*NEW* July 21 Tropical Video Update

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*NEW* July 21 Tropical Video Update

#1 Postby Anonymous » Thu Jul 21, 2005 10:24 am

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Here is my update as of this morning, enjoy folks:::
http://radio.nhcwx.com/flghchp/displayi ... m=2&pos=20

Comments Welcome 8-)
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#2 Postby Meso » Thu Jul 21, 2005 10:31 am

omg, YAY... Another one of Mike's vids *bounces* awesome!
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#3 Postby beachbum_al » Thu Jul 21, 2005 10:40 am

I can't get it to work. :cry:
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#4 Postby dwg71 » Thu Jul 21, 2005 10:41 am

90L has a chance IMO, the sw carb does not. It will spend too much time over Cent/Amer and then move into the BofC and then into MEX, possibly near Emily.
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Anonymous

#5 Postby Anonymous » Thu Jul 21, 2005 10:42 am

So did Bret...
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#6 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:00 am

dwg71 wrote:90L has a chance IMO, the sw carb does not. It will spend too much time over Cent/Amer and then move into the BofC and then into MEX, possibly near Emily.


NHC thinks SW Carribean does have a chance. They mention it entering the BOC and possibly developing later.
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#7 Postby HouTXmetro » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:01 am

Great job Floyd!!
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[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]
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#8 Postby PTrackerLA » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:02 am

Nice iguana! Sort of concerned about an Erin scenario but further south and west as you indicated in your discussion.
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#9 Postby jasons2k » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:22 am

dwg71 wrote:90L has a chance IMO, the sw carb does not. It will spend too much time over Cent/Amer and then move into the BofC and then into MEX, possibly near Emily.


Hmmmmm. Pretty bold statement there. How many storms have formed in the BOC or Southern GOM? Opal comes to mind.

heck both Alicia and TS Allison developed really close to shore. Alicia became a cat. 3.
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Anonymous

#10 Postby Anonymous » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:22 am

Thanks
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Rainband

#11 Postby Rainband » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:25 am

PTrackerLA wrote:Nice iguana! Sort of concerned about an Erin scenario but further south and west as you indicated in your discussion.
Looking like it may curve away from Florida. Looking at the satellite it seems to be moving more nnw now. :roll: Recon will help determine whats going on.
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#12 Postby Anonymous » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:27 am

I'm not sure, still looks WNW to me. Then again, you live in Florida, so your probably hoping it turns north.
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#13 Postby dhweather » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:28 am

Floyd rules.

He should be in every video!!!! :D
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Rainband

#14 Postby Rainband » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:29 am

~Floydbuster wrote:I'm not sure, still looks WNW to me. Then again, you live in Florida, so your probably hoping it turns north.
I don't care either way. Can't do anything about it right. :wink:
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#15 Postby swimaster20 » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:32 am

Great video Mike!
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#16 Postby GalvestonDuck » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:45 am

Excellent graphics as always! Good job, Mike!
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#17 Postby LSU2001 » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:47 am

great job Mike, BTW I do love floyd. \
TIm
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#18 Postby Steve » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:50 am

Enjoyed it Mike. The shot if 90L getting caught in place or crawling is there too though. I probably would have included that. But it's too early in the game to know for certain, and you did a good job of discussing the possibilities.

>>90L has a chance IMO, the sw carb does not. It will spend too much time over Cent/Amer and then move into the BofC and then into MEX, possibly near Emily.

As what, an inverted trough/tropical wave? I don't have a handle on it other than to see that the upper trof on its western side is backing across southern Mexico, and the pattern should reverse allowing an upper high to build atop whatever is down there. To me, it looks like it's got a shot at /something/, just not sure what the something might be.

Steve
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#19 Postby mvtrucking » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:51 am

Thanks Mike. Excellent video. :woo:
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#20 Postby PTrackerLA » Thu Jul 21, 2005 11:53 am

Rainband wrote:
PTrackerLA wrote:Nice iguana! Sort of concerned about an Erin scenario but further south and west as you indicated in your discussion.
Looking like it may curve away from Florida. Looking at the satellite it seems to be moving more nnw now. :roll: Recon will help determine whats going on.


I agree it has turned more NW. It will be a close call for Florida regardless.
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