Emily looking much better on SAT PICS.

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tailgater
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Emily looking much better on SAT PICS.

#1 Postby tailgater » Mon Jul 18, 2005 11:43 pm

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... duration=0
She maybe slowing even more also
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#2 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Jul 18, 2005 11:45 pm

I seen that maybe starting to tighten/become better oreganize. It also seems to be turning more westward.
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#3 Postby Wnghs2007 » Mon Jul 18, 2005 11:46 pm

To bad this system is not out in the Middle of the Atlantic and going to be a fish I wouldnt mind seeing it organize if it was but I dont want it to go into a strengthening phase when its going to make landfall soon.
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#4 Postby Swimdude » Mon Jul 18, 2005 11:58 pm

[Post deleted for incessant incorrect material. -Swimdude.]
Last edited by Swimdude on Tue Jul 19, 2005 12:37 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Derek Ortt

#5 Postby Derek Ortt » Tue Jul 19, 2005 12:15 am

its not in a strengthening phase. Its in an adjustment phase. The land friciton is gone; thus, the wind increase (gradient wind equation doen't have friction. A hurricane is in gradient balance. Wind decreases due to friction)

2. This is still moving at 295-300, no matter what a sat illusion says. The center before was in the very southern part of the eye. Recon fixes show a march at 295-300 with no deviaton
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gkrangers

#6 Postby gkrangers » Tue Jul 19, 2005 12:17 am

Winds were officially 135MPH per advisory....recon supported 140ish...don't know where you got 150/155 for Cozumel.
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Eye has virtually disappeared

#7 Postby hriverajr » Tue Jul 19, 2005 12:20 am

It appears in the last few satellite frames that the eye is basically disappearing under northern convection.. seems rather strange. Tightening up?
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Derek Ortt

#8 Postby Derek Ortt » Tue Jul 19, 2005 12:24 am

probably a sign of real intensification probably. Thats what Dennis did and it then formed a true eye by the descending motion, not just by bands wrappind around a center
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#9 Postby Normandy » Tue Jul 19, 2005 12:34 am

http://www7300.nrlssc.navy.mil/altimetr ... om_sst.gif

She will have 30C waters to work with from this point forward.
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#10 Postby Swimdude » Tue Jul 19, 2005 12:39 am

Derek Ortt wrote:probably a sign of real intensification probably. Thats what Dennis did and it then formed a true eye by the descending motion, not just by bands wrappind around a center


That's definately what we've been seeing lately... Plenty of wrapping; and a HUGE *eye*, most likely signifying the fact that it wasn't formed by the "descending motion", but by the wrapping around a center of circulation.
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#11 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Tue Jul 19, 2005 2:30 am

A lot of darker reds in her convection now on the IR linked from the NHC site...

She's looking more compact too.
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#12 Postby Sanibel » Tue Jul 19, 2005 2:33 am

Bursting deep red and black top center as predicted...
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#13 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Tue Jul 19, 2005 2:42 am

well she is/has broken all of or most of Dennis' records so why not the one for one of the fastest deepening as well! (Sorry if I don't spell words correctly but I suck at spelling! lol)
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Anonymous

#14 Postby Anonymous » Tue Jul 19, 2005 3:06 am

WOW that is a huge burst of convection!! :eek:
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#15 Postby Lori » Tue Jul 19, 2005 3:11 am

:eek: :eek: :eek:

Just looked at Emily:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
Last edited by Lori on Tue Jul 19, 2005 3:23 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#16 Postby mtm4319 » Tue Jul 19, 2005 3:19 am

She looks very, uh, swollen on her northwest quadrant:

Image
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#17 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Jul 19, 2005 3:21 am

The last recon from a hour in a half ago. Shown that she was down 4 millibars to 980.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#18 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:16 am

The latest Ir out of the Nasa page shows that the deep convection is off to the west of the "eye" In which some dry air has been getting sucked into the cirualtion. We have to watch if it can get raid of it...Because there is already some pop up convection forming around the Eastern side...

Here is a Radar to track the cyclone.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/bro_N0Z_lp.html
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#19 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:32 am

Latest satellite shows that the storm is starting to wrap.
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Derek Ortt

#20 Postby Derek Ortt » Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:01 am

latest sats also show that Eugene is destroying the anti-cyclone over Emily
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