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#221 Postby Brent » Sun Jul 17, 2005 11:21 pm

HURAKAN wrote:
Brent wrote:
HurricaneBill wrote:What about Karl last year?

Karl looked nothing like a Category 4 at peak intensity.


I don't even remember Karl... too busy with Ivan(or was it Jeanne?)


In this picture it sure looks good, by the way, look at poor lLisa to the SE of Karl.


What is that land to the SW??? Karl stayed FAR FAR away from any land.

Yep... poor Lisa. :(
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#222 Postby gkrangers » Sun Jul 17, 2005 11:22 pm

Brent wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:
Brent wrote:
HurricaneBill wrote:What about Karl last year?

Karl looked nothing like a Category 4 at peak intensity.


I don't even remember Karl... too busy with Ivan(or was it Jeanne?)


In this picture it sure looks good, by the way, look at poor lLisa to the SE of Karl.


What is that land to the SW??? Karl stayed FAR FAR away from any land.

Yep... poor Lisa. :(
I was wondering the same thing...
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#223 Postby gkrangers » Sun Jul 17, 2005 11:27 pm

I still can't see the center.....
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#224 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Jul 17, 2005 11:30 pm

gkrangers wrote:I still can't see the center.....


The center is not visible right now. It's completely covered by clouds.
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#225 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 17, 2005 11:31 pm

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 14
Flight ID: AF302
Flt Data Number: 59
Latest Ob Location: 224 mi SE of Cancun, Mexico

Ob #01: 04:19:00Z; 18.9°N 85.8°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 132 ft; Wind: SSW (194°) @ 46 mph; Max Wind: 47 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #02: 04:19:30Z; 18.9°N 85.8°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 134 ft; Wind: S (185°) @ 45 mph; Max Wind: 46 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #03: 04:20:00Z; 18.9°N 85.8°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 135 ft; Wind: S (184°) @ 45 mph; Max Wind: 45 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #04: 04:20:30Z; 18.9°N 85.8°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 135 ft; Wind: S (181°) @ 45 mph; Max Wind: 46 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #05: 04:21:00Z; 18.9°N 85.7°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 136 ft; Wind: S (185°) @ 43 mph; Max Wind: 44 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #06: 04:21:30Z; 18.9°N 85.7°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 136 ft; Wind: S (188°) @ 43 mph; Max Wind: 43 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #07: 04:22:00Z; 18.9°N 85.7°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 138 ft; Wind: S (184°) @ 41 mph; Max Wind: 41 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #08: 04:22:30Z; 18.9°N 85.6°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: 139 ft; Wind: S (182°) @ 40 mph; Max Wind: 43 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #09: 04:23:00Z; 18.9°N 85.6°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 139 ft; Wind: S (184°) @ 43 mph; Max Wind: 43 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #10: 04:23:30Z; 18.9°N 85.6°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 140 ft; Wind: S (184°) @ 41 mph; Max Wind: 41 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #11: 04:24:00Z; 18.9°N 85.6°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 140 ft; Wind: S (184°) @ 40 mph; Max Wind: 41 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #12: 04:24:30Z; 18.9°N 85.5°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 141 ft; Wind: S (183°) @ 38 mph; Max Wind: 39 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #13: 04:25:00Z; 18.8°N 85.5°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 141 ft; Wind: S (181°) @ 37 mph; Max Wind: 37 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #14: 04:25:30Z; 18.8°N 85.5°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 141 ft; Wind: S (182°) @ 37 mph; Max Wind: 38 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #15: 04:26:00Z; 18.8°N 85.5°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 143 ft; Wind: S (182°) @ 37 mph; Max Wind: 38 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #16: 04:26:30Z; 18.8°N 85.5°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 143 ft; Wind: S (182°) @ 37 mph; Max Wind: 38 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #17: 04:27:00Z; 18.8°N 85.5°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 144 ft; Wind: S (180°) @ 38 mph; Max Wind: 38 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #18: 04:27:30Z; 18.7°N 85.4°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 145 ft; Wind: S (182°) @ 38 mph; Max Wind: 38 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #19: 04:28:00Z; 18.7°N 85.4°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 148 ft; Wind: S (182°) @ 35 mph; Max Wind: 36 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #20: 04:28:30Z; 18.7°N 85.5°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 147 ft; Wind: S (177°) @ 35 mph; Max Wind: 35 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 37°F

Image
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#226 Postby Normandy » Sun Jul 17, 2005 11:31 pm

This hurricane looks horrible....yet has 145 mph winds.
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#227 Postby gkrangers » Sun Jul 17, 2005 11:31 pm

HURAKAN wrote:
gkrangers wrote:I still can't see the center.....


The center is not visible right now. It's completely covered by clouds.
Appears that way. Atleast a little earlier there was a discernable warm spot or some banding that indicated the center. I'm just assuming its just off the southern tip of Cozumel.
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#228 Postby HurricaneBill » Sun Jul 17, 2005 11:32 pm

That pic was when Karl was at 135 mph.

Karl weakened and later reintensified up to 145 mph.

Here is Karl at 145 mph:

Image
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#229 Postby DoctorHurricane2003 » Sun Jul 17, 2005 11:33 pm

South America...
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#230 Postby Brent » Sun Jul 17, 2005 11:34 pm

DoctorHurricane2003 wrote:South America...


???

That must be a WIDE shot since Karl was never close to there.
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#231 Postby JTD » Sun Jul 17, 2005 11:40 pm

To quote Aaron Brown of CNN "There are no words." except this time it's referring to the 2005 atlantic hurricane season.

This is truly stunning, scary and bizarre.
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#232 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 17, 2005 11:42 pm

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 14
Flight ID: AF302
Flt Data Number: 60
Latest Ob Location: 225 mi SE of Cancun, Mexico

Ob #01: 04:29:00Z; 18.7°N 85.5°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 145 ft; Wind: S (175°) @ 36 mph; Max Wind: 37 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #02: 04:29:30Z; 18.8°N 85.5°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 144 ft; Wind: S (174°) @ 38 mph; Max Wind: 38 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #03: 04:30:00Z; 18.8°N 85.5°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 143 ft; Wind: S (175°) @ 38 mph; Max Wind: 38 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #04: 04:30:30Z; 18.8°N 85.6°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 142 ft; Wind: S (176°) @ 38 mph; Max Wind: 39 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #05: 04:31:00Z; 18.8°N 85.6°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 141 ft; Wind: S (179°) @ 38 mph; Max Wind: 38 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #06: 04:31:30Z; 18.8°N 85.6°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 140 ft; Wind: S (183°) @ 39 mph; Max Wind: 39 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #07: 04:32:00Z; 18.9°N 85.6°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 140 ft; Wind: S (183°) @ 40 mph; Max Wind: 41 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #08: 04:32:30Z; 18.9°N 85.6°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 139 ft; Wind: S (182°) @ 41 mph; Max Wind: 41 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #09: 04:33:00Z; 18.9°N 85.7°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 138 ft; Wind: S (181°) @ 43 mph; Max Wind: 43 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #10: 04:33:30Z; 18.9°N 85.7°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 138 ft; Wind: S (186°) @ 43 mph; Max Wind: 43 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #11: 04:34:00Z; 19°N 85.7°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 137 ft; Wind: S (184°) @ 43 mph; Max Wind: 44 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #12: 04:34:30Z; 19°N 85.7°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 137 ft; Wind: S (185°) @ 45 mph; Max Wind: 45 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #13: 04:35:00Z; 19°N 85.8°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 137 ft; Wind: S (181°) @ 45 mph; Max Wind: 45 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #14: 04:35:30Z; 19°N 85.8°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 137 ft; Wind: S (183°) @ 45 mph; Max Wind: 45 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #15: 04:36:00Z; 19°N 85.8°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 137 ft; Wind: S (179°) @ 46 mph; Max Wind: 46 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #16: 04:36:30Z; 19.1°N 85.8°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 135 ft; Wind: S (182°) @ 46 mph; Max Wind: 46 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #17: 04:37:00Z; 19.1°N 85.9°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 135 ft; Wind: S (183°) @ 47 mph; Max Wind: 48 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #18: 04:37:30Z; 19.1°N 85.9°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 134 ft; Wind: S (186°) @ 47 mph; Max Wind: 48 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #19: 04:38:00Z; 19.1°N 85.9°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 132 ft; Wind: S (185°) @ 47 mph; Max Wind: 48 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #20: 04:38:30Z; 19.1°N 85.9°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 132 ft; Wind: S (183°) @ 47 mph; Max Wind: 47 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 39°F
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#233 Postby Normandy » Sun Jul 17, 2005 11:44 pm

COzumel is getttttttttttttin it.
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#234 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 17, 2005 11:48 pm

RECCO Observation
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 14
Flight ID: AF302
Observation Number: 34
Time: 0432Z
Latitude: 18.9°N
Longitude: 85.6°W
Location: 170 mi SSE of Cancun, Mexico
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: Clear
Pressure Altitude: 10000 feet
Flight level wind: S (180°) @ 41 mph
Temperature: 50°F
Dewpoint: 45°F
Weather: Unknown
700mb height: 10300 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: None
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#235 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 17, 2005 11:50 pm

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 14
Flight ID: AF302
Flt Data Number: 61
Latest Ob Location: 129 mi SE of Cancun, Mexico

Ob #01: 04:39:00Z; 19.2°N 86°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 132 ft; Wind: S (181°) @ 50 mph; Max Wind: 50 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #02: 04:39:30Z; 19.2°N 86°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 132 ft; Wind: S (180°) @ 50 mph; Max Wind: 50 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #03: 04:40:00Z; 19.2°N 86°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 130 ft; Wind: S (181°) @ 51 mph; Max Wind: 51 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #04: 04:40:30Z; 19.2°N 86°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 128 ft; Wind: S (183°) @ 52 mph; Max Wind: 52 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #05: 04:41:00Z; 19.3°N 86.1°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 127 ft; Wind: S (184°) @ 52 mph; Max Wind: 52 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #06: 04:41:30Z; 19.3°N 86.1°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 126 ft; Wind: S (188°) @ 52 mph; Max Wind: 53 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #07: 04:42:00Z; 19.3°N 86.1°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 124 ft; Wind: S (187°) @ 53 mph; Max Wind: 54 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #08: 04:42:30Z; 19.3°N 86.1°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 123 ft; Wind: S (190°) @ 54 mph; Max Wind: 54 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #09: 04:43:00Z; 19.3°N 86.2°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 121 ft; Wind: S (190°) @ 55 mph; Max Wind: 55 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #10: 04:43:30Z; 19.4°N 86.2°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 120 ft; Wind: S (189°) @ 56 mph; Max Wind: 58 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #11: 04:44:00Z; 19.4°N 86.2°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 119 ft; Wind: S (190°) @ 56 mph; Max Wind: 56 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #12: 04:44:30Z; 19.4°N 86.2°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 116 ft; Wind: S (189°) @ 58 mph; Max Wind: 59 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #13: 04:45:00Z; 19.4°N 86.3°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 114 ft; Wind: S (190°) @ 59 mph; Max Wind: 59 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #14: 04:45:30Z; 19.4°N 86.3°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 110 ft; Wind: S (190°) @ 55 mph; Max Wind: 56 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #15: 04:46:00Z; 19.5°N 86.3°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: 108 ft; Wind: S (189°) @ 61 mph; Max Wind: 62 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #16: 04:46:30Z; 19.5°N 86.3°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 106 ft; Wind: SSW (192°) @ 60 mph; Max Wind: 61 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #17: 04:47:00Z; 19.5°N 86.3°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 104 ft; Wind: S (189°) @ 59 mph; Max Wind: 59 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #18: 04:47:30Z; 19.5°N 86.4°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 102 ft; Wind: S (189°) @ 62 mph; Max Wind: 62 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #19: 04:48:00Z; 19.6°N 86.4°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 98 ft; Wind: S (189°) @ 63 mph; Max Wind: 65 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #20: 04:48:30Z; 19.6°N 86.4°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 97 ft; Wind: SSW (193°) @ 65 mph; Max Wind: 65 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 42°F
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#236 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Jul 17, 2005 11:56 pm

I would not be surpized to see a increase with the winds with the next run into the northeast quad. What a weird storm.

:eek:
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#237 Postby Hurricaneman » Sun Jul 17, 2005 11:58 pm

I know, things are wired in general this year
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#238 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 17, 2005 11:59 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:I would not be surpized to see a increase with the winds with the next run into the northeast quad. What a weird storm.

:eek:


They won't be doing another pass into the NE quad (or it's very unlikely). They have been up for over 10 hours... fuel is getting low. They are probably going back home to Keesler after this final run from SE to NW.
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#239 Postby Brent » Mon Jul 18, 2005 12:01 am

Thanks for the good work Senorpepr and get some sleep. 8-)
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#240 Postby senorpepr » Mon Jul 18, 2005 12:01 am

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 14
Flight ID: AF302
Flt Data Number: 62
Latest Ob Location: 136 mi ESE of Cancun, Mexico

Ob #01: 04:49:00Z; 19.6°N 86.4°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 93 ft; Wind: SSW (192°) @ 68 mph; Max Wind: 68 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #02: 04:49:30Z; 19.6°N 86.5°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: 89 ft; Wind: SSW (194°) @ 67 mph; Max Wind: 68 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #03: 04:50:00Z; 19.6°N 86.5°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 85 ft; Wind: SSW (194°) @ 68 mph; Max Wind: 68 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #04: 04:50:30Z; 19.7°N 86.5°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 81 ft; Wind: SSW (195°) @ 70 mph; Max Wind: 71 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #05: 04:51:00Z; 19.7°N 86.5°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 75 ft; Wind: S (189°) @ 70 mph; Max Wind: 71 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 43°F
Ob #06: 04:51:30Z; 19.7°N 86.6°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 72 ft; Wind: S (186°) @ 66 mph; Max Wind: 67 mph; Temp: 44°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #07: 04:52:00Z; 19.7°N 86.6°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 69 ft; Wind: SSW (194°) @ 73 mph; Max Wind: 76 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #08: 04:52:30Z; 19.7°N 86.6°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 65 ft; Wind: SSW (194°) @ 76 mph; Max Wind: 78 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #09: 04:53:00Z; 19.8°N 86.6°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 62 ft; Wind: SSW (197°) @ 77 mph; Max Wind: 79 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #10: 04:53:30Z; 19.8°N 86.7°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 56 ft; Wind: SSW (202°) @ 74 mph; Max Wind: 75 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #11: 04:54:00Z; 19.8°N 86.7°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 49 ft; Wind: SSW (199°) @ 76 mph; Max Wind: 77 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #12: 04:54:30Z; 19.8°N 86.7°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 43 ft; Wind: SSW (196°) @ 78 mph; Max Wind: 79 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 44°F
Ob #13: 04:55:00Z; 19.8°N 86.7°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 34 ft; Wind: SSW (198°) @ 82 mph; Max Wind: 84 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #14: 04:55:30Z; 19.9°N 86.8°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 26 ft; Wind: SSW (198°) @ 79 mph; Max Wind: 82 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #15: 04:56:00Z; 19.9°N 86.8°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 14 ft; Wind: SSW (199°) @ 83 mph; Max Wind: 85 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #16: 04:56:30Z; 19.9°N 86.8°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: 0 ft; Wind: SSW (203°) @ 79 mph; Max Wind: 84 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 45°F
Ob #17: 04:57:00Z; 19.9°N 86.8°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: -17 ft; Wind: SSW (209°) @ 83 mph; Max Wind: 88 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 46°F
Ob #18: 04:57:30Z; 19.9°N 86.9°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: -33 ft; Wind: SSW (212°) @ 91 mph; Max Wind: 96 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 47°F
Ob #19: 04:58:00Z; 20°N 86.9°W; PA: 9987 ft; D-Value: -51 ft; Wind: SSW (212°) @ 99 mph; Max Wind: 104 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 48°F
Ob #20: 04:58:30Z; 20°N 86.9°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: -71 ft; Wind: SSW (213°) @ 108 mph; Max Wind: 111 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 49°F
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