90L Invest

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
dgparent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 82
Joined: Thu Jul 07, 2005 1:45 pm
Location: Raleigh, NC

#281 Postby dgparent » Thu Jul 21, 2005 3:10 pm

That my fine feathered friends is a eye, if I am wrong I will drink 6 Bud Selects tonight after work ! (Ahh who am I kidding I'll drink those babies no matter what )
0 likes   

User avatar
MBismyPlayground
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 765
Joined: Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:25 pm
Location: myrtle beach, sc
Contact:

#282 Postby MBismyPlayground » Thu Jul 21, 2005 3:11 pm

Just a question and yes I know I am having a Image

But which "blob" are we watching on this map???http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/watl-ir4-loop.html
0 likes   

User avatar
BensonTCwatcher
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1050
Joined: Sat Aug 28, 2004 10:11 pm
Location: Southport NC

#283 Postby BensonTCwatcher » Thu Jul 21, 2005 3:12 pm

If the other cloud banding, Dvorak, and IR looked ragged I'd say big eddy, but with ech frame, it looks more organized. I'd say we could have tightly wound TS at 5:00
0 likes   

User avatar
southerngale
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 27418
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 1:27 am
Location: Southeast Texas (Beaumont area)

#284 Postby southerngale » Thu Jul 21, 2005 3:12 pm

fci wrote:
southerngale wrote:
Windy wrote:
dhweather wrote:It's not an eye - it's a cleared out area near the center of circulation.

<<<<--- look in the center of my avatar, that's an eye


Maybe there is something wrong with my settings, but I don't see an avatar displayed for anyone. I never have. :) If there is a way to turn that on, I'd love to try it.


Your template was set to subRebel. That will block them. I changed it in your profile for you and you should be able to see them now. If you want to go back, just go to Profile and change your Board Style back to subRebel.


What is the setting supposed to be set at to see avatars?


Any of them, except subRebel. I use FI Subsilver Shadow.
0 likes   

GalvestonDuck
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 15941
Age: 57
Joined: Fri Oct 11, 2002 8:11 am
Location: Galveston, oh Galveston (And yeah, it's a barrier island. Wanna make something of it?)

#285 Postby GalvestonDuck » Thu Jul 21, 2005 3:15 pm

MBismyPlayground wrote:Just a question and yes I know I am having a Image

But which "blob" are we watching on this map???http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/watl-ir4-loop.html


The one closest to FL...25/75-ish.
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38266
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

#286 Postby Brent » Thu Jul 21, 2005 3:15 pm

MBismyPlayground wrote:Just a question and yes I know I am having a Image

But which "blob" are we watching on this map???http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/watl-ir4-loop.html


One near the Bahamas.

Both are being watched, but the one by the Bahamas is likely already a storm.
0 likes   
#neversummer

dgparent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 82
Joined: Thu Jul 07, 2005 1:45 pm
Location: Raleigh, NC

#287 Postby dgparent » Thu Jul 21, 2005 3:16 pm

Jumping the gun? they have Franklin page up now :)

http://weather.net-waves.com/td06.php
0 likes   

User avatar
JamesFromMaine2
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 989
Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2005 1:38 am
Location: Portland Maine USA
Contact:

#288 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Thu Jul 21, 2005 3:16 pm

MBismyPlayground wrote:Just a question and yes I know I am having a Image

But which "blob" are we watching on this map???http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/watl-ir4-loop.html


we are watching both of them since they could both develop but the one in the upper right is 90l and thats the one they are sending recon into today!
0 likes   

GalvestonDuck
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 15941
Age: 57
Joined: Fri Oct 11, 2002 8:11 am
Location: Galveston, oh Galveston (And yeah, it's a barrier island. Wanna make something of it?)

#289 Postby GalvestonDuck » Thu Jul 21, 2005 3:16 pm

Brent wrote:
MBismyPlayground wrote:Just a question and yes I know I am having a Image

But which "blob" are we watching on this map???http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/watl-ir4-loop.html


One near the Bahamas.

Both are being watched, but the one by the Bahamas is likely already a storm.


Well, yeah...those islands also. :wink: But if I told some of my coworkers that, I'd get blank stares. Gotta give the state or they're lost. :)
0 likes   

User avatar
MBismyPlayground
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 765
Joined: Mon Sep 06, 2004 9:25 pm
Location: myrtle beach, sc
Contact:

#290 Postby MBismyPlayground » Thu Jul 21, 2005 3:17 pm

Thank you both for the speedy replies. It has been a LONG week for me and I just lost my mind for a bit here. :lol:
0 likes   

Derek Ortt

#291 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Jul 21, 2005 3:23 pm

it is not an eye, unless it is at least 50% surrouned by an eye wall. We dont even have 5%
0 likes   

kevin

#292 Postby kevin » Thu Jul 21, 2005 3:27 pm

Thanks Derek
0 likes   

User avatar
wxwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1606
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:43 pm
Location: Keene, NH
Contact:

#293 Postby wxwatcher91 » Thu Jul 21, 2005 3:30 pm

ya it looks organized and has a good LLC but the cloud tops are wicked warm
0 likes   

stormandan28
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 108
Joined: Mon Jun 14, 2004 11:13 am
Contact:

I think

#294 Postby stormandan28 » Thu Jul 21, 2005 3:31 pm

even if this developes into Franklin it will probably miss Florida and maby the whole East coast.
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

Re: I think

#295 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jul 21, 2005 3:32 pm

stormandan28 wrote:even if this developes into Franklin it will probably miss Florida and maby the whole East coast.


GOOD!
0 likes   

tracyswfla
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 792
Joined: Tue May 18, 2004 1:19 pm
Location: Rochester, NY

Re: I think

#296 Postby tracyswfla » Thu Jul 21, 2005 3:35 pm

stormandan28 wrote:even if this developes into Franklin it will probably miss Florida and maby the whole East coast.


And you base your statement on sound meteorlogical data or your gut?
0 likes   

User avatar
tailgater
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3339
Joined: Sun Jul 11, 2004 9:13 pm
Location: St. Amant La.

#297 Postby tailgater » Thu Jul 21, 2005 3:37 pm

IMHO mostly a mid level system ATT.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148501
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#298 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 21, 2005 3:37 pm

WTNT02 KNGU 211200
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 211130Z JUL 05//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
050 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 24.0N6 73.0W0 TO 28.0N0 77.0W4
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF A NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IM­
AGERY AT 210600Z9 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 24.0N6 73.0W0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 KNOTS.
2. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED
BY 221200Z7.//




Image
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#299 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jul 21, 2005 3:38 pm

Luis, that's a few hours old!
0 likes   

User avatar
lilbump3000
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 966
Age: 38
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2003 10:09 am
Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
Contact:

#300 Postby lilbump3000 » Thu Jul 21, 2005 3:39 pm

Why does the date on that says Jul 05 unless im lookin at somethin wrong.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: riapal and 190 guests