H Emily Recon Reports

#21 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jul 18, 2005 4:12 pm

Yes if that big eye continues in the next 12 hours then little strenghening will occur.You want a small tight eye to then have a system bombing.

Swimdude · #22 Postby **Swimdude** » Mon Jul 18, 2005 4:16 pm

Whew, that's a HUGE eye... Strengthening will definately be difficult. Francis flashback...

JTD · #23 Postby **JTD** » Mon Jul 18, 2005 4:17 pm

Swimdude wrote:Whew, that's a HUGE eye... Strengthening will definately be difficult. Francis flashback...

indeed big-time flashback.

clfenwi · #24 Postby **clfenwi** » Mon Jul 18, 2005 4:58 pm

NOAA3 is outbound...AF308 is the relief...currently about 400 nautical miles away from the center...

2143. 2907N 09009W 06210 0391 154 007 095 267 008 06690 0000000000

clfenwi · #25 Postby **clfenwi** » Mon Jul 18, 2005 5:42 pm

AF308 still at cruising altitude...

2233. 2547N 09311W 06707 0390 064 017 109 241 017 07201 0000000000

clfenwi · #26 Postby **clfenwi** » Mon Jul 18, 2005 6:13 pm

Time: 2301
Position: 24.1 North 93.2 West
Flight level winds: 30 knots // 060

AF308 has dropped down to operational altitude and it looks like they are at the upper northwest quadrant of Emily at this time...

000

URNT11 KNHC 182308
97779 23014 21241 93200 30500 06030 09078 /3152
40635
RMK AF308 1805A EMILY OB 03

clfenwi · #27 Postby **clfenwi** » Mon Jul 18, 2005 6:30 pm

looks like a nw-se pass is in progress... 10 sec avg fl winds 58 knots...

2324 2308N 09210W 03052 0078 050 056 070 070 058 03181 0000000000

clfenwi · #28 Postby **clfenwi** » Mon Jul 18, 2005 6:42 pm

2325. 2304N 09206W 03045 0065 057 061 072 072 066 03162 0000000000

this appears to be the max fl wind in nw quadrant... 66 knots...

clfenwi · #29 Postby **clfenwi** » Mon Jul 18, 2005 6:59 pm

2346 2222N 09108W 03048 0005 211 073 102 096 073 03105 0000000000

73 knots... se quad

clfenwi · #30 Postby **clfenwi** » Mon Jul 18, 2005 7:00 pm

000

URNT12 KNHC 182358
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 18/23:38:50Z
B. 22 deg 37 min N
091 deg 26 min W
C. 700 mb 2931 m
D. 50 kt
E. 288 deg 014 nm
F. 058 deg 066 kt
G. 306 deg 046 nm
H. 982 mb
I. 7 C/ 3048 m
J. 14 C/ 3045 m
K. 9 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. E05/50/30
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 3 nm
P. AF308 1805A EMILY OB 04
MAX FL WIND 66 KT NW QUAD 23:25:30 Z
RADAR SIGNATURE GOOD AND POSSIBLY INDICATING AN INNER EYEWALL FORMING.

Website · #31 Postby **Brent** » Mon Jul 18, 2005 7:09 pm

Smaller eye forming... not good.

#32 Postby **Dean4Storms** » Mon Jul 18, 2005 7:14 pm

They need to penetrate the deeper convection on the S and SW Quad.

clfenwi · #33 Postby **clfenwi** » Mon Jul 18, 2005 7:18 pm

Observation Number: 05
Time transmitted:0000Z
Position: 22.7 North 91.8 West
Sea Level Pressure: 990 millibars
Surface wind speed and direction: 55 knots //005
925 millibar height: 594 meters
925 millibar winds: 81 knots // 030
850 millibar height: 1330 meters
850 millibar winds: 63 knots // 045
700 millibar height: 2993 meters
700 millibar winds: 47 knots // 005
EYEWALL

Observation Number: 06
Time transmitted:0001Z
Position: 22.6 North 91.4 West
Sea Level Pressure: 982 millibars
Surface wind speed and direction: 15 knots // 145
925 millibar height: 527 meters
925 millibar winds: 17 knots // 150
850 millibar height: 1264 meters
850 millibar winds: 16 knots // 140
700 millibar height: 4 knots // 190
EYE

clfenwi · #34 Postby **clfenwi** » Mon Jul 18, 2005 7:33 pm

SUPPLEMENTAL VORTEX

Storm: Storm EMILY: Observed By NOAA #3
Storm #05 in Atlantic Ocean1
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 77KT (88.5mph 142.6km/h) In NE Quadrant At 1714Z
Estimated Max Surface Winds 69.3KT (79.7mph 128.3km/h) *
Misc Remarks: SLP FROM DROPSONDE (Report Time: 19/0027Z)
Max Inbound Flight Level Winds: 23.1N 92.1W 066KT (75.9MPH 122.2km/h) [23:03:50Z to 23:34:30Z]
Inbound Surface Wind Observed At 35KT (40.25MPH 64.8km/h) @ 060°
Max Outbound Flight Level Winds: 22.4N 91.1W 073KT (83.95MPH 135.2km/h) [23:43:30Z to 00:06:00Z]
Outbound Surface Wind Observed At 20KT (23MPH 37.0km/h) @ 230°
Data # Position Height Temp Dewpoint Wind
I01 24.0N 93.1W 700mb Height @ 3152m 8°C 7°C 037KT (42.55MPH 68.5 km/h) @ 50°
I02 23.8N 92.9W 700mb Height @ 3145m 8°C 6°C 042KT (48.3MPH 77.8 km/h) @ 50°
I03 23.6N 92.7W 700mb Height @ 3135m 8°C 7°C 038KT (43.7MPH 70.4 km/h) @ 50°
I04 23.4N 92.5W 700mb Height @ 3123m 8°C 8°C 041KT (47.15MPH 75.9 km/h) @ 40°
I05 23.2N 92.3W 700mb Height @ 3100m 8°C 8°C 060KT (69MPH 111.1 km/h) @ 50°
I06 23.1N 92.1W 700mb Height @ 3072m 7°C 7°C 065KT (74.75MPH 120.4 km/h) @ 50°
I07 22.8N 91.9W 700mb Height @ 3042m 10°C 10°C 046KT (52.9MPH 85.2 km/h) @ 40°
I08 22.7N 91.7W 700mb Height @ 2975m 14°C 10°C 039KT (44.85MPH 72.2 km/h) @ 10°
O01 22.4N 91.2W 700mb Height @ 2977m 12°C 9°C 053KT (60.95MPH 98.2 km/h) @ 200°
O02 22.3N 91.0W 700mb Height @ 3048m 8°C 8°C 058KT (66.7MPH 107.4 km/h) @ 220°
O03 22.1N 90.8W 700mb Height @ 3087m 10°C 7°C 052KT (59.8MPH 96.3 km/h) @ 220°
O04 21.9N 90.7W 700mb Height @ 3108m 9°C 8°C 041KT (47.15MPH 75.9 km/h) @ 210°
O05 21.7N 90.5W 700mb Height @ 3119m 8°C 7°C 033KT (37.95MPH 61.1 km/h) @ 210°
O06 21.6N 90.3W 700mb Height @ 3131m 10°C 5°C 035KT (40.25MPH 64.8 km/h) @ 200°

clfenwi · #35 Postby **clfenwi** » Mon Jul 18, 2005 7:57 pm

After completing the nw-se pass, recon turned to the north and looks to be setting up for a ne-sw pass...

0044 2343N 09018W 03047 0124 138 059 090 076 059 03222 0000000000

clfenwi · #36 Postby **clfenwi** » Mon Jul 18, 2005 8:05 pm

Time: 0051Z
Position: 24.1 North 90.5 West
Flight level winds: 56 knots // 130

URNT11 KNHC 190101
97779 00514 31241 90500 30500 13056 08088 /3138
41150
RMK AF308 1805A EMILY OB 09

clfenwi · #37 Postby **clfenwi** » Mon Jul 18, 2005 8:19 pm

0111. 2313N 09120W 03048 0032 144 086 066 066 090 03131 0000000100

This looks like the max fl wind in NE quadrant ... 10 sec avg 90 knots 30 sec avg 86 knots...

gkrangers · #38 Postby **gkrangers** » Mon Jul 18, 2005 8:21 pm

So maybe 75KTS now..

clfenwi · #39 Postby **clfenwi** » Mon Jul 18, 2005 8:42 pm

Storm EMILY: Observed By AF #308
Storm #05 in Atlantic Ocean1
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 90KT (103.5mph 166.7km/h) In NE Quadrant At 01:11:10 Z
Estimated Max Surface Winds 81.0KT (93.2mph 150.0km/h) *
Misc Remarks: GOOD RADAR SIGNATURE.
Date/Time of Recon Report: 0122Z
Position of the center: 22° 48' N 091° 51' W (22.8°N 91.8°W)
Minimum Height Measured At Standard Level Of 700mb: 2950m (Normal: 3011)
Surface Winds Were Estimated At: 55 KT (63.25MPH 101.9km/h)
Estimated Surface Winds Were Measured 081nm (93.15miles) From Center At Bearing 45°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Near Center Were 090KT (103.5mph 166.7km/h) From 143°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were Measured 039nm (44.8 miles) From Center At Bearing 49°
Minimum pressure: 983mb (29.03in)
Eye Wall Was Characterized As Being: OPEN SW
Eye Form Was Characterized As Being Elliptical , E05/50/30
Center Fix Established Using: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure Temperature
Center Fix Established At Level(s): 700mb
Navigational Accuracy Measured At 0.02nm
Meteorological Accuracy Measured At 4nm

clfenwi · #40 Postby **clfenwi** » Mon Jul 18, 2005 8:49 pm

Observation Number:11
Time transmitted: 0140Z
Position: 23.0 North // 91.5 West
Sea Level Pressure: 988 millibars
Surface wind speed and direction: 77 knots // 105
925 millibar height: 584 meters
925 millibar winds: 93 knots // 195
850 millibar height: 1320 meters
850 millibar winds: 89 knots // 130
700 millibar height: 2976 meters
700 millibar winds: 69 knots // 145
EYEWALL

Observation Number: 12
Time transmitted: 0147Z
Position: 22.8 North 91.9 West
Sea Level Pressure: 983 millibars
Surface wind speed and direction: 13 knots // 110
925 millibar height: 543 meters
925 millibar winds: 7 knots // 110
850 millibar height: 1284 meters
850 millibar winds: 6 knots // 135
700 millibar height: 2953 meters
700 millibar winds: 4 knots // 350
EYE

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