Eye becoming visible again....

[shawn67]

Latest infrared and visible satellite imagery is showing the eye becoming visible again. I'll let the experts interpret!

Shawn

[Raebie]

Well that definitely isn't me, but that eye is looking pretty well defined just now...

[HURAKAN]

True, but still the convection around the eye is pretty weak. Until strong convection develops nothing will happen.

[Anonymous]

Pressure down 1 mb. It's regrouping.

[Stormcenter]

Pressure down 1 mb. It's regrouping.

You know most of us had the feeling that (restrengthening) would happen. I just can't see this storm not reaching at least at Cat 2 status before it's second landfalll somewhere along the Mexican coastline. I just hope for those people who will be Emily's unfortunately host she doesn't get any stronger than that.

[djtil]

i personally think the storm looks very healthy and when convection flares up rapid intensification seems likely.

[jkt21787]

i personally think the storm looks very healthy and when convection flares up rapid intensification seems likely.

The storm is very Dennis-esque as that its core is still very organized but there is little convection at this point though when reemerging from land. So, I would imagine, like Dennis, once convection gets going, a rapid intensification cycle will be quite possible.

[shawn67]

i personally think the storm looks very healthy and when convection flares up rapid intensification seems likely.

The storm is very Dennis-esque as that its core is still very organized but there is little convection at this point though when reemerging from land. So, I would imagine, like Dennis, once convection gets going, a rapid intensification cycle will be quite possible.

When I look at the animation loop here:

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconusir.html

Convection looks like it is firing up again...

Shawn

[HURAKAN]

A band of strong convection is to the north of Emily, but right around the center the convection is very weak. For the cyclone to commence to intensify she needs strong bursts around the center. By the way, she now looks bigger.

[Thunder44]

It's not going to strengthen much immediately. It will take a awhile to recover from being over land. Tommorrow is the day to watch for this storm to take off.

[jkt21787]

It's not going to strengthen much immediately. It will take a awhile to recover from being over land.

Yes, I think it will be very gradual, again like Dennis, for a while. This is borne out by the steady and now recent 1 mb pressure drop. This is what Dennis did, drop a mb or two here and there, and then the convection fired up and BOOM!

I would think it will be 6-12 hours before we see convection really wrapping around the center enough for a more significant intensification that would move it up in categories.

Of course this hinges on the fact that dry air and shear stay away for the most part.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

It maybe pulling a Dennis right now with the firing up of the convection. The big difference is that the hot water is much deeper/more energy to hold a powerful hurricane together. We will see...

[hicksta]

is it just me or is she moving nw..

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/RAMM/Rmsdsol/RSOMAIN.HTML
visiable floater east

[Mac]

It's not going to strengthen much immediately. It will take a awhile to recover from being over land.

Yes, I think it will be very gradual, again like Dennis, for a while. This is borne out by the steady and now recent 1 mb pressure drop. This is what Dennis did, drop a mb or two here and there, and then the convection fired up and BOOM!

I would think it will be 6-12 hours before we see convection really wrapping around the center enough for a more significant intensification that would move it up in categories.

Of course this hinges on the fact that dry air and shear stay away for the most part.

I think dry air is a big part of the problem. These storms entrain a lot of dry air as they traverse over land, and it takes them a while to spit it out once they are back over water. Her eye is clearning and I think she'll get the dry air worked out. Then she should wind up pretty quickly again. Of course, she'll go *POOF* again just prior to landfall. <snicker> Just kidding.

[baitism]

Ive been noticing a more NW jog.

[deltadog03]

they may become more frequent if she desides to really blow up quickly...i have followed her very closely, and everytime she went to deepen she had more of a northerly componet..we will see..

[jkt21787]

It's not going to strengthen much immediately. It will take a awhile to recover from being over land.

Yes, I think it will be very gradual, again like Dennis, for a while. This is borne out by the steady and now recent 1 mb pressure drop. This is what Dennis did, drop a mb or two here and there, and then the convection fired up and BOOM!

I would think it will be 6-12 hours before we see convection really wrapping around the center enough for a more significant intensification that would move it up in categories.

Of course this hinges on the fact that dry air and shear stay away for the most part.

I think dry air is a big part of the problem. These storms entrain a lot of dry air as they traverse over land, and it takes them a while to spit it out once they are back over water. Her eye is clearning and I think she'll get the dry air worked out. Then she should wind up pretty quickly again. Of course, she'll go *POOF* again just prior to landfall. <snicker> Just kidding.

Yeah, she should be able to spit the dry air out, I don't think there is too much anyway. With her eye clearing nicely, she is certainly getting "prepped" for something.

Seriously, the "POOF" test could be good here. Assuming no major shear and dry air issues, the waters are warm, deep and there is high heat content. So, I can't see a weakening at landfall, unless it ramps up enough to begin an EWRC as landfall occurs.

[hicksta]

Will she pull a claudette.. that is the question

When does the NHC have her turn to accur

[Anonymous]

Dennis changed dramatically in 24 hours:::

[deltadog03]

just remember dennis also pulled a little right of path when he started to blow up...