Emily barely moving for the past hour and 45 minutes

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:
Contact skysummit

Emily barely moving for the past hour and 45 minutes

#1 Postby skysummit » Tue Jul 19, 2005 8:09 pm

Since appx 6:45 CST, Emily has barely moved...maybe just a tad to the NW. Are the steering currentls breaking down a bit? What's causing this slowing? It still looks like she's moving on satellite, but radar shows a very slow drift.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:
Contact skysummit

#2 Postby skysummit » Tue Jul 19, 2005 8:13 pm

Ok....I read about it in another forum...the "cyclonic loop".
0 likes   
Top
Mississippi Storm Magnet
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 114
Joined: Thu Jul 07, 2005 8:02 pm
Location: Diamondhead, Mississippi
Contact:
Contact Mississippi Storm Magnet

#3 Postby Mississippi Storm Magnet » Tue Jul 19, 2005 8:15 pm

GRLevel3 radar fixes indicate from 6:29 pm to 8:07 pm Emily has moved at 305 degrees and 6.8 nautical miles.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
huricanwatcher
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 893
Age: 65
Joined: Sat Sep 13, 2003 6:09 pm
Location: Kirkwood NY
Contact:
Contact huricanwatcher

#4 Postby huricanwatcher » Tue Jul 19, 2005 8:16 pm

Mississippi Storm Magnet wrote:GRLevel3 radar fixes indicate from 6:29 pm to 8:07 pm Emily has moved at 305 degrees and 6.8 nautical miles.


6.8 natical miles equals how fast in forward speed.......
0 likes   
Top
Stratosphere747
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3772
Joined: Thu Sep 11, 2003 8:34 pm
Location: Surfside Beach/Freeport Tx
Contact:
Contact Stratosphere747

#5 Postby Stratosphere747 » Tue Jul 19, 2005 8:17 pm

huricanwatcher wrote:
Mississippi Storm Magnet wrote:GRLevel3 radar fixes indicate from 6:29 pm to 8:07 pm Emily has moved at 305 degrees and 6.8 nautical miles.


6.8 natical miles equals how fast in forward speed.......


About next to nothing... A tad shade of NW..
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
The Big Dog
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1039
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2004 8:30 am
Location: West Palm Beach, FL

#6 Postby The Big Dog » Tue Jul 19, 2005 8:18 pm

Oh man... it's not gonna pull a Frances, is it? :roll:
0 likes   
Top
Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10385
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

#7 Postby Sanibel » Tue Jul 19, 2005 8:19 pm

Bad news if it intends to keep dropping...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HouTXmetro
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3949
Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2004 6:00 pm
Location: District of Columbia, USA

#8 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Jul 19, 2005 8:19 pm

The Big Dog wrote:Oh man... it's not gonna pull a Frances, is it? :roll:


What did Frances do?
0 likes   
Top
gkrangers

#9 Postby gkrangers » Tue Jul 19, 2005 8:19 pm

huricanwatcher wrote:
Mississippi Storm Magnet wrote:GRLevel3 radar fixes indicate from 6:29 pm to 8:07 pm Emily has moved at 305 degrees and 6.8 nautical miles.


6.8 natical miles equals how fast in forward speed.......
Its a net forward speed of 4 knots.
0 likes   
Top
Mississippi Storm Magnet
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 114
Joined: Thu Jul 07, 2005 8:02 pm
Location: Diamondhead, Mississippi
Contact:
Contact Mississippi Storm Magnet

#10 Postby Mississippi Storm Magnet » Tue Jul 19, 2005 8:20 pm

huricanwatcher wrote:6.8 natical miles equals how fast in forward speed.......


1 knot = about 1.15 mph , so 1 nautical mile = about 1.15 miles

6.8 * 1.15 = 7.8 miles

7.8 miles/ 1 hour 38 minutes = 4.8 mph
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
The Big Dog
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1039
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2004 8:30 am
Location: West Palm Beach, FL

#11 Postby The Big Dog » Tue Jul 19, 2005 8:20 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:
The Big Dog wrote:Oh man... it's not gonna pull a Frances, is it? :roll:


What did Frances do?

Stopped almost dead in its tracks and pounded us for two days. Of course that turned out to be not such a bad thing, because it could have come through at 145. Stopping allowed it to weaken.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
huricanwatcher
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 893
Age: 65
Joined: Sat Sep 13, 2003 6:09 pm
Location: Kirkwood NY
Contact:
Contact huricanwatcher

#12 Postby huricanwatcher » Tue Jul 19, 2005 8:21 pm

Mississippi Storm Magnet wrote:
huricanwatcher wrote:6.8 natical miles equals how fast in forward speed.......


1 knot = about 1.15 mph , so 1 nautical mile = about 1.15 miles

6.8 * 1.15 = 7.8 miles

7.8 miles/ 1 hour 38 minutes = 4.8 mph


oh....... this is not good... sit and spin......
0 likes   
Top
Stratosphere747
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3772
Joined: Thu Sep 11, 2003 8:34 pm
Location: Surfside Beach/Freeport Tx
Contact:
Contact Stratosphere747

#13 Postby Stratosphere747 » Tue Jul 19, 2005 8:21 pm

Looks to be back on the move...295..
0 likes   
Top
Stratosphere747
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3772
Joined: Thu Sep 11, 2003 8:34 pm
Location: Surfside Beach/Freeport Tx
Contact:
Contact Stratosphere747

#14 Postby Stratosphere747 » Tue Jul 19, 2005 8:22 pm

Looks to be back on the move...295..
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
deltadog03
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3580
Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:16 pm
Location: Macon, GA

#15 Postby deltadog03 » Tue Jul 19, 2005 8:32 pm

almost due NW if you ask me...about 310...slight drift NW atleast that...310....like this present movement is towards brownsville...im not saying its going there...just giving a refrense point...
Last edited by deltadog03 on Tue Jul 19, 2005 8:36 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
Stratosphere747
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3772
Joined: Thu Sep 11, 2003 8:34 pm
Location: Surfside Beach/Freeport Tx
Contact:
Contact Stratosphere747

#16 Postby Stratosphere747 » Tue Jul 19, 2005 8:34 pm

It's far from 325 Delta...

Look at a few more loops..
0 likes   
Top
Stratosphere747
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3772
Joined: Thu Sep 11, 2003 8:34 pm
Location: Surfside Beach/Freeport Tx
Contact:
Contact Stratosphere747

#17 Postby Stratosphere747 » Tue Jul 19, 2005 8:35 pm

It's far from 325 Delta...

Look at a few more loops..
0 likes   
Top
mike18xx

#18 Postby mike18xx » Tue Jul 19, 2005 8:39 pm

Sanibel wrote:Bad news if it intends to keep dropping...
It depends on whether or not she's over a deep-layer warm eddy in the BoC.
0 likes   
Top
Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10385
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

#19 Postby Sanibel » Tue Jul 19, 2005 9:05 pm

Personally I think you all are mistaking a big arcking intensification wobble for a cyclonic loop...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
swimaster20
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 285
Joined: Tue Nov 23, 2004 2:41 pm
Location: The Heart of Cajun Country

#20 Postby swimaster20 » Tue Jul 19, 2005 9:11 pm

Derek was the one who said it was a cyclonic loop, Sanibel.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Category5Kaiju and 81 guests