Hmmm

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hicksta
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Hmmm

#1 Postby hicksta » Mon Jul 18, 2005 4:07 pm

Since a few hours ago its been moving NW-NNW... anyone else notice this... Might just be a wobble. But its something to keep an eye one
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#2 Postby deltadog03 » Mon Jul 18, 2005 4:08 pm

i will get bashed for saying it but, i don't care anymore...YES hicksta...it has....
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#3 Postby hicksta » Mon Jul 18, 2005 4:08 pm

yea i was worried to post it also.. but then agian the NHC has it going WNW
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#4 Postby deltadog03 » Mon Jul 18, 2005 4:10 pm

it wobbles around a lot...but, overall its been moving around 300 or so
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#5 Postby Swimdude » Mon Jul 18, 2005 4:10 pm

deltadog03 wrote:i will get bashed for saying it but, i don't care anymore...YES hicksta...it has....


Hahaha wow, this is kind of that i'm-so-exhausted-so-think-whatever-the-@#$%-you-want kinda statement.

And I agree.

:5:
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#6 Postby Air Force Met » Mon Jul 18, 2005 4:10 pm

I've noticed it too. Looking at the ridge to it's north, it's kinda weak in the area of the storm...it gets stronger the further north you go. It's likely that it will feel it's way WNW-NNW until it hits the firm area of the ridge...then it will veer back more to the WNW and West.
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#7 Postby HouTXmetro » Mon Jul 18, 2005 4:11 pm

I noticed
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I've noticed that as well

#8 Postby StormCircus » Mon Jul 18, 2005 4:12 pm

Looks like we're seeing a possible landfall aim closer toward Brownsville (rather than south of it), and maybe even a wee bit north of there from what I can see. The mouth of the Rio Grande river for landfall looks fairly realistic at this point. Anybody else want to weigh-in on some thoughts?
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#9 Postby hicksta » Mon Jul 18, 2005 4:13 pm

HIT TEXAS. i bet my friend $40 it would hit texas.
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#10 Postby cancunkid » Mon Jul 18, 2005 4:17 pm

hicksta wrote:HIT TEXAS. i bet my friend $40 it would hit texas.
Wow if it does between your friend and pcolaguy you will be making a hefty profit if you aren't in need of plywood yourself.
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#11 Postby hicksta » Mon Jul 18, 2005 4:20 pm

Im in galveston.
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#12 Postby dwg71 » Mon Jul 18, 2005 4:23 pm

I think your confusing an extension opening of the eyewall on the NW side as movement to the NW or NNW. Look at the bottom of the eyewall its moving WNW.

Latest coordinates as of 4PM are .3N and .7W of 1PM CST point. There is not any NW to NNW motion.
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#13 Postby CharleySurvivor » Mon Jul 18, 2005 4:26 pm

Hit Texas?... as long as it hits a NON populated area!

Thats all I care about, don't want 'anyone' hurt from Emily in either TX or Mexico.
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#14 Postby hicksta » Mon Jul 18, 2005 4:26 pm

exactly
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#15 Postby HouTXmetro » Mon Jul 18, 2005 4:27 pm

dwg71 wrote:I think your confusing an extension opening of the eyewall on the NW side as movement to the NW or NNW. Look at the bottom of the eyewall its moving WNW.

Latest coordinates as of 4PM are .3N and .7W of 1PM CST point. There is not any NW to NNW motion.


Stop raining on the people I disagree with parade. (me included) :lol:
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#16 Postby hicksta » Mon Jul 18, 2005 4:27 pm

we NEEEEED RAIN
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#17 Postby iceangel » Mon Jul 18, 2005 4:29 pm

dwg71 wrote:Latest coordinates as of 4PM are .3N and .7W of 1PM CST point. There is not any NW to NNW motion.
ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE EMILY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT MON JUL 18 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1PM CDT THU JUL 21 2005

LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E

Code: Select all

24.0N  95.5W      44  X  X  X 44   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  1  2  X  3
24.5N  98.0W       6 24  X  X 30   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  3  5  X  8
24.5N 100.5W       X 17  6  X 23   BROWNSVILLE TX     1 21  1  X 23
MMSO 238N 982W     8 19  1  X 28   GULF 28N 95W       X  1  1  X  2
MMTM 222N 979W     6  7  2  X 15   GULF 27N 96W       X  8  3  X 11
MMTX 210N 974W     1  X  2  X  3   GULF 25N 96W      25  7  X  X 32
MMMD 210N 897W     5  X  X  X  5


COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1PM TUE TO 1AM WED
C FROM 1AM WED TO 1PM WED
D FROM 1PM WED TO 1PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA
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#18 Postby GalvestonDuck » Mon Jul 18, 2005 4:31 pm

hicksta wrote:Im in galveston.


What part?
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#19 Postby Seadootoo » Mon Jul 18, 2005 4:31 pm

dwg71 wrote:I think your confusing an extension opening of the eyewall on the NW side as movement to the NW or NNW. Look at the bottom of the eyewall its moving WNW.

Latest coordinates as of 4PM are .3N and .7W of 1PM CST point. There is not any NW to NNW motion.


Since AirforceMet noticed the same NW to NNW motion, I will go with what he said.
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#20 Postby Swimdude » Mon Jul 18, 2005 4:31 pm

hicksta wrote:we NEEEEED RAIN


We needed rain.

We're at 4.2 inches for July; about the average... And it's only the 18th. We're recovering ground quickly. We don't need a [potentially powerful] hurricane.
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