Franklin looks like its pushing out

[boca]

Franklin looks like it wants to move NNE and then out.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

What can I say Franklin is the Fish

[Ivanhater]

we know it moving north and east, but the question still remains whether or not the trough drops him and he is left behind, that question will be answered in a couple of days

[JamesFromMaine2]

according to some that will be found out tonight not in couple of days!

[Ivanhater]

according to some that will be found out tonight not in couple of days!

most expect franklin to be picked up , but the problem lies later when the trough may drop him and the ridge builds back in

[Steve]

looks that way boca. I guess the faster movement might seal its fate. Had it been slower, there were potential fun and games. I guess some of the remnants could split off down the road, because 99L (which partially spawned 90L & Franklin) had a history of that anyway.

Is it just me, or does this feel like September?

Steve

[WeatherEmperor]

It certainly looks that way to me as well and yes it does feel a bit like September.

<RICKY>

[Lowpressure]

It certainly looks that way to me as well and yes it does feel a bit like September.

<RICKY>

Septembers only difference may be deep CV storms as we are going through the second list of names at this rate.

[WeatherEmperor]

It certainly looks that way to me as well and yes it does feel a bit like September.

<RICKY>

Septembers only difference may be deep CV storms as we are going through the second list of names at this rate.

hey do you think this year can break the record in terms of named storms?

<RICKY>

[Lowpressure]

I would say at this pace, there is a real good shot at a record number of named storms. It is early in the game, but things are off and running for sure.

[boca]

So what if Franklin goes out to sea. We have so much to worry about between now and Nov. Its September now and we have 2 months left.Ha Ha only kidding. Floydbuster's video says we will probably have 4 systems to track so break open a six pack and let's track.

[Frank P]

looks that way boca. I guess the faster movement might seal its fate. Had it been slower, there were potential fun and games. I guess some of the remnants could split off down the road, because 99L (which partially spawned 90L & Franklin) had a history of that anyway.

Is it just me, or does this feel like September?

Steve

Yeah, tropical wise it might feel like September, only problem is that don't expect any cool front any time soon.... we've not even hit the dog days of summer yet... and it already blistering hot... I wish it was September....then you'd expect a cool front within a month or so... we're a long ways away from a cool front right now....

[jlauderdal]

looks that way boca. I guess the faster movement might seal its fate. Had it been slower, there were potential fun and games. I guess some of the remnants could split off down the road, because 99L (which partially spawned 90L & Franklin) had a history of that anyway.

Is it just me, or does this feel like September?

Steve

Yeah, tropical wise it might feel like September, only problem is that don't expect any cool front any time soon.... we've not even hit the dog days of summer yet... and it already blistering hot... I wish it was September....then you'd expect a cool front within a month or so... we're a long ways away from a cool front right now....

takes alot to get a heat watch for southern florida,

TEMPS WILL ALSO BE ABOVE NORMAL FOR EARLY TO MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK
OVER THE CWA FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...DUE TO THE HIGH OVER THE
AREA. THIS WILL ALLOW HEAT INDICES TO GET INTO THE 105 TO 110
RANGED OVER MOST OF THE CWA EACH AFTERNOON...AND AROUND 80 DEGREES
OVER THE EAST COAST AREAS EACH NIGHT. IF THE TREND CONTINUES TO
SHOW THIS ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS FOR EARLY TO MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK...THERE MAYBE A NEED FOR A HEAT WATCH FOR THE EAST COAST
AREAS LATER THIS WEEKEND.

[WeatherEmperor]

looks that way boca. I guess the faster movement might seal its fate. Had it been slower, there were potential fun and games. I guess some of the remnants could split off down the road, because 99L (which partially spawned 90L & Franklin) had a history of that anyway.

Is it just me, or does this feel like September?

Steve

Yeah, tropical wise it might feel like September, only problem is that don't expect any cool front any time soon.... we've not even hit the dog days of summer yet... and it already blistering hot... I wish it was September....then you'd expect a cool front within a month or so... we're a long ways away from a cool front right now....

takes alot to get a heat watch for southern florida,

TEMPS WILL ALSO BE ABOVE NORMAL FOR EARLY TO MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK
OVER THE CWA FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...DUE TO THE HIGH OVER THE
AREA. THIS WILL ALLOW HEAT INDICES TO GET INTO THE 105 TO 110
RANGED OVER MOST OF THE CWA EACH AFTERNOON...AND AROUND 80 DEGREES
OVER THE EAST COAST AREAS EACH NIGHT. IF THE TREND CONTINUES TO
SHOW THIS ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS FOR EARLY TO MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK...THERE MAYBE A NEED FOR A HEAT WATCH FOR THE EAST COAST
AREAS LATER THIS WEEKEND.

better put on that sun tan lotion jlauderal.

<RICKY>

[Air Force Met]

looks that way boca. I guess the faster movement might seal its fate. Had it been slower, there were potential fun and games. I guess some of the remnants could split off down the road, because 99L (which partially spawned 90L & Franklin) had a history of that anyway.

Is it just me, or does this feel like September?

Steve

I agree on both counts. He is moving fast enough to be in a position to get caught by the trof. The only models that indicate a loop are those who don't account for changes in the environment...which is certainly occuring when you have a shortwave digging in.

And yes...it does feel like September.

[flashflood]

Franklin looks like its going to be blasted with westerlies and outflow shear from TStorms which may significantily weaken it. According to the radar, it looks like it has slowed and loosing a bit of it's TS characteristics. I am wondering if the mid level circulation can survive this in that area, based on how the GFS presented that scenario earlier.

[Steve]

interesting point flash. On IR anyway, the storms keep firing off to the south of what appears to be the departing system. Maybe that's where the real energy is. It's undergoing some type of transformation whether it be shear or some other meterological factor. As I said above and in another thread, Franklin's been interesting since the early days of 99L. It's too interesting for all the energy to head out to sea and hit France or the U.K. merged into some nontropical low down the road. We'll wait and see. Odds are less than 50/50 that some piece of it remains around to affect the US weather, but we all will likely have learned something when the last chapter of Franklin has been written.

Steve

[fci]

better put on that sun tan lotion jlauderal.

<RICKY>[/quote]

It has been BLAZING hot for So. Fla.
And Franklin is causing westerlies across So Fla. so we get no seabreeze help here on the East Coast.
And, no help with PM Thunderstorms to temporarily cool things down either!

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

http://www.nnvl.noaa.gov/hurseas2005/Fr ... -1kg12.jpg


Here is a very good picture of Frankie. Frankie rocks!!!


Here is another one of Emily over the Gulf...
http://www.nnvl.noaa.gov/hurseas2005/Em ... -1kg12.jpg

Here is another when she was at her max. 155 but with data showing that it was very close to a cat5.
http://www.nnvl.noaa.gov/hurseas2005/Em ... -1kg12.jpg

Get ready to be Amazed!!! Emily
http://www.nnvl.noaa.gov/hurseas2005/Em ... -1kg12.jpg

Ivan at his peak...Who looks better?
http://www.nnvl.noaa.gov/hurseas2004/iv ... -1kg12.jpg

I thought it was a good idea to post them in a threat already going.

[gunner1551]

He has definately moved east a little but not much of a north movement. It looks to me that if the trough doesnt pick him up in the next 24-36 hours THEN there could be some trouble. Just my thoughts comments or corrections welcome.