A lull in the Atlantic,When will it end?

[johngaltfla]

Gee. Thanks. Kiss of Death for August-September anyone?

[amawea]

We're done johngaltfla, the hurricane season is over and we are heading into an early fall and a cold winter. Just kidding of course. Things will surely pick back up after we get some energy back in the tropics. Hurricanes use up a lot of heat energy not just from the water but from the atmosphere. It's natures way of balancing things out.
Amawea

[johngaltfla]

We're done johngaltfla, the hurricane season is over and we are heading into an early fall and a cold winter. Just kidding of course. Things will surely pick back up after we get some energy back in the tropics. Hurricanes use up a lot of heat energy not just from the water but from the atmosphere. It's natures way of balancing things out.
Amawea

As I've stated here before, I fear for my beloved state this season. I think one of these Cat 4 monsters will zap a major city.

It's Mother Nature's way or reminding us who is in charge.

WE have no date for 500, 1000, or 10,000 years ago. So climatology is in it's infancy as much as fusion research.

Let's hope we don't get zapped, but IMHO, the "Cone of Death" TM-me
will be over Florida alot this season....

[cycloneye]

452
ABNT20 KNHC 180254
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT SUN JUL 17 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON CATEGORY FOUR
HURRICANE EMILY...LOCATED ABOUT 50 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL
MEXICO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.

FORECASTER PASCH


Nothing on the horizon.

[cycloneye]

Distint from recent weeks when we saw big areas of convection roll out of Africa a not active period is arriving as Sal is dominating (Normal for July).99 still is up there but still is fighting the upper trough as it moves thru the fishes NW.Some waves haved moved at fairly high latituds from Western Africa causing them to weaken as they get into more cooler waters above 15n in the Eastern Atlantic.But I fear once August rolls in activity will pick up again in that part of the world.But in the meantime after Emily is gone we will have some rest.

[Wnghs2007]

Thank you MJO for finally entering a Negative Phase in the Atlantic! Hopefully a long and well deserved break is at hand so we can heal are wounded and get ready for the assult that awaits us most likely near the peak of the Hurricane Season.

As I said atleast a week ago I read a colum saying that we were likely to see a break within the next week or two as the MJO would be unfavorable for the Atlantic...Unfortunatley I dont have a link to this discussion.

[Hurricaneman]

Well, we need a break

[cycloneye]

Nothing today of interest.Only a lot of rain for me as that trough/wave moves thru.

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

Has JB said anything about what he expects over the next 2 weeks?

I see that there is a typhone near Taiwan in the Pacific, and doesn't he always say something about the teleconnect or something like that being 10-14 days difference from the pacific to the atlantic?

I would guess that based on this very loose "fact" he always points out, that we should be looking for some sort of formation to be starting in 7-10 days. The target may be florida or GOM states again when "whatever storm" hits since the latitude of Taiwan is at the Tropic of Cancer.

I remember a few years back, his "connection theory" seemed to really pan out for North Carolina hits shortly after storms had hit Japan. Pretty weird how consistently that was happening!

[cycloneye]

Nothing today of interest in the tropical atlantic so the lull continues.When will this lull end is the question.

[Patrick99]

The wave that just emerged came off at a pretty low latitude. While it doesn't have that much convection at this point, it looks pretty broad. Something to cast a half-cocked eye at when Emily dies, at any rate.