Atlantic Waves,Discussions and sat pics

beachbum_al · #21 Postby **beachbum_al** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 10:19 am

So does this mean that we are not going to have a break at all? Sure does look like that!

#22 Postby **drezee** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:24 pm

This is the largest wave circulation I have seen in years! Maybe Bertha was this big...

wxwatcher91 · #23 Postby **wxwatcher91** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 12:53 pm

the possibility does exist for 3 tropical cyclones in the Atlantic at one time by Sunday or Monday

#24 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 5:07 pm

The Huge circulation is still very evident.Let's see if it gets smaller to then have a chance to develop.

Hyperstorm · #25 Postby **Hyperstorm** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 5:11 pm

Just look at that convection near 20N in the Sahara! For one reason it is called a desert and what a thunder-shower they have tonight!

This just keeps reminding me what a broad circulation and high-amplitude system this is....pumping moisture into the heart of the deserts...

#26 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 5:16 pm

Hyperstorm wrote:Just look at that convection near 20N in the Sahara! For one reason it is called a desert and what a thunder-shower they have tonight!

This just keeps reminding me what a broad circulation and high-amplitude system this is....pumping moisture into the heart of the deserts...

Wow yes uncalled the rain in the Sahara.This may cut the sal events a bit in the next few weeks.

huricanwatcher · #27 Postby **huricanwatcher** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 5:17 pm

guess i need to follow up on these threads about the wave.... i just see bunch clouds.... (oops.... )

DoctorHurricane2003 · #28 Postby **DoctorHurricane2003** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 5:31 pm

Actually one key thing to remember in the discussion is that SAL didn't stand for Saharan Air Layer, but rather the island / capital city of Sal in the Cape Verde Islands.

#29 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 5:33 pm

DoctorHurricane2003 wrote:Actually one key thing to remember in the discussion is that SAL didn't stand for Saharan Air Layer, but rather the island / capital city of Sal in the Cape Verde Islands.

Yes I know that very well.

I was referring about the Saharan Air Layer.

#30 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Jul 21, 2005 7:16 pm

EAST ATLANTIC TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 28W/29W S OF 26N MOVING W
15-20 KT WITH A BROAD 1010 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 13N29W. THE LOW
CENTER HAS BEEN MOVING SW AT ABOUT 18 KT AND APPEARS TO BE
BECOMING MORE DIFFUSE AS IT NEARS THE ITCZ. THE WAVE CONTINUES
TO CARRY A LARGE ENVELOPE OF SAHARAN DUST WWD ACROSS THE ATLC
AND THE DRY AIR HAS SQUELCHED ANY DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE MAIN
PART OF THE WAVE. LOW-LEVEL STRATUS/STRATOCU ARE FROM 13N-22N
BETWEEN 27W-38W AND BROKEN MID-LEVEL CLOUDS HAVE DEVELOPED NEAR
THE APEX OF THE WAVE FROM 23N-28N BETWEEN 23W-31W. DEEPER
MOISTURE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE WAVE
BETWEEN AFRICA AND THE CAPE VERDES...AND WILL CONTINUE SHIFTING
WWD OVER THE ISLANDS TONIGHT AND ON FRI WITH WIDELY SCATTERED
SHOWERS.

8:05 PM Discussion.The backside of wave axis is where the moistere is.

wxwatcher91 · #31 Postby **wxwatcher91** » Fri Jul 22, 2005 6:19 am

805am TWD

E ATLC TROPICAL WAVE IS FROM 25N32W 16N36W TO 9N36W MOVING W
15-20 KT. THE BROAD LOW HAS NOW DISSIPATED. WAVE REMAINS
EMBEDDED WITHIN A LARGE AREA OF SAHARAN DUST THAT COVERS THE
ATLC WATERS S OF 26N FROM 27W-58W. THIS AND THE ASSOCIATED DRY
AIR HAS SQUELCHED ANY CONVECTION NEAR THE WAVE EXCEPT SE OF THE
ITCZ AXIS.

#32 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Jul 22, 2005 6:24 am

Although the low is not in the system anymore the wave still has to be watched as it moves more west.However the Saharan layer will limit convection to the ITCZ and if any development occurs it will be a very slow proccess if it does at all.

wxwatcher91 · #33 Postby **wxwatcher91** » Fri Jul 22, 2005 6:36 am

couldnt a tighter LLC develop over time?

#34 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Jul 22, 2005 9:49 am

A nice flareup in the southern end of the wave but no low is seen.Let's watch this as it moves further west.

#35 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Jul 22, 2005 11:58 am

Convection continues to increase in the ITCZ area on the southern end of the big wave.

Jim Cantore · #36 Postby **Jim Cantore** » Fri Jul 22, 2005 12:06 pm

Looks like two of them

I wouldn't be suprised to see development out of ether of them

Does the NHC have an emergency list of backup names?

Hyperstorm · #37 Postby **Hyperstorm** » Fri Jul 22, 2005 12:17 pm

Cycloneye, convection continues to increase, IRONICALLY well away from the vigorous and high-amplitude low that we were looking at yesterday and in the moisture-laden backside sector. Right now I'm not overly impressed with it since it is still linear, but there are indications that it is becoming more "circular" in nature, which would support development down the road.

It is currently located in VERY warm SSTs, so chances for development are there...

#38 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Jul 22, 2005 12:22 pm

Hyperstorm wrote:Cycloneye, convection continues to increase, IRONICALLY well away from the vigorous and high-amplitude low that we were looking at yesterday and in the moisture-laden backside sector. Right now I'm not overly impressed with it since it is still linear, but there are indications that it is becoming more "circular" in nature, which would support development down the road.

It is currently located in VERY warm SSTs, so chances for development are there...

I haved kept this thread going because from the start I saw potential for this wave down the road.Yes Convection still is not consolidated as a circule but it's deep convection and beyond 40w waters are even more warm so let's watch it definitly and yes this thread will still be running.

mike18xx · #39 Postby **mike18xx** » Fri Jul 22, 2005 12:36 pm

Opal storm · #40 Postby **Opal storm** » Fri Jul 22, 2005 12:39 pm

This could be a big player in the tropics come next week.

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