TS Gert Recon Reports

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#41 Postby clfenwi » Sat Jul 23, 2005 2:06 pm

Observation Number: 03
Time transmitted: 1841Z
Position: 20.8 North // 86.7 West
Sea level Pressure: 1016 mb
Surface Temperature/ Dewpoint Depression: 29.0/5.0
Surface winds: 17 knots // 100
1000 millibar height: 146 meters
1000 millibar temperature/DD: 27.6/4.3
1000 millibar winds: 19 knots // 095
925 millibar height: 833 meters
925 millibar temperature/DD: 23.0/7.0
925 millibar winds: 22 knots // 125
850 millibar height: 1564 meters
850 millibar temperature/DD: 18.6/7.0
850 millibar winds: 26 knots// 125
700 millibar height:3203 meters
700 millibar temperature/DD: 9.8/17.0
Last edited by clfenwi on Sat Jul 23, 2005 4:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#42 Postby clfenwi » Sat Jul 23, 2005 2:07 pm

Observation Number: 04
Time transmitted: 1844Z
Position: 21.4 North 85.9 West
Sea level Pressure: 1017 mb
Surface Temperature/ Dewpoint Depression: 29.0/5.0
Surface winds: 15 knots // 085
1000 millibar height: 154 meters
1000 millibar temperature/DD: 27.6/4.5
1000 millibar winds: 16 knots // 090
925 millibar height:840 meters
925 millibar temperature/DD: 23.0/7.0
925 millibar winds: 18 knots // 095
850 millibar height: 1572 meters
850 millibar temperature/DD: 18.6/9.0
850 millibar winds: 19 knots // 115
700 millibar height: 3212 meters
700 millibar temperature/DD: 9.6/15.0
700 millibar winds: 23 knots // 125
Last edited by clfenwi on Sat Jul 23, 2005 4:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#43 Postby clfenwi » Sat Jul 23, 2005 2:10 pm

Observation Number:05
Time transmitted: 1853Z
Position: 21.8 North // 86.7 West
Sea level Pressure: 1018 millibars
Surface Temperature/ Dewpoint Depression: 29.0/5.0
Surface winds: 17 knots // 095
1000 millibar height: 156 meters
1000 millibar temperature/DD: 27.6/4.9
1000 millibar winds: 19 knots // 090
925 millibar height: 844 meters
925 millibar temperature/DD: 23.2/6.0
925 millibar winds: 18 knots // 115
850 millibar height: 1576 meters
850 millibar temperature/DD: 18.6/7.0
850 millibar winds: 23 knots // 120
700 millibar height: 3218 meters
700 millibar temperature/DD: 10.0/17.0
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#44 Postby clfenwi » Sat Jul 23, 2005 3:05 pm

Observation Number: 08
Time transmitted: 1950Z
Position: 21.5 North // 89.3 West
Sea level Pressure: 1017 mb
Surface Temperature/ Dewpoint Depression: 23.6/2.5
Surface winds: 085//28
1000 millibar height: 148 meters
1000 millibar temperature/DD: 24.2/4.5
1000 millibar winds: 32 knots // 085
925 millibar height: 828 meters
925 millibar temperature/DD: 20.8/2.9
925 millibar winds: 38 knots // 095
850 millibar height: 1557 meters
850 millibar temperature/DD: 16.8/0.8
850 millibar winds: 33 knots // 110
700 millibar height: 3198 meters
700 millibar temperature/DD: 8.6/0.8
700 millibar winds: 22 knots // 125
Last edited by clfenwi on Sat Jul 23, 2005 4:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#45 Postby clfenwi » Sat Jul 23, 2005 3:14 pm

Another note on the minobs sent by the NOAA planes. Unlike the AF planes, they send their minobs in 30 minute batches (AF does theirs in 10 min batches). Also, they don't get out as timely as the AF ones do, so even in the best of cases, you are looking at a minob that is no newer than say 15-20 minutes...
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#46 Postby clfenwi » Sat Jul 23, 2005 3:21 pm

latest minob

200000 2124 09047 11232 +0674 117018 +075 -033 115021 042 001

21°24' North 090° 47' West
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Thunder44
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5922
Age: 44
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 7:53 pm
Location: New York City

#47 Postby Thunder44 » Sat Jul 23, 2005 3:22 pm

clfenwi wrote:Observation Number: 08
Time transmitted: 1950Z
Position: 21.5 North // 89.3 West
Sea level Pressure: 1017 mb
Surface Temperature/ Dewpoint Depression: 23.6/2.5
Surface winds: 085//28
1000 millibar height: 148 meters
1000 millibar temperature/DD: 24.2/4.5
1000 millibar winds: 32 knots // 085
925 millibar height: 828 meters
925 millibar temperature/DD: 20.8/2.9
925 millibar winds: 38 knots // 095
850 millibar height: 1557 meters
850 millibar temperature/DD: 16.8/0.8
850 millibar winds: 33 knots // 110
700 millibar height: 3198 meters
700 millibar temperature/DD: -8.6/0.8
700 millibar winds: 22 knots // 125


hey according to this drosponse we may have a TS already. :lol: 38kts at 925mb is 34kts at the surface, or about 39mph.
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#48 Postby clfenwi » Sat Jul 23, 2005 3:31 pm

Observation Number:09
Position: 21.9 North // 90.9 West
Time transmitted: 2009Z
Sea level Pressure: 1016 mb
Surface Temperature/ Dewpoint Depression: 27.4/2.6
Surface winds: 23 knots // 100
1000 millibar height: 138 meters
1000 millibar temperature/DD: 26.2/3.0
1000 millibar winds: 29 knots // 095
925 millibar height: 823 meters
925 millibar temperature/DD: 22.0/2.7
925 millibar winds: 37 knots // 105
850 millibar height: 1553 meters
850 millibar temperature/DD: 17.2/1.7
850 millibar winds: 31 knots // 115
700 millibar height: 3188 meters
700 millibar temperature/DD: 8.4/2.2
Last edited by clfenwi on Sat Jul 23, 2005 4:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#49 Postby clfenwi » Sat Jul 23, 2005 3:54 pm

203000 2009 09141 15938 +0956 153019 +000 -050 154020 010 002

Getting there slowly, but getting there... 20° 09' North 091° 41' West at 2030Z...
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#50 Postby clfenwi » Sat Jul 23, 2005 4:11 pm

Observation Number:10
Time transmitted: 2035Z
Position: 20.6 North // 90.7 West
Sea level Pressure: 1014 mb
Surface Temperature/ Dewpoint Depression: 25.6
Surface winds: 31 knots // 110
1000 millibar height: 119 meters
1000 millibar temperature/DD: 24.6/3.2
1000 millibar winds: 33 knots // 115
925 millibar height: 801 meters
925 millibar temperature/DD: 21.4/2.1
850 millibar height: 1532 meters
850 millibar temperature/DD: 17.4/1.7
700 millibar height: 3172 meters
700 millibar temperature/DD: 9.6/4.0
Last edited by clfenwi on Sat Jul 23, 2005 4:14 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#51 Postby clfenwi » Sat Jul 23, 2005 4:14 pm

Observation Number: 11
Time transmitted: 2054Z
Sea level Pressure: 1012 mb
Surface Temperature/ Dewpoint Depression: 26.2/1.8
Surface winds: n/a
1000 millibar height 105 meters:
1000 millibar temperature/DD:25.6/1.3
1000 millibar winds: 17 knots // 115
925 millibar height: 790 meters
925 millibar temperature/DD: 21.6/0.1
925 millibar winds: 17 knots // 130
850 millibar height: 1522 meters
850 millibar temperature/DD: 18.8/5.0
850 millibar winds: 24 knots // 130
700 millibar height: 3166 meters
700 millibar temperature/DD: 10.8/5.0
700 millibar winds: 17 knots // 125
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#52 Postby clfenwi » Sat Jul 23, 2005 4:17 pm

position update 18 56' N 092 56' E

210000 1856 09256 15928 +0935 150007 +006 -047 151008 018 005
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#53 Postby clfenwi » Sat Jul 23, 2005 4:32 pm

Observation Number: 12
Time transmitted: 2117Z
Position: 19.0 North // 91.8 West
Sea level Pressure: 1011 millibars
Surface Temperature/ Dewpoint Depression: 28.2/5.0
Surface winds: 10 knots // 130
1000 millibar height: 100 meters
1000 millibar temperature/DD: 27.2/4.7
1000 millibar winds: 12 knots // 130
925 millibar height: 786 meters
925 millibar temperature/DD: 22.4/4.5
925 millibar winds: 15 knots // 150
850 millibar height: 1518 meters
850 millibar temperature/DD: 18.0/2.5
850 millibar winds: 14 knots // 155
700 millibar height: 3159 meters
700 millibar temperature/DD: 10.2/4.5
700 millibar winds: 14 knots // 155
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#54 Postby clfenwi » Sat Jul 23, 2005 4:47 pm

Observation Number: 13
Position: 18.9 North // 93.5 West
Time transmitted: 2126Z
Sea level Pressure: 1011 millibars
Surface Temperature/ Dewpoint Depression: 27.4/2.3
Surface winds: n/a
1000 millibar height 95 meters:
1000 millibar temperature/DD: 26.4/1.9
925 millibar height:780 meters
925 millibar temperature/DD: 21.8/2.0
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#55 Postby clfenwi » Sat Jul 23, 2005 5:05 pm

Observation Number: 14
Time transmitted: 2145Z
Position: 18.9 North // 93.8 West
Sea level Pressure: 1010 millibars
Surface Temperature/ Dewpoint Depression: 27.6/3.6
Surface winds: 2 knots // 265
1000 millibar height: 91 meters
1000 millibar temperature/DD: 26.8/3.0
1000 millibar winds: 2 knots // 270
925 millibar height: 776 meters
925 millibar temperature/DD: 21.6/1.8
925 millibar winds: 4 knots // 020
850 millibar height: 1508 meters
850 millibar temperature/DD: 18.0/2.0
850 millibar winds: 4 knots // 050
700 millibar height: 3151 meters
700 millibar temperature/DD: 10.4/3.4
700 millibar winds: 34 knots // 104
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#56 Postby clfenwi » Sat Jul 23, 2005 5:13 pm

Observation Number: 15
Time transmitted: 2153Z
Position: 19.0 North // 95.0 West
Sea level Pressure: 1012 millibars
Surface Temperature/ Dewpoint Depression: 26.4/2.7
Surface winds: 17 knots // 330
1000 millibar height: 102 meters
1000 millibar temperature/DD: 25.4/1.6
1000 millibar winds: 18 knots // 330
925 millibar height: 785 meters
925 millibar temperature/DD: 20.8/1.7
925 millibar winds: 23 knots // 330
850 millibar height: 1515 meters
850 millibar temperature/DD: 17.6/2.8
850 millibar winds: 23 knots // 345
700 millibar height: 3155 meters
700 millibar temperature/DD: 10.6/3.9
700 millibar winds: 23 knots // 355
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#57 Postby clfenwi » Sat Jul 23, 2005 5:23 pm

210100 1856 09301 15926 +0936 145008 +004 -035 156009 014 001
210200 1856 09307 15925 +0932 138007 +008 -038 133009 007 000
210300 1857 09312 15928 +0930 151008 +008 -030 141010 007 000
210400 1857 09317 15927 +0927 135007 +008 -037 136008 010 003
210500 1857 09322 15784 +0912 122002 +007 -031 160005 999 999
210600 1857 09327 14709 +0834 157001 +018 -018 174002 999 999
210700 1857 09332 13403 +0744 281002 +046 -017 299004 999 999
210800 1857 09336 11878 +0638 292002 +075 -020 274003 999 999
210900 1857 09340 11324 +0604 311001 +086 -022 306002 008 001
211000 1857 09345 11361 +0609 310003 +084 -024 311004 999 999
211100 1857 09349 11360 +0607 314004 +088 -026 316004 999 999
211200 1856 09354 11359 +0611 325004 +088 -024 324004 999 999
211300 1856 09359 11362 +0612 332003 +088 -025 324004 006 000
211400 1855 09403 11357 +0611 006004 +086 -023 025005 009 001
211500 1855 09408 11359 +0613 355007 +080 -019 340009 012 005
211600 1855 09413 11362 +0613 334006 +080 -058 333007 011 004
211700 1855 09417 11360 +0612 351008 +083 -111 354009 013 005
211800 1855 09422 11363 +0612 348008 +082 -013 330009 023 009
211900 1855 09427 11358 +0615 322009 +083 -013 321011 026 010
212000 1856 09431 11353 +0618 327009 +082 -013 328011 018 004
212100 1856 09436 11356 +0621 330008 +085 -013 321010 023 003
212200 1856 09440 11356 +0627 342011 +083 -014 345013 026 007
212300 1856 09445 11357 +0630 348011 +083 -014 341014 024 005
212400 1856 09449 11359 +0635 335009 +080 -016 340013 020 005
212500 1856 09454 11358 +0637 342008 +080 -015 346009 015 003
212600 1855 09459 11359 +0637 352008 +083 -016 001010 013 003
212700 1858 09502 11351 +0630 003011 +080 -016 008012 013 004
212800 1902 09502 11362 +0629 000018 +086 -016 356020 014 003
212900 1906 09502 11360 +0627 358019 +082 -017 359019 011 002
213000 1910 09503 11360 +0625 347017 +075 -018 350018 012 002

minob set for when the plane passed south of the reported center of the TD. The six digit group in the middle is the flight level wind direction and speed in knots (for example 2130 ob was 347017: 17 knots from 347 degrees).
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#58 Postby clfenwi » Sat Jul 23, 2005 5:39 pm

Observation Number: 16
Position: 20.9 North // 95.0 West
Time transmitted: 2226Z
Sea level Pressure: 1012 millibars
Surface Temperature/ Dewpoint Depression: 26.6/2.3
Surface winds: n/a
1000 millibar height: 104 meters
1000 millibar temperature/DD: 25.6/1.5
1000 millibar winds: 27 knots // 040
925 millibar height: 788 meters
925 millibar temperature/DD: 21.4/1.7
925 millibar winds: 30 knots // 040
850 millibar height: 1518 meters
850 millibar temperature/DD: 18.0/2.2
700 millibar height: 3161 meters
700 millibar temperature/DD: 10.2/4.4
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#59 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Jul 23, 2005 5:40 pm

27 knots near the surface rounded up to 30 knots.
0 likes   
Top
mtm4319
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1537
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 2:47 am
Location: Mobile, AL

#60 Postby mtm4319 » Sat Jul 23, 2005 5:41 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:27 knots near the surface rounded up to 30 knots.


27 knots is closer to 25 knots than 30.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 92 guests