H Emily Recon Reports

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cycloneye
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H Emily Recon Reports

#1 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:08 am

Tuesdays recon reports.
Last edited by cycloneye on Tue Jul 19, 2005 7:08 pm, edited 20 times in total.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#2 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:08 am

000
URNT12 KNHC 191003
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 19/09:29:50Z
B. 23 deg 31 min N
093 deg 32 min W
C. 700 mb 2913 m
D. NA kt
E. NA deg nm
F. 117 deg 079 kt
G. 42 deg 049 nm
H. 977 mb
I. 9 C/ 3053 m
J. 13 C/ 3053 m
K. 13 C/ NA
L. OPEN S-SW
M. E15/40/20
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF309 1905A EMILY OB 04
MAX FL WIND 79 KT NE QUAD 09:18:10 Z
MAX FL TEMP 16 C, 135 / 11NM
RAGGED EYEWALL

977 millibars with 79 knots flight level or around 75 mph surface.
Last edited by Matt-hurricanewatcher on Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:09 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Anonymous

#3 Postby Anonymous » Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:09 am

Storm EMILY: Observed By AF #309
Storm #05 in Atlantic Ocean
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 79KT (90.85mph) In NE Quadrant At 09:18:10 Z
Date/Time of Recon Report: NaN
Position of the center: 23° 31' N 093° 32' W
Minimum Height Measured At Standard Level Of 700mb: 2913m (Normal: 3011)
Maximum Surface Winds Were: Not Estimated
No Bearing From Center To Estimated Surface Winds Was Measured
Maximum Flight Level Winds Near Center Were 079KT (90.85mph) From 117°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were Measured 049nm (56.349999999999994miles) From Center At Bearing 42°
Minimum pressure: 977mb (28.85in)
Eye Wall Was Characterized As Being OPEN S-SW
Eye Form Was Characterized As Being E15/40/20
Center Fix Established Using: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure Temperature
Center Fix Established At Level(s): 700mb
Navigational Accuracy Measured At 0.02nm
Meteorological Accuracy Measured At 1nm
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Anonymous

#4 Postby Anonymous » Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:10 am

596
URNT11 KNHC 191003
97779 09594 31222 92200 30500 20041 0907/ /3127
RMK AF309 1905A EMILY OB 05
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Derek Ortt

#5 Postby Derek Ortt » Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:14 am

actually thats about 70-75KT surface

cat 3 now almost impossible. The winds have actually decreased from last night substantially. If the current trends continue, even cat 2 could be stretching it
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#6 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:16 am

Wow 49 nmi miles/53 miles away from the center the Max winds where measure. Darm thing is not oreganized.
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Anonymous

#7 Postby Anonymous » Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:19 am

655
UZNT13 KNHC 191011
XXAA 69097 99238 70933 08233 99984 26803 ///// 00643 ///// /////
92547 23402 12582 85285 20201 12574 70949 11800 13566 88999 77999
31313 09608 80925
61616 AF309 1905A EMILY OB 06
62626 EYEWALL 040 SPL 2382N09337W 0929 LST WND 045 MBL WND 11584
AEV 20504 DLM WND 12575 979734 WL150 11080 120 =
XXBB 69098 99238 70933 08233 00984 26803 11850 20201 22728 14603
33705 13600 44696 10400
21212 00984 ///// 11979 10574 22959 11589 33950 12091 44912 12578
55884 12584 66860 13073 77850 12574 88696 13567
31313 09608 80925
61616 AF309 1905A EMILY OB 06
62626 EYEWALL 040 SPL 2382N09337W 0929 LST WND 045 MBL WND 11584
AEV 20504 DLM WND 12575 979734 WL150 11080 120 =


I have no idea how decode that but here it is
Last edited by Anonymous on Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:19 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#8 Postby Thunder44 » Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:19 am

Derek Ortt wrote:actually thats about 70-75KT surface

cat 3 now almost impossible. The winds have actually decreased from last night substantially. If the current trends continue, even cat 2 could be stretching it


How can you say that when the pressure is dropping and the storm is getting better organized? The deepest convection is on the west side. Recon may find stronger winds.
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Derek Ortt

#9 Postby Derek Ortt » Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:23 am

because apparantly it is NOT any better organized. The eye wall structure is not as well defined as just 3 hours ago
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#10 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:24 am

Dennis did the same thing after coming off of Cuba it clouded over the eye with convection and then the eye reformed! and we all know what happend with Dennis!
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#11 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:34 am

Dennis stayed over land more then twice as long as Emily. Dennis kept its inner core/tight core to bomb out as fast as it did. While Emily likely weaken from 140 to 70 mph over the Yuctan. That 70 mph is from the 59 knots the hrd data shows off the north coast of the Yuctan. Dennis weaken into a weak cat1 about like Emily. But its inner core was tight. Emily is like Isabals its huge but can't get its self oreganized again.(Not quite as bad as Isidor)
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#12 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:38 am

it looks like there is a new eye forming that is smaller!
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#13 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:40 am

Alright Em, how low (pressure) can you go....
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#14 Postby wxwatcher91 » Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:46 am

1036 2446N 09223W 03047 0122 133 060 092 090 061 03214 0000000000

61kt

*looked in wrong column... o well lol*
Last edited by wxwatcher91 on Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:56 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#15 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:50 am

61 knots...
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Anonymous

#16 Postby Anonymous » Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:50 am

491
SXXX50 KNHC 191044
SXXX50

SXXX50 KNHC 191043
AF309 1905A EMILY HDOB 18 KNHC
1033. 2435N 09222W 03048 0118 132 058 084 084 060 03211 0000000000
1034 2437N 09222W 03047 0116 132 059 076 076 059 03207 0000000000
1034. 2439N 09222W 03058 0116 136 061 068 068 070 03218 0000000100
1035 2441N 09222W 03038 0119 130 062 078 078 062 03201 0000000100
1035. 2444N 09223W 03051 0120 131 062 086 086 062 03215 0000000000
1036 2446N 09223W 03047 0122 133 060 092 090 061 03214 0000000000
1036. 2448N 09223W 03047 0123 130 060 096 082 060 03214 0000000000
1037 2450N 09223W 03048 0124 128 059 100 076 060 03215 0000000000
1037. 2452N 09224W 03049 0125 130 059 094 072 060 03219 0000000000
1038 2454N 09224W 03046 0126 129 060 092 070 060 03216 0000000000
1038. 2456N 09224W 03049 0128 128 060 092 066 061 03221 0000000000
1039 2458N 09225W 03055 0134 126 058 088 072 058 03233 0000000000
1039. 2458N 09227W 03048 0133 124 057 090 068 058 03225 0000000000
1040 2457N 09228W 03044 0125 125 054 094 066 055 03213 0000000000
1040. 2455N 09230W 03048 0124 126 057 090 072 057 03216 0000000000
1041 2454N 09231W 03050 0124 126 055 092 080 056 03217 0000000000
1041. 2453N 09232W 03046 0122 128 056 094 076 057 03213 0000000000
1042 2452N 09234W 03049 0121 129 056 088 088 059 03215 0000000000
1042. 2450N 09235W 03047 0119 130 057 090 088 058 03211 0000000000
1043 2449N 09236W 03048 0118 130 056 090 086 056 03210 0000000000

NNNN
Last edited by Anonymous on Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:54 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#17 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:52 am

Thunder~n~Lightning wrote:491
SXXX50 KNHC 191044
SXXX50

SXXX50 KNHC 191043
AF309 1905A EMILY HDOB 18 KNHC
1033. 2435N 09222W 03048 0118 132 058 084 084 060 03211 0000000000
1034 2437N 09222W 03047 0116 132 059 076 076 059 03207 0000000000
1034. 2439N 09222W 03058 0116 136 061 068 068 070 03218 0000000100
1035 2441N 09222W 03038 0119 130 062 078 078 062 03201 0000000100
1035. 2444N 09223W 03051 0120 131 062 086 086 062 03215 0000000000
1036 2446N 09223W 03047 0122 133 060 092 090 061 03214 0000000000
1036. 2448N 09223W 03047 0123 130 060 096 082 060 03214 0000000000
1037 2450N 09223W 03048 0124 128 059 100 076 060 03215 0000000000
1037. 2452N 09224W 03049 0125 130 059 094 072 060 03219 0000000000
1038 2454N 09224W 03046 0126 129 060 092 070 060 03216 0000000000
1038. 2456N 09224W 03049 0128 128 060 092 066 061 03221 0000000000
1039 2458N 09225W 03055 0134 126 058 088 072 058 03233 0000000000
1039. 2458N 09227W 03048 0133 124 057 090 068 058 03225 0000000000
1040 2457N 09228W 03044 0125 125 054 094 066 055 03213 0000000000
1040. 2455N 09230W 03048 0124 126 057 090 072 057 03216 0000000000
1041 2454N 09231W 03050 0124 126 055 092 080 056 03217 0000000000
1041. 2453N 09232W 03046 0122 128 056 094 076 057 03213 0000000000
1042 2452N 09234W 03049 0121 129 056 088 088 059 03215 0000000000
1042. 2450N 09235W 03047 0119 130 057 090 088 058 03211 0000000000
1043 2449N 09236W 03048 0118 130 056 090 086 056 03210 0000000000

NNNN



Highest there 70 knots. Other two lines are 30 second then 10 second...If I remember.
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#18 Postby Thunder44 » Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:55 am

Derek Ortt wrote:because apparantly it is NOT any better organized. The eye wall structure is not as well defined as just 3 hours ago


Perhaps so, but I think it's too soon to jump that conclusion. Pressure drop is still a sign of some intensification. Might still be in the process of reorganization.
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Anonymous

#19 Postby Anonymous » Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:56 am

533
URNT14 KNHC 191010
SUPPLEMENTARY VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
INBOUND
LAT LON jHHH TTDD ddfff
01248 10926 13132 10808 12060
02246 20927 23118 20909 12057
03243 30929 33094 30606 11067
04241 40930 43064 40505 12074
05239 50931 53012 50909 14072
06237 60934 63942 61111 13048
MF241 M0929 MF079
OBS 01 AT 09:09:10Z
OBS 06 AT 09:26:30Z
OBS 01 SFC WND /////
OUTBOUND
LAT LON jHHH TTDD ddfff
01233 10934 13976 11609 23056
02231 20932 23037 21111 22053
03230 30930 33070 31010 22051
04228 40928 43086 40909 21044
05226 50926 53103 50909 21044
06224 60924 63117 60707 19037
07223 70922 73125 71007 20041
MF232 M0933 MF063
OBS 01 AT 09:34:00Z
OBS 07 AT 09:59:20Z
OBS 07 SFC WND /////
AF309 1905A EMILY OB 09
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Derek Ortt

#20 Postby Derek Ortt » Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:56 am

but its not doing it quick enough. only organzing slowly and atmospheric conditions are about to become quite hostile with the strong shear from eugene approaching
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