Emily and the Northern Gulf

[tndefender]

Interesting bit from Accuweather's latest tropical discussion:

"Even as Emily moves across the western Caribbean and Yucatan Peninsula, the hurricane will generate large swells in the Gulf of Mexico. Due to the severe erosion of beaches and dune loss from recent storms, a Coastal Flood Watch has been issued through Monday night from Dauphin Island, Ala., eastward to Destin, Fla. Tide levels are expected to run up to 4 feet above normal and this could result in some coastal flooding along coasts of Alabama and northwestern Florida. Some additional beach erosion may occur along the beaches in Alabama and the Florida Panhandle. In addition, people venturing to area beaches throughout the Gulf of Mexico should be on alert for an increased threat of rip currents until Emily makes final landfall. "

I know that source is hardly considered gospel here but it still is something interesting to ponder.

[djtil]

accuweather isnt the source for this info...the local nws offices issued this advisory hours ago.

[beachbum_al]

I read that yesterday and heard it this morning on our local t.v. stations that even though Emily is in the southern gulf that she could cause rip currents, etc.

[BayouVenteux]

accuweather isnt the source for this info...the local nws offices issued this advisory hours ago.

yep.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
415 PM CDT MON JUL 18 2005

...HURRICANE EMILY WILL REMAIN WELL TO THE SOUTH OF THE REGION...DUE TO THE STRONG RIDGING IN PLACE. HOWEVER...SOME HIGHER SWELLS COULD AFFECT THE COASTAL WATERS AND COASTAL SECTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...ESPECIALLY TO THE WEST OF THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE RIVER LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. THERE WILL ALSO BE AN INCREASED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IN THIS AREA...SO WADING FISHERMEN AND SWIMMERS SHOULD NOT ENTER THE WATER ON TUESDAY MORNING.

[digitaldahling]

000
FLUS44 KMOB 181039
HWOMOB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
600 AM CDT MON JUL 18 2005

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-181700-
BALDWIN COASTAL-BALDWIN INLAND-BUTLER-CHOCTAW-CLARKE-CONECUH-
COVINGTON-CRENSHAW-ESCAMBIA-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-GEORGE-
GREENE-MOBILE COASTAL-MOBILE INLAND-MONROE-OKALOOSA COASTAL-
OKALOOSA INLAND-PERRY-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-STONE-
WASHINGTON-WAYNE-WILCOX-
600 AM CDT MON JUL 18 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND THE EXTREME WESTERN PORTION OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL OCCUR OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON...WITH NO
HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED WITH THESE SHOWERS. AS HURRICANE EMILY
MOVES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND ENTERS THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF
OF MEXICO...AN INCREASED SWELL FROM THE STORM WILL REACH ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS. THIS SWELL MAY INCREASE AN ALREADY
MAXIMUM TIDAL RANGE AND MAY CAUSE SOME COASTAL FLOODING ALONG THE
COAST.

[Lori]

I posted the following this afternoon. Somehow it got moved to the U.S. Weather Forum.


COASTAL FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1155 AM CDT MON JUL 18 2005

ALZ063-064-FLZ002-004-006-190200-
BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-MOBILE COASTAL-OKALOOSA COASTAL-
SANTA ROSA COASTAL-
1155 AM CDT MON JUL 18 2005

...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A COASTAL FLOOD
WARNING FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD
WARNING FOR PEOPLE LIVING ALONG THE GULF COASTLINES OF MOBILE AND
BALDWIN COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND
OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

HURRICANE EMILY HAS MOVED ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND INTO THE
SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THE VERY STRONG WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH
EMILY HAVE GENERATED WAVES OF A VERY LONG PERIOD BETWEEN CRESTS.
BUOY DATA FROM THE SOUTHERN GULF ARE INDICATING WAVE PERIODS OF UP
14 SECONDS. THESE LONG PERIOD WAVES WILL TRAVEL NORTHWARD ACROSS
THE GULF AND RESULT IN HEAVY SURF AND POSSIBLE COASTAL FLOODING
ALONG AREA BEACHES LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. AT THIS
TIME...WE EXPECT THE LARGER WAVES TO BEGIN ARRIVING AT THE BEACHES
AS EARLY AS 500 PM THIS AFTERNOON...AND CONTINUE IMPACTING THE
BEACHES THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THESE LARGE WAVES WILL ALSO
LIKELY RESULT IN FURTHER EROSION OF BEACHES...INCLUDING THOSE AREAS
PREVIOUSLY DAMAGED BY HURRICANE DENNIS A WEEK OR SO AGO...AND BY
TROPICAL STORMS ARLENE AND CINDY EARLIER THIS SUMMER.

THE WEST END OF DAUPHIN ISLAND ALABAMA WILL BE PARTICULARLY
VULNERABLE TO COASTAL FLOODING. LOCAL EXPERIENCE HAS SHOWN THAT A
WAVE PERIOD OF 11 SECONDS OR GREATER CAN RESULT IN HEAVY SURF AND
WASH-OVER ON THE WEST END OF THE ISLAND...WITH WATER UNDER HOMES ON
THE WEST END. ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE COASTLINE...HEAVY SURF
SHOULD BE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT THERE IS NO
PRECEDENT FOR EXTENSIVE COASTAL FLOODING WITH THIS TYPE OF EVENT.
HOWEVER...WITH THE BEACHES SEVERELY ERODED AS A RESULT OF ALL THE
RECENT TROPICAL ACTIVITY...SOME MINOR COASTAL FLOODING COULD BE
POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ON PARTS OF SANTA ROSA
ISLAND...ESPECIALLY BETWEEN FORT PICKENS AND NAVARRE BEACH...WHERE
WE WOULD EXPECT HEAVY SURF AND SOME WASH-UP UNDER HOMES IN AREAS
THAT HAD BEACHES ERODED BY DENNIS. AT THE VERY LEAST...HEAVY SURF
SHOULD BE EXPECTED ALONG ALL OF THE ALABAMA AND FLORIDA COASTLINES
FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS...WITH TIDE
LEVELS OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES EXPECTED. IN
ADDITION...THE RIP CURRENT THREAT WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON DUE
TO THE LARGE SWELLS MOVING NORTHWARD TOWARD AREA BEACHES.

REMEMBER...A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG COASTAL AREAS SHOULD BE READY TO MOVE TO SAFE
GROUND AND PROTECT PROPERTY IF FLOODING OCCURS.

STAY TUNED FOR ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

$$

[Steve]

Only report I got is some outflow cirrus clouds way up there .

Steve

[T-man]

a gentle breeze greeted us here on the bayou in Lafitte, La., in association with the outflow clouds up high. Turned out good-high clouds blocked out afternoon sun and moderated temps right here on Bayou Barataria. going out to enjoy the weather...........