Eye Contracting On Radar

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Agua
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#21 Postby Agua » Tue Jul 19, 2005 2:01 pm

Definitely appears to be getting it's crap together.
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#22 Postby baitism » Tue Jul 19, 2005 2:04 pm

Hope this gets to cat 4, thats what I voted for a couple days ago. It might prove that ive learned something.

Storm seems to be slowing a tad. Probably just cant get enough of those SST's.
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#23 Postby Sanibel » Tue Jul 19, 2005 2:06 pm

Also appears to be slowing to me too. That is significant in a possibly rapidly developing storm...
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#24 Postby Lowpressure » Tue Jul 19, 2005 2:28 pm

This has the potential to get nasty and have a lot of people pulling out their hair if it stalls and meanders around.
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#25 Postby Hurricaneman » Tue Jul 19, 2005 2:35 pm

Not good
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#26 Postby PTrackerLA » Tue Jul 19, 2005 2:55 pm

With the strengthening occuring and another obvious NW wobble Brownsville might just get some hurricane force winds whereas earlier that didn't appear to be the case. Emily has really grown in size as well, good news for those in south Texas that needed rain.
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#27 Postby Sanibel » Tue Jul 19, 2005 3:06 pm

Intensification loops.


Still moving forward at 12mph or more...
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#28 Postby Sanibel » Tue Jul 19, 2005 3:34 pm

Eye reappearing on IR...
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#29 Postby Normandy » Tue Jul 19, 2005 3:46 pm

Wow this is becoming VERY serious....Brownsville better hope and pray that the eyewall stays south of them.
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#30 Postby jasons2k » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:02 pm

SHe definately looks more organized. She also looks like she may be elongating N-S. Maybe she's getting squeezed a bit.
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#31 Postby JTD » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:04 pm

jschlitz wrote:SHe definately looks more organized. She also looks like she may be elongating N-S. Maybe she's getting squeezed a bit.


Elongation means the rapid intensification phase is over right and that weakening has started?
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#32 Postby jkt21787 » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:07 pm

jason0509 wrote:
jschlitz wrote:SHe definately looks more organized. She also looks like she may be elongating N-S. Maybe she's getting squeezed a bit.


Elongation means the rapid intensification phase is over right and that weakening has started?

I don't see much elongation at all. I still think we are in an intensification phase and will be up to landfall, as Stewart mentions in the discussion. IR is very classic looking.
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#33 Postby dhweather » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:07 pm

She had an elliptical eye structure, however, that has changed in the last hour, and she's gotten much more of a circular eye structure.

I would suspect we will see one round of intensification, possibly to a strong cat 3, before landfall.
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#34 Postby Stratosphere747 » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:07 pm

No...She may be about to start a RI cycle..

Brownsville may not be prepared IMO...
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#35 Postby Normandy » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:08 pm

If the hurricane lands less than 30 miles from Brownsville, they will see some serious winds.
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#36 Postby dhweather » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:10 pm

Using the straight line method on radar, IF Emily stas on her present course, the Northern Eyewall will only by 33 NMI South of the Brownsville
WSR-88D site at landfall.

One wobble right would be a big deal for Brownsville.
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#37 Postby jasons2k » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:12 pm

jkt21787 wrote:
jason0509 wrote:
jschlitz wrote:SHe definately looks more organized. She also looks like she may be elongating N-S. Maybe she's getting squeezed a bit.


Elongation means the rapid intensification phase is over right and that weakening has started?

I don't see much elongation at all. I still think we are in an intensification phase and will be up to landfall, as Stewart mentions in the discussion. IR is very classic looking.


Sorry, didn't mean the eye. Her eye and CDO look very symmetrical. But her outflow looks a bit elongated N-S. Could be an illusion from the curvature too, who knows.
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#38 Postby Sanibel » Tue Jul 19, 2005 8:38 pm

:idea: :?:


I'm seeing a flexing distortion of the surrounding bands that could be signaling the beginning of another intensification phase! Or it could be something else?
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#39 Postby Sanibel » Tue Jul 19, 2005 9:14 pm

Like Charley, the dry bands you see around the center are not dry air intrusion but are, instead, the inner core intensifying so quickly that it tears away from the surrounding structure.
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#40 Postby Sanibel » Tue Jul 19, 2005 9:40 pm

108KT at 944???


They missed the highest winds...
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