111 ft; Wind: NNW (336°) @ 32 mph; Max Wind: 33 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #19: 23:48:00Z; 18.6°N 87°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 111 ft; Wind: NNW (334°) @ 32 mph; Max Wind: 32 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #20: 23:48:30Z; 18.6°N 87°W; PA: 10016 ft; D-Value: 112 ft; Wind: NNW (330°) @ 26 mph; Max Wind: 29 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 37°F
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#84 Postby Air Force Met » Sun Jul 17, 2005 6:50 pm

Scorpion wrote:Yet people several hours ago were dismissing my thoughts that Emily would be 100 knots at landfall.


It wasn't the idea of Emily weakening...it was the reasoning behind it...which was...and still IS...seriously flawed.
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#85 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 17, 2005 6:59 pm

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 14
Flight ID: AF302
Flt Data Number: 32
Latest Ob Location: 176 mi SSE of Cancun, Mexico

Ob #01: 23:49:00Z; 18.6°N 87°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 118 ft; Wind: NW (326°) @ 28 mph; Max Wind: 29 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #02: 23:49:30Z; 18.6°N 87°W; PA: 9980 ft; D-Value: 112 ft; Wind: NNW (331°) @ 29 mph; Max Wind: 29 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #03: 23:50:00Z; 18.6°N 87°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 112 ft; Wind: NNW (332°) @ 29 mph; Max Wind: 30 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #04: 23:50:30Z; 18.6°N 87°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 111 ft; Wind: NNW (331°) @ 31 mph; Max Wind: 31 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #05: 23:51:00Z; 18.7°N 86.9°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 109 ft; Wind: NNW (327°) @ 30 mph; Max Wind: 31 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #06: 23:51:30Z; 18.7°N 86.9°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 109 ft; Wind: NW (326°) @ 30 mph; Max Wind: 30 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #07: 23:52:00Z; 18.7°N 86.9°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 108 ft; Wind: NNW (330°) @ 31 mph; Max Wind: 31 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #08: 23:52:30Z; 18.7°N 86.9°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 106 ft; Wind: NNW (330°) @ 32 mph; Max Wind: 32 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #09: 23:53:00Z; 18.7°N 86.8°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 105 ft; Wind: NNW (336°) @ 31 mph; Max Wind: 31 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #10: 23:53:30Z; 18.8°N 86.8°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 104 ft; Wind: NNW (336°) @ 32 mph; Max Wind: 33 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #11: 23:54:00Z; 18.8°N 86.8°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 104 ft; Wind: NNW (335°) @ 31 mph; Max Wind: 32 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #12: 23:54:30Z; 18.8°N 86.8°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 103 ft; Wind: NNW (339°) @ 32 mph; Max Wind: 33 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #13: 23:55:00Z; 18.8°N 86.8°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 102 ft; Wind: NNW (339°) @ 33 mph; Max Wind: 33 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #14: 23:55:30Z; 18.8°N 86.7°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 101 ft; Wind: NNW (341°) @ 35 mph; Max Wind: 35 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #15: 23:56:00Z; 18.8°N 86.7°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 99 ft; Wind: NNW (343°) @ 37 mph; Max Wind: 37 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #16: 23:56:30Z; 18.9°N 86.7°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 97 ft; Wind: NNW (341°) @ 35 mph; Max Wind: 36 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #17: 23:57:00Z; 18.9°N 86.7°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 96 ft; Wind: NNW (337°) @ 35 mph; Max Wind: 35 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #18: 23:57:30Z; 18.9°N 86.6°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 94 ft; Wind: NNW (334°) @ 33 mph; Max Wind: 33 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #19: 23:58:00Z; 18.9°N 86.6°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 93 ft; Wind: NNW (331°) @ 31 mph; Max Wind: 32 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #20: 23:58:30Z; 18.9°N 86.6°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 91 ft; Wind: NNW (334°) @ 32 mph; Max Wind: 33 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 37°F
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#86 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 17, 2005 7:02 pm

RECCO Observation
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 14
Flight ID: AF302
Observation Number: 15
Time: 2349Z
Latitude: 18.6°N
Longitude: 87.0°W
Location: 113 mi NE of Belize City, Belize
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: Clear
Pressure Altitude: 10000 feet
Flight level wind: NNW (330°) @ 29 mph
Temperature: 46°F
Dewpoint: 43°F
Weather: Overcast Skies
700mb height: 10200 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: None
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#87 Postby Scorpion » Sun Jul 17, 2005 7:03 pm

When are they going into the NE quad?
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#88 Postby gkrangers » Sun Jul 17, 2005 7:04 pm

Scorpion wrote:When are they going into the NE quad?
They are waiting for confirmation that you stopped posting for the evening.
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#89 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 17, 2005 7:05 pm

gkrangers wrote:
Scorpion wrote:When are they going into the NE quad?
They are waiting for confirmation that you stopped posting for the evening.
:lol:



Refresh this page and look at the image at top... they are headed into the SW quad bound for the NE quad now.
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#90 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 17, 2005 7:09 pm

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 14
Flight ID: AF302
Flt Data Number: 33
Latest Ob Location: 136 mi SSE of Cancun, Mexico

Ob #01: 23:59:00Z; 18.9°N 86.6°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 90 ft; Wind: NNW (334°) @ 33 mph; Max Wind: 33 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #02: 23:59:30Z; 19°N 86.5°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 87 ft; Wind: NNW (333°) @ 32 mph; Max Wind: 35 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #03: 00:00:00Z; 19°N 86.5°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 86 ft; Wind: NNW (331°) @ 28 mph; Max Wind: 29 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #04: 00:00:30Z; 19°N 86.5°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 82 ft; Wind: NNW (332°) @ 35 mph; Max Wind: 35 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #05: 00:01:00Z; 19°N 86.5°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 80 ft; Wind: NNW (330°) @ 36 mph; Max Wind: 36 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #06: 00:01:30Z; 19°N 86.4°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 75 ft; Wind: NW (323°) @ 38 mph; Max Wind: 38 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #07: 00:02:00Z; 19.1°N 86.4°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 75 ft; Wind: NW (318°) @ 38 mph; Max Wind: 39 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #08: 00:02:30Z; 19.1°N 86.4°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: 73 ft; Wind: NW (316°) @ 41 mph; Max Wind: 43 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #09: 00:03:00Z; 19.1°N 86.4°W; PA: 9987 ft; D-Value: 68 ft; Wind: NW (316°) @ 40 mph; Max Wind: 43 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #10: 00:03:30Z; 19.1°N 86.3°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 64 ft; Wind: NW (313°) @ 39 mph; Max Wind: 39 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #11: 00:04:00Z; 19.1°N 86.3°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 59 ft; Wind: NW (310°) @ 40 mph; Max Wind: 40 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #12: 00:04:30Z; 19.2°N 86.3°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 54 ft; Wind: NW (305°) @ 39 mph; Max Wind: 40 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #13: 00:05:00Z; 19.2°N 86.3°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 50 ft; Wind: NW (305°) @ 40 mph; Max Wind: 43 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #14: 00:05:30Z; 19.2°N 86.2°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 44 ft; Wind: NW (311°) @ 44 mph; Max Wind: 46 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #15: 00:06:00Z; 19.2°N 86.2°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 36 ft; Wind: NW (317°) @ 52 mph; Max Wind: 53 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #16: 00:06:30Z; 19.2°N 86.2°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 28 ft; Wind: NW (312°) @ 52 mph; Max Wind: 53 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #17: 00:07:00Z; 19.2°N 86.2°W; PA: 10016 ft; D-Value: 23 ft; Wind: NW (310°) @ 48 mph; Max Wind: 51 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #18: 00:07:30Z; 19.3°N 86.1°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 14 ft; Wind: NW (316°) @ 56 mph; Max Wind: 62 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #19: 00:08:00Z; 19.3°N 86.1°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 1 ft; Wind: NW (316°) @ 66 mph; Max Wind: 67 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #20: 00:08:30Z; 19.3°N 86.1°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: -13 ft; Wind: NW (315°) @ 63 mph; Max Wind: 63 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 42°F
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#91 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 17, 2005 7:14 pm

951mb from a dropsonde from the current pass through the eye.
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#92 Postby gkrangers » Sun Jul 17, 2005 7:15 pm

senorpepr wrote:951mb from a dropsonde from the current pass through the eye.
I expect a lower pressure if not by the next SE-NW (or whatever theyll do next), then by the one after that. I think theyll observe some strengthening while they are there tonight.
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#93 Postby Brent » Sun Jul 17, 2005 7:16 pm

gkrangers wrote:
Scorpion wrote:When are they going into the NE quad?
They are waiting for confirmation that you stopped posting for the evening.


:roflmao: :roflmao: :roflmao:
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#94 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 17, 2005 7:21 pm

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 14
Flight ID: AF302
Flt Data Number: 34
Latest Ob Location: 191 mi ESE of Cancun, Mexico

Ob #01: 00:09:00Z; 19.3°N 86.1°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: -27 ft; Wind: NW (325°) @ 67 mph; Max Wind: 69 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #02: 00:09:30Z; 19.3°N 86.1°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -52 ft; Wind: NW (320°) @ 66 mph; Max Wind: 69 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #03: 00:10:00Z; 19.4°N 86°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -73 ft; Wind: NW (308°) @ 59 mph; Max Wind: 61 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #04: 00:10:30Z; 19.4°N 86°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: -95 ft; Wind: WNW (301°) @ 66 mph; Max Wind: 69 mph; Temp: 59°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #05: 00:11:00Z; 19.4°N 86°W; PA: 9961 ft; D-Value: -125 ft; Wind: WNW (297°) @ 77 mph; Max Wind: 79 mph; Temp: 59°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #06: 00:11:30Z; 19.4°N 86°W; PA: 10023 ft; D-Value: -146 ft; Wind: WNW (303°) @ 82 mph; Max Wind: 83 mph; Temp: 65°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #07: 00:12:00Z; 19.4°N 85.9°W; PA: 10036 ft; D-Value: -176 ft; Wind: WNW (301°) @ 82 mph; Max Wind: 89 mph; Temp: 69°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #08: 00:12:30Z; 19.5°N 85.9°W; PA: 9980 ft; D-Value: -213 ft; Wind: WNW (301°) @ 83 mph; Max Wind: 88 mph; Temp: 69°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #09: 00:13:00Z; 19.5°N 85.9°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: -244 ft; Wind: NW (307°) @ 59 mph; Max Wind: 63 mph; Temp: 62°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #10: 00:13:30Z; 19.5°N 85.9°W; PA: 9974 ft; D-Value: -276 ft; Wind: NW (304°) @ 43 mph; Max Wind: 46 mph; Temp: 62°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #11: 00:14:00Z; 19.5°N 85.9°W; PA: 10046 ft; D-Value: -297 ft; Wind: WNW (295°) @ 23 mph; Max Wind: 37 mph; Temp: 62°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #12: 00:14:30Z; 19.6°N 85.8°W; PA: 9961 ft; D-Value: -304 ft; Wind: SE (142°) @ 6 mph; Max Wind: 9 mph; Temp: 58°F; Dewpt: 33°F
Ob #13: 00:15:00Z; 19.6°N 85.8°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -305 ft; Wind: E (101°) @ 13 mph; Max Wind: 15 mph; Temp: 57°F; Dewpt: 34°F
Ob #14: 00:15:30Z; 19.6°N 85.8°W; PA: 10020 ft; D-Value: -309 ft; Wind: SE (129°) @ 24 mph; Max Wind: 35 mph; Temp: 57°F; Dewpt: 37°F
Ob #15: 00:16:00Z; 19.6°N 85.8°W; PA: 9977 ft; D-Value: -300 ft; Wind: SE (134°) @ 54 mph; Max Wind: 65 mph; Temp: 58°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #16: 00:16:30Z; 19.7°N 85.8°W; PA: 10020 ft; D-Value: -281 ft; Wind: SE (136°) @ 79 mph; Max Wind: 88 mph; Temp: 59°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #17: 00:17:00Z; 19.7°N 85.7°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: -251 ft; Wind: SE (143°) @ 101 mph; Max Wind: 116 mph; Temp: 56°F; Dewpt: 50°F
Ob #18: 00:17:30Z; 19.7°N 85.7°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: -212 ft; Wind: SE (142°) @ 138 mph; Max Wind: 143 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 54°F
Ob #19: 00:18:00Z; 19.7°N 85.7°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: -172 ft; Wind: SE (140°) @ 152 mph; Max Wind: 154 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 56°F
Ob #20: 00:18:30Z; 19.7°N 85.7°W; PA: 9957 ft; D-Value: -146 ft; Wind: SE (140°) @ 153 mph; Max Wind: 154 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 56°F
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#95 Postby Normandy » Sun Jul 17, 2005 7:21 pm

Oh my. Thats rather alarming imo. I thought theyd be lower.
Last edited by Normandy on Sun Jul 17, 2005 7:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#96 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sun Jul 17, 2005 7:22 pm

0018 1942N 08541W 03052 5172 140 132 112 112 134 02930 0000000000
0018. 1943N 08540W 03035 5146 140 133 100 100 134 02940 0000000000


134kt winds
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#97 Postby drezee » Sun Jul 17, 2005 7:24 pm

134kts *1.154mph/kts *.9 = 139mph surface estimate
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#98 Postby gkrangers » Sun Jul 17, 2005 7:25 pm

It was a very good estimate of 135MPH by the NHC at 8PM.

120KT surface winds are 135-140MPH surface winds.
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#99 Postby Normandy » Sun Jul 17, 2005 7:26 pm

Yep was a good estimate....so id expect to tack on another 5 maybe 10 mph before landfall (more likely 5).
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#100 Postby drezee » Sun Jul 17, 2005 7:28 pm

Normandy wrote:Yep was a good estimate....so id expect to tack on another 5 maybe 10 mph before landfall (more likely 5).


It is already up 5...
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