91L Invest

[cycloneye]

Ok here is the new invest.

[Thunder44]

124
WHXX01 KWBC 221538
CHGHUR

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

.....THE FOLLOWING IS A TEST MESSAGE.....

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (AL912005) ON 20050722 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050722 1200 050723 0000 050723 1200 050724 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 17.3N 87.7W 18.6N 89.9W 19.8N 92.3W 20.9N 94.6W
BAMM 17.3N 87.7W 18.3N 89.8W 19.1N 92.3W 20.2N 94.6W
A98E 17.3N 87.7W 18.6N 89.7W 19.9N 91.7W 21.3N 93.7W
LBAR 17.3N 87.7W 18.5N 90.1W 20.0N 92.8W 21.6N 95.5W
SHIP 25KTS 31KTS 38KTS 46KTS
DSHP 25KTS 25KTS 33KTS 41KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050724 1200 050725 1200 050726 1200 050727 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 21.6N 96.7W 22.4N 100.8W 22.1N 104.7W 21.3N 108.6W
BAMM 21.0N 96.7W 22.6N 100.5W 23.3N 103.8W 23.5N 106.9W
A98E 22.9N 96.0W 26.3N 100.5W 28.4N 102.2W 29.0N 102.0W
LBAR 23.4N 98.1W 27.0N 101.2W 29.1N 101.7W 29.6N 102.2W
SHIP 53KTS 62KTS 65KTS 66KTS
DSHP 49KTS 30KTS 27KTS 30KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 17.3N LONCUR = 87.7W DIRCUR = 305DEG SPDCUR = 12KT
LATM12 = 15.9N LONM12 = 85.6W DIRM12 = 304DEG SPDM12 = 13KT
LATM24 = 14.5N LONM24 = 83.4W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1011MB OUTPRS = 1014MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

.....THE ABOVE HAS BEEN A TEST MESSAGE.

[dwg71]

It says its been a test message.

[Buck]

It always says that.

[cycloneye]

It says its been a test message.

Those are real plots.That always says those words but are legit.

[jax]

is there a graph yet?

[PTrackerLA]

Looks like it doesn't get above 22N before landfalling Mexico. Next please .

[cycloneye]

is there a graph yet?

Not yet but soon enough it will be available.

[Stormcenter]

Yawn!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Where is the next wave or blob?

[Stormcenter]

Looks like it doesn't get above 22N before landfalling Mexico. Next please .

Yes I know how you feel.

[Thunder44]

is there a graph yet?

Looks like they all keep it a Mexico storm.

[PTrackerLA]

Yawn!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Where is the next wave or blob?

Yep big YAWN! Fairly straight WNW track through the BOC into Mexico, probably making landfall well south of Emily near Brett.

[Opal storm]

Yawn!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Where is the next wave or blob?

I see the excitement has really gone down since yesterday since Franklin will head out to sea and 91L is Mexican.

[PTrackerLA]

Yawn!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Where is the next wave or blob?

I see the excitement has really gone down since yesterday since Franklin will head out to sea and 91L is Mexican.

I was just hoping for some increased rain chances from this system but that's all but out of the question now. The ridge simply won't let it move poleward. At least we had a good storm last night .

[BayouVenteux]

I was just hoping for some increased rain chances from this system but that's all but out of the question now. The ridge simply won't let it move poleward. At least we had a good storm last night .

Yep...at least we're getting in on the "ring of fire" effect of the big ridge, with disturbances sliding down from the NE, firing up the afternoon t-storms. Much better than last year at this time when we couldn't buy a rainshower...although those dry, but unseasonable cool fronts made for awfully nice late July/early Aug mornings.

[Portastorm]

Yawn!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Where is the next wave or blob?

I see the excitement has really gone down since yesterday since Franklin will head out to sea and 91L is Mexican.

Methinks it's a bit premature to write off either one of these systems!

[Sanibel]

Crash and burn?

[Stormcenter]

Yawn!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Where is the next wave or blob?

I see the excitement has really gone down since yesterday since Franklin will head out to sea and 91L is Mexican.

Methinks it's a bit premature to write off either one of these systems!

Me thinks you may be right.

[JamesFromMaine2]

I don't think Franklin is going out to sea! But hey what do I know I am just the new guy right?

[stormie_skies]

I asked Dan Meador at KHOU what he thought about the Emily redux scenario, and if he thought us Texans should be breathing a little easier. This was his response:

My only concern is that the upper high moves too far east and allows the system to move up it's west side. That would open the door for Texas. In fact the 12z NAM show almost that. It brings the tropical system up the coastline into central Texas by mid-week.

I know nothing about the likelihood of something like this happening .... so I'm wondering what the many more knowlegable hobbyists & pro mets on here think....