HOUSTON-GALVESTON AFD.....Wow
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
HOUSTON-GALVESTON AFD.....Wow
THE TROPICS REMAIN ACTIVE. THE MORE IMPRESSIVE LOOKING DISTURBANCE
JUST EAST OF THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS (RECON AIRCRAFT IS IN THERE RIGHT
NOW) IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE A WEATHER FEATURE FOR OUR AREA UNTIL
MAYBE SOME TIME TOWARD THE MIDDLE OR END OF NEXT WEEK...IF IT
EVENTUALLY MOVES WESTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN DISTURBANCE MAY BE AN INFLUENCE ON OUR WEATHER
SOME TIME THIS WEEKEND AND/OR EARLY NEXT WEEK AS IT WORKS ITS WAY
INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. IF THE SYSTEM DOES DEVELOP...ITS SURFACE
LOCATION ALONG WITH ITS STRENGTH AND SIZE WILL BE DETERMINING
FACTORS TOWARD WHAT KIND OF WEATHER WE EVENTUALLY SEE. THINK IT IS
BEST FOR NOW TO JUST CALL FOR A DAILY CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS NEXT WEEK AND WAIT TO SEE WHAT DEVELOPS. 42
JUST EAST OF THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS (RECON AIRCRAFT IS IN THERE RIGHT
NOW) IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE A WEATHER FEATURE FOR OUR AREA UNTIL
MAYBE SOME TIME TOWARD THE MIDDLE OR END OF NEXT WEEK...IF IT
EVENTUALLY MOVES WESTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN DISTURBANCE MAY BE AN INFLUENCE ON OUR WEATHER
SOME TIME THIS WEEKEND AND/OR EARLY NEXT WEEK AS IT WORKS ITS WAY
INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. IF THE SYSTEM DOES DEVELOP...ITS SURFACE
LOCATION ALONG WITH ITS STRENGTH AND SIZE WILL BE DETERMINING
FACTORS TOWARD WHAT KIND OF WEATHER WE EVENTUALLY SEE. THINK IT IS
BEST FOR NOW TO JUST CALL FOR A DAILY CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS NEXT WEEK AND WAIT TO SEE WHAT DEVELOPS. 42
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- southerngale
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Rainband
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oh, you want hype?
I'll give you hype ... this ditty from our NWS office in Austin/San Antonio:
THIS WILL
HAVE THE RESULT OF BRINGING THE TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY OVER THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TOWARD TEXAS ON SUNDAY, POSSIBLY AS A
TROPICAL CYCLONE, THEN LIFTS IT NORTH ACROSS TEXAS MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. POPS INCREASE AGAIN WITH HIGHEST IN THE EASTERN PARTS
OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. LATER NEXT WEEK, FORECAST BECOMES MORE
UNCERTAIN AS DEVELOPING TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE BAHAMAS MOVES
WEST TOWARD TEXAS
THIS WILL
HAVE THE RESULT OF BRINGING THE TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY OVER THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TOWARD TEXAS ON SUNDAY, POSSIBLY AS A
TROPICAL CYCLONE, THEN LIFTS IT NORTH ACROSS TEXAS MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. POPS INCREASE AGAIN WITH HIGHEST IN THE EASTERN PARTS
OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. LATER NEXT WEEK, FORECAST BECOMES MORE
UNCERTAIN AS DEVELOPING TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE BAHAMAS MOVES
WEST TOWARD TEXAS
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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
400 PM CDT THU JUL 21 2005
.DISCUSSION...
WHILE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS
NEIGHBORING WFO/S TO OUR NORTH AND EAST...OUR AREA HAS SEEN ONLY
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THUS FAR AS THE LAKE AND SEA
BREEZES HAVE BEEN VERY INACTIVE AND WEAK. CONVECTION HAS FOCUSED
MAINLY NEAR A WELL DEFINED VORT MAX OVER ARKANSAS IN AN AREA OF
MID/UPPER DIVERGENCE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MS AND SOUTH AL. AS
CLUSTERS AND LINES OF THUNDERSTORMS WORK SOUTH INTO EXTREME SOUTH
MS AND ADJACENT SOUTHEAST LA...A FEW STORMS COULD ORGANIZE AND
PULSE UP TO NEAR SEVERE LIMITS...PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS AND
POSSIBLY SMALL HAIL. WILL MAINTAIN CHANCE OF CONVECTION THIS
EVENING AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OVERNIGHT.
ON FRIDAY...VORT MAX APPEARS TO SHEAR OUT OVER THE NORTHWEST
PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA...BUT A POOL OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE/
HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER WILL BE OVER THE AREA WITH SOME DRIER AIR
WORKING IN JUST TO THE NORTH. COVERAGE OF CONVECTION SHOULD
FINALLY GET CLOSE TO 50 PERCENT...AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE
STRONG ON FRIDAY.
OVER THE WEEKEND...WILL MAINTAIN NEAR CLIMO POPS - 40 PERCENT
DURING DAY AND 20 PERCENT AT NIGHT...HOWEVER...LOW LEVEL WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BECOME MORE WEST TO SOUTHWEST...AND DRY AIR IS PROGGED
TO MOVE IN AT THE MID LEVELS ON SUNDAY. THIS COULD CAUSE
CONVECTION TO BE MORE ISOLATED ON SUNDAY WHICH MEANS HEAT COULD BE
A BIGGER PROBLEM. WILL WATCH MODEL TRENDS ON THIS.
NEXT WEEK...WILL HAVE TO WATCH A TROPICAL SYSTEM EAST OF FLORIDA
AS THE MODELS TRACK THE 500 MB VORT MAX WESTWARD TOWARDS THE EAST
GULF OF MEXICO BY MID WEEK. UNTIL THEN...THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
SHOULD HAVE NEAR NORMAL OR POSSIBLY SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL POPS
WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUING.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB 73 92 74 93 / 30 50 20 40
BTR 75 94 76 94 / 30 50 20 40
MSY 77 92 77 92 / 30 50 20 40
GPT 76 92 76 91 / 30 50 20 40
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
400 PM CDT THU JUL 21 2005
.DISCUSSION...
WHILE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS
NEIGHBORING WFO/S TO OUR NORTH AND EAST...OUR AREA HAS SEEN ONLY
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THUS FAR AS THE LAKE AND SEA
BREEZES HAVE BEEN VERY INACTIVE AND WEAK. CONVECTION HAS FOCUSED
MAINLY NEAR A WELL DEFINED VORT MAX OVER ARKANSAS IN AN AREA OF
MID/UPPER DIVERGENCE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MS AND SOUTH AL. AS
CLUSTERS AND LINES OF THUNDERSTORMS WORK SOUTH INTO EXTREME SOUTH
MS AND ADJACENT SOUTHEAST LA...A FEW STORMS COULD ORGANIZE AND
PULSE UP TO NEAR SEVERE LIMITS...PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS AND
POSSIBLY SMALL HAIL. WILL MAINTAIN CHANCE OF CONVECTION THIS
EVENING AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OVERNIGHT.
ON FRIDAY...VORT MAX APPEARS TO SHEAR OUT OVER THE NORTHWEST
PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA...BUT A POOL OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE/
HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER WILL BE OVER THE AREA WITH SOME DRIER AIR
WORKING IN JUST TO THE NORTH. COVERAGE OF CONVECTION SHOULD
FINALLY GET CLOSE TO 50 PERCENT...AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE
STRONG ON FRIDAY.
OVER THE WEEKEND...WILL MAINTAIN NEAR CLIMO POPS - 40 PERCENT
DURING DAY AND 20 PERCENT AT NIGHT...HOWEVER...LOW LEVEL WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BECOME MORE WEST TO SOUTHWEST...AND DRY AIR IS PROGGED
TO MOVE IN AT THE MID LEVELS ON SUNDAY. THIS COULD CAUSE
CONVECTION TO BE MORE ISOLATED ON SUNDAY WHICH MEANS HEAT COULD BE
A BIGGER PROBLEM. WILL WATCH MODEL TRENDS ON THIS.
NEXT WEEK...WILL HAVE TO WATCH A TROPICAL SYSTEM EAST OF FLORIDA
AS THE MODELS TRACK THE 500 MB VORT MAX WESTWARD TOWARDS THE EAST
GULF OF MEXICO BY MID WEEK. UNTIL THEN...THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
SHOULD HAVE NEAR NORMAL OR POSSIBLY SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL POPS
WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUING.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB 73 92 74 93 / 30 50 20 40
BTR 75 94 76 94 / 30 50 20 40
MSY 77 92 77 92 / 30 50 20 40
GPT 76 92 76 91 / 30 50 20 40
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- deltadog03
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Oh dear, I wonder if KPRC Channel 2 will do 2 separate "Breaking News!" stories on each one!!!
(FYI for those non-Houstonians Channel 2 here is notorious for that. Every night, about 5 minutes into the newscast, you will hear something like this:
"And now we have breaking news. That breaking news comes to us from southwest Houston where there was a fuel spill on the SW freeway at Hillcroft. Let's go to Emily Akin who is live at the scene. Emily:
"Well Bill, about 2 hours ago a fuel truck hit a lightpost....""
I never could figure out how something that happened 2 hours ago with a live crew already at the scene is "breaking news"....but it happens night after night.........
(FYI for those non-Houstonians Channel 2 here is notorious for that. Every night, about 5 minutes into the newscast, you will hear something like this:
"And now we have breaking news. That breaking news comes to us from southwest Houston where there was a fuel spill on the SW freeway at Hillcroft. Let's go to Emily Akin who is live at the scene. Emily:
"Well Bill, about 2 hours ago a fuel truck hit a lightpost....""
I never could figure out how something that happened 2 hours ago with a live crew already at the scene is "breaking news"....but it happens night after night.........
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- stormie_skies
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deltadog03 wrote:LOLOLOLOL...we could have the effects of 2 tropical systems next week here in TX??
Yeah, they sure are honking up a storm on these two, aren't they?
Channel 2 is the joke of the local news world here in Houston. Even the reporters from the Spanish language channels make fun of them...
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- hicksta
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stormie_skies wrote:deltadog03 wrote:LOLOLOLOL...we could have the effects of 2 tropical systems next week here in TX??
Yeah, they sure are honking up a storm on these two, aren't they?Geez, if thats even partially true.......who taped the "kick me" sign on our backs?????
Channel 2 is the joke of the local news world here in Houston. Even the reporters from the Spanish language channels make fun of them...
LOL
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- stormie_skies
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BLHutch wrote:jschlitz wrote:Oh dear, I wonder if KPRC Channel 2 will do 2 separate "Breaking News!" stories on each one!!!
You are so right!
"We bring you breaking news, Radar the Weather Dog has just relieved himself on a fire hydrant. We will bring you more details as they become available."

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deltadog03 wrote:LOLOLOLOL...we could have the effects of 2 tropical systems next week here in TX??
Well, that figures. Here in Austin, the remnants of Dennis gave us some rain, then the outer stuff from Emily gave us rain. So now we can look forward to rain from possibly both Franklin and (notyetnamed Gert?)?
Guess we'll mow inbetween tropical adventures and not worry about watering for a week or so...
'shana
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- Canebo
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jschlitz wrote:Oh dear, I wonder if KPRC Channel 2 will do 2 separate "Breaking News!" stories on each one!!!
(FYI for those non-Houstonians Channel 2 here is notorious for that. Every night, about 5 minutes into the newscast, you will hear something like this:
"And now we have breaking news. That breaking news comes to us from southwest Houston where there was a fuel spill on the SW freeway at Hillcroft. Let's go to Emily Akin who is live at the scene. Emily:
"Well Bill, about 2 hours ago a fuel truck hit a lightpost....""
I never could figure out how something that happened 2 hours ago with a live crew already at the scene is "breaking news"....but it happens night after night.........
That is so true. I know someone who works in the news dept there and even she is embarrassed by their "breaking news" hype.
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GalvestonDuck
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- stormie_skies
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I prefer KTRK for news also (but KHOU for weather, of course). Wayne Dolcefino is the best...
I was supposed to intern with him, but I ran out of money and had to get a real job instead....
Actually, Houston is lucky to have so many investigative reporters.....most local news stations dont even bother anymore....
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corpusbreeze
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Here in Texas well take all the water we can get. You never know when the it will stop and start a drought.Shoshana wrote:deltadog03 wrote:LOLOLOLOL...we could have the effects of 2 tropical systems next week here in TX??
Well, that figures. Here in Austin, the remnants of Dennis gave us some rain, then the outer stuff from Emily gave us rain. So now we can look forward to rain from possibly both Franklin and (notyetnamed Gert?)?
Guess we'll mow inbetween tropical adventures and not worry about watering for a week or so...
'shana
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