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cycloneye
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91L Invest

#1 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 21, 2005 4:35 pm

TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT THU JUL 21 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY-FORMED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX... LOCATED ABOUT 125 MILES EAST OF THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND ADJACENT LAND
AREAS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO... BRINGING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TO THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA...BELIZE...GUATEMALA...HONDURAS...THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS...AND WESTERN CUBA. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT31 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT1.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT21 KNHC AND
UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT1.

FORECASTER KNABB
Last edited by cycloneye on Sat Jul 23, 2005 2:05 pm, edited 31 times in total.
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southerngale
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#2 Postby southerngale » Thu Jul 21, 2005 4:37 pm

Oh boy. I'm just gonna hang my puter around my neck.
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#3 Postby seaswing » Thu Jul 21, 2005 4:38 pm

LOL!!!! :roflmao:
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LSU2001
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#4 Postby LSU2001 » Thu Jul 21, 2005 4:39 pm

edit
sorry
Last edited by LSU2001 on Thu Jul 21, 2005 4:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#5 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 21, 2005 4:39 pm

southerngale wrote:Oh boy. I'm just gonna hang my puter around my neck.


:lol: :lol: :lol:
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#6 Postby Sanibel » Thu Jul 21, 2005 4:47 pm

I think it is showing the start of a twist now...
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#7 Postby Hyperstorm » Thu Jul 21, 2005 4:54 pm

Sanibel wrote:I think it is showing the start of a twist now...


I see it. This indicates that a mid-level circulation is probably developing right now. This would normally support a LLC to develop within 24-36 hours. It will be a close call for a tropical depression to develop before it hits the Yucatan.

85*...
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#8 Postby deltadog03 » Thu Jul 21, 2005 4:55 pm

yeah me too....i just looked at the close up and its trying to twist imo...
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#9 Postby Portastorm » Thu Jul 21, 2005 4:57 pm

where? how about a longitude/latitude cite?
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huricanwatcher
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#10 Postby huricanwatcher » Thu Jul 21, 2005 4:57 pm

will somebody post the link to the site your looking out..... I WANNA SEE I WANNA SEE I WANNA SEE !!!!!!
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#11 Postby baw_es » Thu Jul 21, 2005 5:00 pm

Based on satellite imagery it appears the outflow from the SW Caribbean blob is eroding convection around TD #6. Is this what is happening :?:
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Hyperstorm
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#12 Postby Hyperstorm » Thu Jul 21, 2005 5:06 pm

huricanwatcher wrote:will somebody post the link to the site your looking out..... I WANNA SEE I WANNA SEE I WANNA SEE !!!!!!


You can just use any satellite loop you could find on the internet. They all show the same thing.

Anyway, here's a widely-used page from the NHC website where you could find all kinds of loops and images:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/satellite.shtml
Last edited by Hyperstorm on Thu Jul 21, 2005 5:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#13 Postby huricanwatcher » Thu Jul 21, 2005 5:07 pm

Hyperstorm wrote:
huricanwatcher wrote:will somebody post the link to the site your looking out..... I WANNA SEE I WANNA SEE I WANNA SEE !!!!!!


You can just use any satellite loop you could find on the internet. They all show the same thing.

Anyway, here's a page from the NHC website where you could find all kinds of loops and images:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/satellite.shtml


thank you
Hyperstorm :wink:
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#14 Postby Hyperstorm » Thu Jul 21, 2005 5:08 pm

My pleasure, huricanwatcher...
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Steve
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#15 Postby Steve » Thu Jul 21, 2005 5:09 pm

Almost all the 12z models prog an Emily redux (minus the strength) in the 3-5 day period with the SW Caribbean stuff.

Steve
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#16 Postby curtinnc » Thu Jul 21, 2005 5:10 pm

LOL You said it Gale! Wish they made a heads up dispay portable puter screen!
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gboudx
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#17 Postby gboudx » Thu Jul 21, 2005 5:17 pm

I've lost count. How many weekends in a row is this of following tropical systems?
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#18 Postby huricanwatcher » Thu Jul 21, 2005 5:18 pm

gboudx wrote:I've lost count. How many weekends in a row is this of following tropical systems?


no think about this........... How many more weeks in a row will we be following tropical systems.... (tired thinking about it)
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#19 Postby Swimdude » Thu Jul 21, 2005 5:22 pm

What was that about this break in activity that was coming, like, two days ago?

Oh yeah! Our break was LAST NIGHT.
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#20 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jul 21, 2005 5:26 pm

I think if you went a 1995,1933 your going to be up into early December. Of course I watch cyclones around the world. So I do that any way.
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