Before everyone jumps all over the NHC...

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gkrangers

Before everyone jumps all over the NHC...

#1 Postby gkrangers » Thu Jul 21, 2005 1:41 pm

Recon is on its way. Theres no reason for them to issue a special advisory and declare it a cyclone right this second, when they'll know for certain very soon.

Just don't want to see an NHC bash fest that they didn't issue a special advisory to upgrade it based on the TS wind ship report.
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x-y-no
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#2 Postby x-y-no » Thu Jul 21, 2005 1:45 pm

Yes. We'll have real recon data in time for 5pm.
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#3 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Jul 21, 2005 1:46 pm

x-y-no wrote:Yes. We'll have real recon data in time for 5pm.


I hope so. Im dying to know their take on this system already.

<RICKY>
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Re: Before everyone jumps all over the NHC...

#4 Postby Scott_inVA » Thu Jul 21, 2005 1:48 pm

Rarely do I snipe at TPC (despite being VP of the anti-Mayfield club) but TPC would have done well to issue this prior to noon as a service to media and emerg personnel in FL. Of course, Dr. Avila is on so we wait.

Were they to go with a TS which is possible but doubtful, it is NOT prudent to go from nothing to name. Bad policy.

Scott
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Re: Before everyone jumps all over the NHC...

#5 Postby Thunder44 » Thu Jul 21, 2005 1:49 pm

gkrangers wrote:Recon is on its way. Theres no reason for them to issue a special advisory and declare it a cyclone right this second, when they'll know for certain very soon.

Just don't want to see an NHC bash fest that they didn't issue a special advisory to upgrade it based on the TS wind ship report.


Which ever way, I wouldn't expect them to issue an advisory until 5pm. It's not NHC bashing. It's just that their statement didn't sound right to me. Anyway, I'm not the expert, so what I do I know?
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#6 Postby jrod » Thu Jul 21, 2005 1:54 pm

2 more hours is nothing. If anything it will give them more time to watch the system and make a better forecast.

This is not a very strong system and it is not an imminent threat to Fl just yet. The Bahamians are very used to dealing with hurricanes, they dont need warnings for a weak tropical storm.
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