Most of East coast safe for now, GOM & Florida not.

[Stormcenter]

This is from the 2:00pm EDT NWS Extended Forecast discussion:

EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
210 PM EDT WED JUL 20 2005

VALID 12Z SAT JUL 23 2005 - 12Z WED JUL 27 2005



ALL MODEL MEANS AT THE D+8 TO D+11 TIME RANGE SHOW A VERY
UNSEASONAL POSITIVE HT ANOMALY MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL DAVIS
STRAIT NR 70N50W YIELDING NEG HT ANOMALIES OVER THE NERN CONUS AND
ADJACENT WATERS WITH SERN/MID ATLC/OH VALLEY REGION RIDGING BEST
SEEN BY THE ECMWF MEAN AND GFS SUPERENSEMBLE COMPOSITE. SRN EDGE
OF THE WESTERLIES ARE PUSHED SWD OF 40N WITH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
AXIS E-W ALONG 30N. OP GFS RUN MEANS HAVE THE TROF WELL WWD AND
INLAND ALONG 80W-85W. BY D+11 WE ARE ONLY LEFT WITH GFS/DAVA AND
GFS ENSEMBLE COMPOSITE MEANS WHICH STILL HOLD ON TO THIS UNSUAL
DEEP NEG HT ANOMALY IN DAVIS STRAIT WITH A TROF SWD ALONG 75W.
THIS COOLER PATTERN AND TROF AXIS PROTECTS MOST OF THE ATLC
SEABOARD FROM ANY POTENTIAL TROPICAL SYSTEM INTRUSIONS DURING THIS
PERIOD BUT CONTS TO LEAVE THE GLMEX/CARRIBEAN AND MOST OF FLORIDA
VULNERABLE.

...ATLC TROPICS...
ILL HANDLED BY MODEL DEVLOPING WAVE TURKS/CAICOS MAY AFECT FL AND
NRN NERN GLMEX REGION BY WEEKEND. RECON FLIGHT SCHEDULED. SEE TPC
ADVISORIES.

[wzrgirl1]

in layman's terms please?

[Astro_man92]

what is GOM i've been seeing it all over and i don't know what it is anu or some one else plz tell me thank you

[wzrgirl1]

GOM=Gulf of Mexico

[Ivanhater]

gulf of mexico

[Rainband]

what is GOM i've been seeing it all over and i don't know what it is anu or some one else plz tell me thank you

Gulf of Mexico

[sweetpea]

in layman's terms please?

Thank you I was sitting here like HUH??????

[CentralFlGal]

Yes please! I thought we'd be fine since Burmuda high cap was to remain covering us into the first week of August according to the local weather forecast.

[jlauderdal]

in layman's terms please?

steering currents are such that any sytem that develops only has one place to go and that is through florida to the gulf

[Sanibel]

The present nosing extension of the Bermuda High into the east Gulf struck me as being the perfect set up for sending the next CV tracker into Texas.

This is due to the trough scenario of 2004 not existing this year with the High seeming to repeat...

[Swimdude]

I think the more we anticipate a Texas storm, the less likely it is to occur. Just look at Emily, teasing us the whole way through.

[EDR1222]

The present nosing extension of the Bermuda High into the east Gulf struck me as being the perfect set up for sending the next CV tracker into Texas.

This is due to the trough scenario of 2004 not existing this year with the High seeming to repeat...

There will probably continue to be low latitude trackers unless a trough digs down and eroded the ridge. A recent discussion from the NWS Melbourne office hinted at that maybe happening next week, but it is still to far out to say for sure with any confidence.

[beachbum_al]

what is GOM i've been seeing it all over and i don't know what it is anu or some one else plz tell me thank you

Don't feel bad. I live along the GOM and it took me several days to figure it out when I first came here.